AW Phillips Professor of Economics @LSEecon. Colunista @expresso. Director @CFMUK

London, England
Joined November 2012
Ricardo Reis retweeted
I won't lie, Tsitsipas's career trajectory and willingness to keep trying new things has me rooting for him this tournament.
tsitsipas’ reaction to kyrgios being suspended is sending me LMFAOOO
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Andrés Velasco became the founding dean of @LSEPublicPolicy in 2018. He was then only Full professor. He leaves the job this month with nine tenured faculty, five profs of practice and three teaching track faculty, over 450 students from 58 countries and five degree programmes, including double degrees with Sciences Po, Columbia and Toronto. Institution-building is one of the hardest jobs in academia, Andrés has succeeded in just 8 years. Happily, he remains on the faculty. Thank you, Andrés.
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Pleased to be in Bangkok for the IMFER Conference, co-hosted by @IMFNews and @BankofThailand. Looking forward to discussing how shifts in trade, investment, technology, and finance are reshaping the global economy and geoeconomic policymaking. imf.org/en/news/seminars/con…
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Extremely proud of our fantastic @LSEEcon PhD student @AnanyaKotia for winning the Daniel Cohen Award!!!
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
I typically do not post working papers. If anything, I prefer to write about published papers of mine (so rarely), or about the wonderful papers/colleagues from whom I learn so much (often about the #WEFIDEV network in #Finance & #Development). But this one feels a little different. "Microdata for Research in Macroeconomics and Finance" is a fun paper that I wrote along the way (@cepr_org DP link below), after @pogourinchas, #PetiaTopalova, and #NanLi from the @IMFNews reached out with the idea of taking stock of how microdata are changing research in macroeconomics and finance, stimulated by the excellent work of the @FCDOGovUK headed by @DennisNovy. The central idea is simple: over the last two decades, economics & finance have been transformed by the growing availability of granular data (credit registries, firm balance sheets, digital payments, and more). These allow us to move beyond aggregate averages & ask sharper questions. Who is constrained? Which firms respond to policy? How do payment systems reshape economic activity? Where are market imperfections most binding? And more. This matters everywhere, but especially in low-income countries, where importing policies from high-income settings can be misleading. Market frictions, informality, enforcement, institutional capacity, and financial infrastructure often differ in fundamental ways. Better policy requires understanding these mechanisms from the ground up. In the paper, I construct a new dataset of more than 1,900 academic publications using nine types of microdata, drawn from the top 50 journals in economics and finance between 2000 and 2025. The dataset combines bibliometric work, LLM-processing, and human verification.
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Today @EconUCL has launched macromonitor.org/ -- a free, cutting edge, transparent and v frequently + regularly updated tool for nowcasting UK GDP and CPI. Congrats to my colleagues on a great public good and thanks to @swatdhingraLSE for a great keynote! @UCLPolicyLab
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
📢 New paper w/ @GregWKaplan 🧵1/10 How small is “small” for local-linear methods to deliver reliable answers in heterogeneous-agent models of fiscal stimulus? Our answer: very small.
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.@paulkrugman has argued Europe is not suffering an economic decline relative to the United States using Purchasing Power Parities. In this post (a revision, without paywall, of our @ProSyn one on Friday), @Ph_Aghion @a_bergeaud and I explain why a chain of current purchasing power parity (PPP) indexes tells us nothing useful about productivity growth. We make four points: First, a PPP measures purchasing power across places at one moment; a deflator compares prices across time in one place. A sequence of current-PPP comparisons is not a measure of real growth, because the prices used to value output change from year to year. Second, the two indexes need not agree. Difference the current-PPP comparison of France and the US across years and you recover the difference in their real growth plus a price residual. By 2024 the two are roughly 18 log points apart, enough to neutralize nearly all the measured growth divergence between France and America. This is due to two reasons Technology (our third point): where products improve fastest, as in information technology, the gap is largest. If a country doubles its computer output while the international price of computers halves, current PPP records no increase in value. (We all agree here.) Fourth, the baskets. It is impossible to find a basket of products that is simultaneously representative within each country, comparable across countries, and stable through time. (A novel point in the discussion). Convert GDP every year with a current PPP and French output per hour grows at a similar rate to the US. The match is built by the conversion. Nothing in it measures how much more either country produced. Krugman has now answered to our column, in a post dated May 30. I think we are not that far. We agree that European productivity growth has trailed the US for three decades; a current-PPP chain and a national deflator answer different questions; and the weighting mechanism is part of the story. We disagree on one. Krugman reads the flat current-PPP line as evidence Europe is not falling behind; we see it as the product of moving the price measurement stick every year. Finally, like @MESandbu on Friday in the @ft, @paulkrugman suggests as reductio ad absurdum that we should be willing to accept, if we believe our numbers, that the NL was way ahead of the US average in 2000 and declining ever since. We do not find the counter-example compelling. The counter example shows a clear decline of the Netherlands over a long period of time. That is the point!. Our claim (see my two Europes post): 1. Core Europe was very close to the US or higher 2 decades ago. 2. Every year since then we have seen much slower productivity growth. This has become particularly dire more recently. 3. This matters, particularly for our influence, our ability to sustain our welfare states, and our ability to pay for defense and other market goods. siliconcontinent.com/p/the-m…
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Which of the US or EU do economic agents choose to locate in? Their choice reveals how they weigh all the factors that matter. The relevant agent for productivity and economic growth are firms. So, the migration rates of startups reveals the economy where you want to be to grow and succeed:
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
A new paper shows that the release of Pirates of the Caribbean was associated with a 38% decline in real-world piracy incidents. The lives saved by Disney are staggering.
