Nobody cared who I was till I put on the mask. (Bowser-Guevarist, He/Him, Pan) 25
Joined April 2020
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My personal final predictions for Senate and Governors 2026, barring any new massive polls, basically by margin (Color by margin, Safe is by 15 or more, Likely is by 8 to 14, Lean by 4 to 7, Tilt by 3 or less). I also think Dems get around 240 seats, give or take 3 or 4 but I’m too lazy to do every seat. GCB like 10 or 11.
Seth Abrams retweeted
🧵 This is a thread dedicated to exposing on the grifting, duplicitous fraud @DSA_Watch. I didn’t want to do this, but he and Haley Stevens forced my hand. In this thread you will see his entire online presence is a grift to fill his bank account and shamelessly lie.
Seth Abrams retweeted
El-Sayed: At the end of the day, I actually don't think about Haley Stevens. Because you know what? I'm just less interested in the politics of it all than I am in the policy of it all…
If you are somebody who believes that we should stand up to hate, and you have watched this last campaign, I think we probably would not want to support Mike Rogers and Donald Trump and JD Vance. If you're somebody who believes that we need more health care, not less than you probably don't want to vote for the guy who voted to raise prescription drug prices or keep them high 19 times and takes money from big pharma and big insurance. If you're somebody who believes in public education, you probably do not want to support the guy who architected the initial legislation in 1999 that ended up stripping local control from Detroit public schools and the local community. If you're somebody who believes that you should have a right to a union, you probably don't want to support the guy who busts unions. So I'm just saying that the principles that we believe in as Democrats are really quite clear. I stand for all of them.
Seth Abrams retweeted
Does Haley Stevens realize 85% of her appeal during the primary was an enduring belief that she was best positioned to beat Mike Rogers rather than anything about her as an individual
El-Sayed: I have a sense that you all are here today because of the decisions of somebody who's not here right now. I'm just going to tell you, this is a state of 10 million people who deserve a lot better from their government. I'm a lot more focused on the 9,999,998 that are not the ones you guys are talking about
I'm not in the business of driving clicks for you. I'm in the business of trying to solve problems for the people of my state
Ya know what, I have my issues but lord, ya have a moral spine!
I WOULDN’T, EVER! I’ve been working for candidates whose names are lesser known around the Country and in Texas… I’m still not sure why that’s angered so many people, but I’m praying @thefirepac has a great night because it’ll mean our state and country have some amazing years to look forward to.
Curious bout what you all think will be the first swing senate seat, not counting Georgia or North Carolina, to be called?
Seth Abrams retweeted
🚨NEW ARTICLE AND INTERACTIVES🚨
Polling has a problem this year.
Total Recall Bias.
Our findings suggest this probably causes a ~2pt error favoring Democrats in your standard generic ballot poll.
To add insult to injury, many pollsters are using pretty conservative weights this year. A large non-response bias amongst Republicans must occur to counteract these observations; otherwise, we are probably on track for a VA/NJ 2025 repeat.
The groups Trump made his largest gains with (younger, non-white, lower income, non-college, politically disaffected) are the most likely to lie to pollsters by saying they didn't vote for him in 2024, because they're reinforcing their upcoming vote choice.
projects.statenavigate.com/f…
Continual advocate for giving Vivziepop a gun and legalizing murder for her. Give her Red Guards and the power of the People’s Liberation Army, she deserves it, and so does Gooseworx.
Have you never heard of residual magic? Like clearly he’s far less powerful, and would’ve been able to do that far easier when he was actually a prince. They literally say this. For fucks sake he’s son of one of the most powerful of the Ars Goetia, I’d be more surprised if he had none left over.
