Tom Fischermann (@Strandreporter) header
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International Economy for @DIEZEIT. Books for C.H.Beck and Heyne. #Hamburg, #SouthEastAsia, #Pacific. Sometimes in #Rio. Special interest: the Rainforest

Strandreporter Pacific Edition
Joined May 2013
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U.S. Embassy in Brasília Highlighted Lula's 'Definitive' Victory in Report U.S. diplomatic mission says extension of voting hours had minimal impact www1.folha.uol.com.br/intern…
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Tom Fischermann retweeted
Nach Flávio Bolsonaros Flucht erklärt die halbe Welt Brasilien die Demokratie. Linke und Rechte sind sich erstaunlich einig. Das sagt mehr über sie als über das Land. trib.al/mtzBOsF
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Kriminelle haben die Kryptobörse Binance gehackt und 6,3 Milliarden Dollar entwendet. Wie es dazu kam – und was Betroffene jetzt tun können. trib.al/2C2xNgN
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Presidential loser Flávio Bolsonaro’s ChatGPT generated “Miami declaration” has today been branded “pathetic” by Brazilian media, and he has lost his entire support base, including political allies, coalition parties, evangelical church leaders, and so on. Bolsonarismo is over.
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Reading posts by foreigners about Brazil, I get the impression that you're not aware of the full extent of the accusations against Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, or of the available evidence of his corruption. So I'd like to kindly invite you to really get to know Flávio. A thread 🧵🇧🇷
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It is very hard to tell simple stories about Brazil.
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It has been pretty funny to watch thousands of people just say stuff about Brazil since Sunday. Just waiting for everyone to stop and forget everything they said
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LAS CINCO CAUSAS JUDICIALES QUE ACORRALAN A FLÁVIO BOLSONARO Lectura rápida Las investigaciones incluyen presunto lavado de dinero, corrupción, financiamiento ilegal de campaña y difamación. Según sus allegados, el senador viajó a Estados Unidos en medio del avance de las causas. 1. Lavado de dinero y apuestas La Justicia investiga una presunta red de lavado de activos y evasión fiscal mediante plataformas de apuestas y cuentas en el exterior. Los investigadores detectaron registros de acceso a nombre de Bolsonaro en cuentas offshore de Alcazar Holdings, empresa vinculada al abogado Willer Tomaz. El juez Alexandre de Moraes evalúa levantar el secreto bancario y fiscal de las firmas involucradas. 2. Corrupción y evasión para una biopic política La operación "Dark Horse" investiga el presunto origen ilícito de unos US$ 24 millones vinculados al exbanquero Daniel Vorcaro. El dinero habría sido utilizado para financiar una película sobre Jair Bolsonaro mediante un fondo inmobiliario estadounidense. Flávio sostiene que se trató de un "patrocinio privado legal". 3. Financiamiento ilegal de campaña La Justicia analiza si la candidatura de Bolsonaro recibió fondos del grupo conservador estadounidense Rockbridge Network para financiar actividades electorales y campañas digitales contra Lula. El juez Flávio Dino ordenó investigar posibles aportes extranjeros, prohibidos por la legislación electoral brasileña, y publicidad no declarada en redes sociales. 4. Difamación contra Lula Bolsonaro enfrenta una denuncia por publicaciones realizadas en enero de 2026, en las que vinculó al presidente brasileño con declaraciones de Nicolás Maduro. La acusación sostiene que difundió información falsa e injurias durante la campaña electoral. El expediente se encuentra en la etapa de presentación de argumentos de la defensa. 5. Retención ilegal de salarios La causa conocida como "Rachadinhas", iniciada en 2020, investiga la presunta retención de parte de los salarios de empleados cuando Bolsonaro era diputado estadual en Río de Janeiro. Aunque su defensa consiguió anulaciones parciales por cuestiones procesales, los fiscales evalúan presentar nuevas denuncias basadas en investigaciones patrimoniales. (+) en Clarín: clar.in/4zOc5MU
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Flávio Bolsonaro has left Brazil after losing to Lula, defying a Supreme Court travel ban while under investigation for money laundering. It’s an opening for São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas, long seen as the right’s best bet against Lula, to lead the opposition.
