Cat Risk Management đź’ˇ for practitioners developing re/insurance products, building and validating cat models.
London, England
Joined March 2015
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Junaid Seria retweeted
Here are the 5 am EDT Sunday Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Ian. Follow the latest at hurricanes.gov
Fellow catastrophe risk management practitioners, keen to hear your thoughts on our recent work to quantify the potential near-term impacts of climate change on re/insured portfolios. scor.com/en/expert-views/mod…
Junaid Seria retweeted
#ResilientTogether | With a strong focus on the next 5-10 years, we are assessing the impact of climate change on SCOR and on its clients’ business through a deep study, as Paul Nunn and Maurizio Savina explain buff.ly/33y3lxc
Junaid Seria retweeted
All three seasons with warmer sea surface temperatures than 2020 to date were very active Atlantic #hurricane seasons. Both 2005 and 2017 were extremely destructive seasons as well, while 2010 spared the continental US, with 0 of the 12 hurricanes in the basin hitting the CONUS.
Junaid Seria retweeted
I spent a humiliating amount of time learning how to make animated graphs, just to illustrate a fairly obvious point.
“Forecasting s-curves is hard”
My views on why carefully following daily figures is unlikely to provide insight.
constancecrozier.com/2020/04…
Junaid Seria retweeted
BNP Paribas has modelled what the Vix index might have looked like going back a century.
Junaid Seria retweeted
Watch our visualization to see how confirmed coronavirus cases in the US, Italy, and Spain have exploded in recent weeks. technologyreview.com/s/61541…
Junaid Seria retweeted
“If you are irresponsible enough to think that you don’t mind if you get the flu, remember it’s not about you - it’s about everybody else.”
Intensive care specialist Professor Hugh Montgomery explains why this coronavirus is different from the ordinary flu.
Junaid Seria retweeted
NEW on coronavirus: many western countries may soon face Italy’s situation
Case numbers since outbreaks began in several countries have tracked a ~33% daily rise. This is as true for UK, France, Germany as Italy; the latter is simply further down the path ft.com/content/a26fbf7e-48f8…
Junaid Seria retweeted
According to the official statistics, the coronavirus epidemic in China has been leveling off with more than half of patients already recovered.
Only 119 new cases were reported yesterday, all but 5 of which were in Wuhan.
Junaid Seria retweeted
Animated history of Australia's national average temperature and precipitation.
The hot & dry weather in recent years is a major factor in making the current wildfires so severe. #AustraliaFires
Junaid Seria retweeted
Are #CMIP6 climate models running hot?
* Most models are not running hot
* Many hot models poorly reproduce past temperatures
* Not all model results are available
It is premature to conclude that climate sensitivity is higher than thought!
@hausfath thebreakthrough.org/issues/e…
Junaid Seria retweeted
Focus on what you eat, not whether your food is local
GHG impacts of food
Biggest:
1. On farm (mainly methane)
2. Land-use change
Smaller:
3. Animal feed
4. Processing
5. Transport
6. Retail
7. Packaging
Less red meat, biggest impact!
@_HannahRitchie
ourworldindata.org/food-choi…
Junaid Seria retweeted
THIS WEEK'S MOST READ #2: Report: Florida Will See Noticeable Climate Change Impacts in 20 Years bit.ly/37cG6bv
Junaid Seria retweeted
Today is the climatological peak for #extratropical #hurricaneforce lows in the North Atlantic. Can you tell? #MarineWx
Keen to see how STORM can help with climate change scenario assessments, particular for near-term impacts on insurance losses
This is one of the most exciting bits of work I have been involved in - we have predicted 10,000 years of tropical cyclone activity globally - check it out, published today: nature.com/articles/s41597-0… @unisouthampton @VUamsterdam @OceanEarthUoS @nature @ScientificData @VU_IVM