A new paper shows that neoliberal austerity policies implemented by the World Bank and the IMF in Sub-Saharan Africa in the 1980s and 1990s were associated with a *20% decline in real incomes.* The destruction caused by these organisations across the Global South is staggering.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
This tweet, and the paper itself, often use causal language. But the research paper has no causal identification strategy, so no claims or implied claims of causality should be made. gh.bmj.com/content/11/Sup…
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⭐️Call for the 7th Women in International Economics conference is out! Hosted by @DukeEcon Nov 5-6, 2026, Deadline: May 15. Submit a paper to join two days of research and mentorship! Co-organized with @mayara_pfs, @StefaniaGaretto, @mmorl89 and @AmSantacreu.
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP21277 Why did Inflation Rise and Fall in 2021-24? Channels and Evidence from Expectations Ricardo Reis @R2Rsquared @LSEnews @LSEEcon ow.ly/HB9g50YsJGh #CEPR_MEF #EconTwitter
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Highly recommended! "Why did inflation rise and fall in 2021-24? Channels and evidence from expectations" by Ricardo Reis. "This article uses inflation expectations to investigate the mechanisms that linked supply and demand shocks to inflation outcomes during 2021-24. It describes several theoretical mechanisms through which shocks led to inflation, highlighting the role of expectations in this process. It uses multiple sources of expectations data for the US, EA, and UK to evaluate each of these channels. Finally, it surveys the literature that has used expectations data to make sense of the 2021-24 inflation surge. The article applies the results from this investigation to assess how well anchored inflation expectations were during the surge and at the end of it." lse.ac.uk/CFM/assets/pdf/CFM…
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP21072 Financial Repression in the XXIst Century Ricardo Reis @R2Rsquared @LSEnews @LSEEcon ow.ly/Bxvm50Y1IPN #CEPR_IMF #CEPR_MEF #CEPR_AP #EconTwitter
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Deadline of 2/27 to submit to the Conference on Asset Demand Systems. Submit online at dsap.princeton.edu/index.php…
Together with Liran Einav and @motoyogo, we are organizing a conference for financial and IO economists on asset demand systems to better understand the equilibrium relation between asset prices and portfolio holdings on May 14-15, 2026, in Princeton.
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Here is the recording of the excellent virtual seminar by @a_auclert. Check it out, you'll get both a valuable primer on the HANK modeling approach *and* new contributions on firm and investment heterogeneity. Thank you Adrien, we all learned a lot! cepr.org/multimedia/virtual-…
Adrien Auclert will present "New Keynesian Economics with Household and Firm Heterogeneity" in this month's VSME which we at the @sffed jointly organize with @cepr_org. Join us on Thursday at 11am ET for Adrien's talk and a Q&A session! cepr.org/events/event-series…
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Replying to @Lse
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Ricardo Reis retweeted
Monetary policy and behavioral economics with @MagratheanTimes @R2Rsquared @LSEnews #LSEEvents #LSEvents
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Highly recommended! "Financial Repression in the XXIst Century" by Ricardo Reis. "Large stocks of public and external debt tempt policymakers to extract resources from their creditors. This article characterizes three broad forms of financial repression that serve this purpose. The first consists of direct taxation of the financial sector through levies on financial transactions, banks’ income, or pension-fund assets. The second is a sudden and sufficiently persistent devaluation of the currency. The third raises the demand for the non-monetary services provided by different types of government liabilities while keeping their supply scarce, thereby creating yield discounts. Reviewing historical experience, including recent years, the article concludes that each of these revenue sources can occasionally be large, but that policies designed to exploit them often fail. Financial repression is an alluring but ultimately illusory temptation: yielding to it typically generates substantial efficiency losses while producing only limited revenue." personal.lse.ac.uk/reisr/pap…
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