@StateNavigate

Your compass for state legislatures. Nonpartisan 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization dedicated to creating and curating all data on state governments.

 United States
statenavigate.org
Joined March 2024
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🚨FORECAST LAUNCH🚨 We have officially launched our state legislative forecasts for every state in the country. We currently project Democrats (and Democrat-caucusing Independents) to have a net gain of 407 state legislative seats in November. projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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State Navigate@StateNavigate7h
🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨 Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵Democrats +20 🔵59% Democrats 🔴39% Republicans ⚪️3% Undecided ⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024 articles.statenavigate.com/v… 🧵

Spanberger is the Floor: Virginia Democrats Hold 20-Point Lead in Generic Ballot

Democrats are poised for their largest win in Virginia’s congressional elections in decades.

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🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨 Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵Democrats +20 🔵59% Democrats 🔴39% Republicans ⚪️3% Undecided ⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024 articles.statenavigate.com/v… 🧵

Spanberger is the Floor: Virginia Democrats Hold 20-Point Lead in Generic Ballot

Democrats are poised for their largest win in Virginia’s congressional elections in decades.

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🔶Spanberger is the floor. Democrats are winning over voters who, at this point, planned to vote for Winsome Sears in 2025. Most people who were undecided in the 2025 gubernatorial race have already decided to vote Democratic. 🔶The undecideds overall skew Republican-leaning based on their previous vote choices. 🔶Most partisans kept their party ID the same, but Democrats have gained in party ID over time.
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🔶We have other great team notes, but this one is perhaps the most important: we did not find any Republican non-response bias in our poll.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombe18h
.@StateNavigate has an article slated for early next week that I have been working on for about two weeks now on 2024 presidential recall. Hoping Tuesday. You don't want to miss it.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombe17h
The @StateNavigate GA GOV poll goes into the field Friday, we expect results to be up by no later than Wednesday currently.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 20
The @StateNavigate forecasts have been updated tonight to remove Wedgewood's polls from our Governor forecasts. Not much has changed anywhere. NE w/the largest margin change at 1.1%. Everything else 0.1%-0.3%. GA, IA, KS, MI, NE, NV, OH, TX, WI are the states where there were Wedgewood polls in our forecasts. All are out now.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 16
.@StateNavigate is now looking to raise funds for an upcoming Georgia poll we hope to start 1 week from now. If you can make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund, we would greatly appreciate it! We're trying to raise $2,000. I'll post updates: statenavigate.org/donate/
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State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 15
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨 SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP) HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP) HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP) HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3 HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) articles.statenavigate.com/p…

Democrats Gain in Pennsylvania Legislative Polling

Democrats are gaining in most of our polls across the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

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🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨 SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP) HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP) HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP) HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP) HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3 HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP) articles.statenavigate.com/p…

Democrats Gain in Pennsylvania Legislative Polling

Democrats are gaining in most of our polls across the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

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Cooper Burton@cooperrburtonOct 14
Excited to share that I'm starting a new role as the Data Manager @StateNavigate today! I'm really looking forward to working with such a great org to build out their datasets for 2026 and beyond.
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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 12
🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨 I wrote about the top 20 strangest state legislative races in 2026: 10 crazy, 10 interesting. Arrested incumbents, write-ins, party-switchers, slurs, pedophiles, Nazis, and more. Our best article of 2026. Enjoy! projects.statenavigate.com/f…

The 20 strangest state legislative races of 2026

Party switches. Arrested incumbents. And of course, write-ins.

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Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 11
👀
Chaz Nuttycombe
@ChazNuttycombeOct 10
I've written the best article I've made in a year, titled "The 20 Strangest State Legislative Elections of 2026." 10 races that are ridiculously crazy, and 10 that I find really interesting. It's out Monday at 8 AM Eastern.
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State Navigate@StateNavigateOct 8
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL🚨 PA SD-46 (Trump +28) State Senate 🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 43% 🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 43% ⚪️Undecided 14% Governor 🔵Josh Shapiro (D) [inc] 51% 🔴Stacy Garrity (R) 42% ⚪️Undecided 7% articles.statenavigate.com/p…

Can the Democrats’ Dan Osborn Strategy Work on the State Legislative Level?

Democrats’ Dan Osborn strategy isn’t just limited to US Senate races: they’re trying it at the state legislative level this year, too. Can it work?

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ICYMI: we now have a national state legislative forecast simulator. Plug in what you think will happen in the general election and how demographics will vote, and see how it stacks up against our forecasts. projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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