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Tom Fischermann retweeted
Ich kann mir diese komplett uninformierten und dümmlichen rechten Takes zur Brasilien-Wahl nicht mehr geben
Nur um das festzuhalten: 1. Die Wahl in Brasilien wurde NACH Schließung der Wahllokale verlängert. 2. Beamte werden festgenommen. 3. Wahllokale bauen weiterhin Urnen ab. 4. Stimmen werden während der Wahl ausgezählt und Ergebnisse veröffentlicht. „Demokratie“ a la Lula
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Given a margin of more than four million votes, roughly double that of 2022, a decision by Flávio Bolsonaro to question the result is unlikely to produce meaningful consequences. The two-hour extension of voting, criticized by some on the right, is not enough to sustain a campaign alleging fraud, not least because Flávio’s own campaign had asked for longer voting hours in several states.
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Iranian forces reportedly managed to strike 6 commercial vessels in and near the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday alone -UKMTO The 6 ships struck on Oct. 11 mark the highest single-day tally since the war began.
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Von wegen nachhaltiger Zuchtfisch! Eine fünfjährige Recherche von mehr als 70 Reportern beweist: Die Futterindustrie hinter dem Boom plündert Menschen und Meere aus. trib.al/sZRv612
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🛢️ The Gulf's Hormuz bypasses can carry only about half its oil Before the war, about 20M b/d went through Hormuz. Every Gulf producer is now trying to build a way around it. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: the East-West pipeline can move 7M b/d to Yanbu on the Red Sea, but the ports there can only load about 4.5 to 5M b/d. Riyadh plans to expand them. 🇦🇪 UAE: the Habshan–Fujairah line carries about 1.5M b/d. A 2nd line, due in 2027, will double that and a 3rd is under study. 🇮🇶 Iraq: a dormant pipeline to Syria could be revived, and a Basra–Haditha line could branch to Syria, 🇹🇷Türkiye and 🇯🇴Jordan. The Jordan route alone is estimated at about $10B for roughly 1M b/d. Even if every project is built, total bypass capacity comes to roughly 9 to 10M b/d. That's about half of what used to pass through the strait. 🇰🇼Kuwait, 🇧🇭Bahrain and 🇶🇦Qatar have no bypass at all, and Qatar's LNG can't be piped anywhere... Every bypass brings its own chokepoint. Saudi oil diverted to Yanbu still has to leave the Red Sea, where the Houthis claimed an attack on Aramco's Rabigh refinery this week and where a drone shut the East-West pipeline last month. Iraq's routes run through Anbar and Syria. Fujairah sits on the Gulf of Oman, just outside the strait. The pipelines spread the risk around. They don't remove it, and they cost billions to buy that relief. The uncertainty is timing... The UAE line is the only one with a firm date and Iraq's plans are mostly studies. If Hormuz reopens first, the urgency, and the funding, could fade. Source: Bloomberg
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In Thailand, Brasilien und China bezahlt man längst ohne Mastercard und Visa. Donald Trump hält das für einen Angriff aufs westliche Finanzsystem – und schlägt nun zurück trib.al/1jHt67m
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Ironically, Saudi Arabia now has more export capacity available (when combining both coasts) than it did prior to the war. Meanwhile, Iran is shipping out zero bpd.
SAUDI EAST-WEST CRUDE PIPELINE RECOVERS TO 5.5 MLN B/D - ARGUS
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Tom Fischermann retweeted
This is so brutal, so cruel, so horrifically unfair. There is nothing that shows the horror of the Trump administration in this country more than this.
CNN is granted access inside an immigration court hearing where dozens of children facing deportation, some as young as three years old, appealed to stay in the United States. Many of them facing the judge without an attorney representing them.
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Future generations won't believe we let this happen.
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