kout retweeted
Uh oh, stocks moving down WITH oil? For all the new kids, welcome to the pain train, this is where things start to get spicy.
kout retweeted
๐ $DJI #DowJones โ ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ ๐๐๐ก ๐ก๐ข ๐๐ข๐ก๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐ก๐ฆ๐ง ๐๐ง!
- ๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต $GS ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด, the bears are already fighting an uphill battle.
- ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐! $XLI industrials are bottoming, and $CAT, the Dow's second-largest component by weight, is getting ready to join the party! ๐
- ๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป'๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ $NVDA! Its upside momentum adds yet another powerful engine to the Dow's advance.
๐ฏ ๐ง๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐, ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป: ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฅ!
๐ฅ $UDOW โ
๏ธ
$RTX
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY
kout retweeted
Hedge funds are the least net long US stocks in 5 years (Goldman)
Net leverage just fell 3.2 pts in one week. There's only 3 bigger drops in 5 years: Jan 2022, Oct 2023, Apr 2025
Two of those three marked major lows
kout retweeted
Once again a candle close below the lower bollinger band while the RSI is oversold on the 15m worked out as an intraday mean reversion setup. +112% in an hour and a half using 0dte calls. I donโt often trade 0dte but when I see this setup I take the risk.
kout retweeted
If we hit that 760 node on $SPY, I will buy two more cons.
Target's going to be up there at 772 to 775.
I will drop what the weekly implied move is and what the daily implied move is for Monday. We are well below both right now, but as you all know, at the end of day, we will get new weekly implied moves for next week.
Just bought calls for next Friday.
Wish me luck. Haha $SPY
VIX triggered my extreme signal times THREE.
80% probability is worth it to me. Keeping less size on these. I will add at 760.
kout retweeted
Yields are screaming again today. The 10 Year is back over the 10dma and the DXY just being a toddler that doesnโt want to go down for a nap. Weโre going to need to see some Friday afternoon suppression to keep the 785 by next Wednesday dream alive.
kout retweeted
The S&P is attempting to fill it's gap from yesterday after tagging that lower daily implied move for today.
Nothing about the plan or thesis has changed.
June puts - down 7%
December puts - down 22%
Minimum target by end of October is 755.5. It is my more aggressive target. But the target I am more so playing is my December target down to 715.
People are going to see just how patient TJ really is with his swings.
$SPX $SPY #SP500 $ES_F $QQQ $NDX $CL_F #US10Y $TLT
The options market is pricing in the following move for $SPY tomorrow.
780.83-781.74 - Upper Daily Implied move.
772.7-773.81 - Lower Daily Implied move.
There's usually about a 70% chance of hitting one of the two daily implied moves.
Let's see what tomorrow brings.
My guess is we hit 770 by end of week.
Again, not in short dates. I am in my swings that will likely look so damn beautiful by end of December.
#Bitcoin video comes later.
kout retweeted
Getting my weekly laughs in watching my wife try to install inflatable decorations in my front yard for the holiday
I'll help her later..but for now
kout retweeted
$SPY We are right at the stop loss level but only the close matters so Iโm holding to see if we close above 773.38 or below it. Only down 8% on the position which is less than the 10-12% I planned to risk. The green $VIX is helping.
I honestly doubt we close above the stop loss level Iโll most likely end up swinging. It seems like this move up is getting exhausted up here as it should.
Again, Iโm bullish on the overall market right now but Iโm only looking for a pull back to around todayโs open at 766 or 763.
kout retweeted
$SPY Iโll take a long trade If price stays below 765 snd revisits last weekโs lows around 760.
Itโs not rocket science, you can clearly see that price tested the support zone of 762-760 3x and delivered a bounce. Thatโs why this area is worth it. The stop loss is a close right under the entry zone so the risk/reward is great. Almost guaranteed to make a lot more if right than the loss if wrong.
Itโs really that simple sometimes.
kout retweeted
$SPY Update as of 08/27/26 overnight.
The same chart shown again below will continue to hold into next week. I expect $NVDA to give back 5% or slightly more of its gains in the next few days. #Warsh may kick the ball moving on this, but we do not need him, geometry says she needs to correct here, I got $SVIX to do it. The $230 NVDA today was a completed wave โ
Members can see the "daily price moves" on $NVDA $SPY into next week here, already mapped out earlier including the forecasted final impulse on it after the imminent drop:
astrozan.substack.com/p/nvdaโฆ
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY $DRAM $SNDK $MU $EWJ $EWY
kout retweeted
$SPY โThere is chance we visit 739-735 soon.โ Got exactly that today.
This area now should act as support but to buy the dip i want to see a close above 739 or the selling may continue. Thatโs all that matters today.
$SPY volume today was less than 30m. This is probably the lowest in a very long time.
Price rejected the 10 dma and will close below resistance. This is not a good look at all, if youโre bullish you need to be patient. There is a chance we visit 739-735 soon.
This is a bearish close so swinging puts isnโt a bad idea but Iโll personally pass since Iโm on vacation, and also because the hourlies are giving some mixed signals so itโs not a โcleanโ short. Swinging anything today is gambling odds.
Letโs see how the week ends.
kout retweeted
Kids out here hustling the gated community $10 a can to clean your garbage
Gave them a lesson in hustling and told em both for $10
then my hose ended up having a hole in it
