Tennis Lover First Handicapper Second 🎾 YTD +60u📈 Been Tailing? Drop a follow 👉 Tracked Independently 📊 Go sub for FREE👇
Joined February 2026
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Splash💦 retweeted
This week on tour 🎾
🇨🇭 Basel — Swiss Indoors
🇦🇹 Vienna — Erste Bank Open
Two ATP 500s. Another big week of indoor tennis.
Follow our tennis cappers on @SharpCircleBet for their plays throughout the week.
Active Tennis Cappers on Sharp Circle
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Splash💦 retweeted
Anyone can win on X. Screenshot the hot week, delete the cold one, farm the engagement. 🎾
Sustaining it is the hard part.
672 picks. 336 wins, 260 losses. +111.49u at 9.06% ROI, every single bet graded by a third party before it settled.
That's what a real record looks like. Not a straight line. A long one.
If your tipster is so profitable, ask him for his @sharpcirclebet record. See how quickly he changes the subject. 😆
Splash💦 retweeted
Happy to jump in here, looked at ATP since 2000 and last 10 years.
Players who lose the first set 6-1 force a third set 29.7% of the time and win the match just 14.9% (692 of 4,648) since 2000
Since 2016 they force a third set 32.5% of the time and win 16.1% (256 of 1588)
But after losing the first set in general its 36.8% forcing a third and 19.5% winning the match so no real curse
Splash💦 retweeted
The rule: promotion into the main draw as a lucky loser is based purely on ATP ranking among qualifiers who lost in the final qualifying round — never on the score, never on how the match went. Walkover or 3-hour battle, doesn’t matter (atptour.com/-/media/files/ru…)
The data (51 ATP Tour events, 2026 season): 85 LL promotions across 41 tournaments. Two-thirds of LLs lose round 1; a third pick up at least one win.
Only 2 cases this season were a clean no-show in the last qualifying round (0-0, not a game played): Otto Virtanen (US Open) and Bernard Tomic (Los Cabos). Both then delivered — Virtanen took Rublev to 5 sets, Tomic beat Khachanov and reached the QF.
Two more got blown out 6-2 6-2-or-worse and were promoted anyway (Gaston, Topo) — proving score really doesn’t matter — but neither did anything with the chance.
Bottom line: the incentive to coast your last qualifying match is real and built into the rule. Actual exploitation this season? Rare — 2 clear cases out of 85 — but when it happens, it works.
Splash💦 retweeted
Couldnt be more incorrect. Womens tennis is at an all time high. There is more depth in the top 10 than ever before. More talents outside the top 100 giving the top seeds a run. Its a much more entertaining product than the ATP which is quite stale. This Rybakina performance was dissapointing but since you dont watch the sport you dont know the context of her carrying an injury through the last couple months. The same injury with which she won the USO and become the world number 1 by beating the former number 1. So dont talk about 'lack of talent' in wta which shows you clearly dont know what youre talking about.
Splash💦 retweeted
Absolutely FREE putting up these numbers? 😭
Insane stuff. Glad to have Splash on SC dude has been absolutely cooking. 🔥
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SEPTEMBER RECAP 💦
+52.55u📈
If you think you can't make money betting straight and following bankroll management think again!
No bets deleted, everything tracked 👇🏼
sharpcircle.bet/tipsters/Spl…
Splash💦 retweeted
Snooze fest for most of our tennis cappers right now 😴
But @SplashBets is still going hard with the WTA & Challenger volume
Subscribe to Splash on Sharp Circle and make sure you’re following him on Twitter:
sharpcircle.bet/tipsters/Spl…
Splash💦 retweeted
🏆 US OPEN MEN’S FINAL
🇺🇸 Ben Shelton +128 vs Alexander Zverev -144 🇩🇪
Odds Provided by @bet_105
Sign up here today best odds
btone.kelsira.com/?mid=34484…
Not a ton of action from our cappers on the final today, but MASSIVE shoutout to @Splashhhbets, who does have some action on this one.
Dude has been absolutely killing it in September +37 UNITS
Subscribe to Splash for FREE:
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And make sure you’re following him on Twitter
Splash💦 retweeted
Haha saba vs ryba matches are always fun to handicap, imo theres a lot of factors tangible or intangible that are favouring ryba. You can look at the serve and holding numbers both lean ryba. She also has a 4-2 h2h in finals. Rybakina looks to be playing the freest she ever has, with vukov by her side. Being number 1 you'd think she'd check out but came back stronger against coco who possibly has the strongest mental in the tour. While Saba does have an invincible aura at USO going for her, she also has the extremely stressful challenge of having to 3 peat a major. Saba can still have moments where she checks out but we hardly see that with ryba. These two are the sincaraz of the WTA rn and having said that fair odds should really be a pickem. So -150 on sabalenka does not shout value to me. I'm expecting and hoping it to be fireworks with both serving bombs and attacking each others 2nd serve.
Ps - i do have a +1700 ticket on ryba which would be a pretty sweet cherry on top 🤞
Splash💦 retweeted
🚨 GAUNTLET IN GONTHAM IS HERE. 🦇🎾
@SharpCircleBet × @bet_105 are officially launching the $10,000 US Open Gauntlet.
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💰 $100,000 Bankroll Betting Challenge
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Think you can survive Gotham?