SMITH vs PUELLO | WBC 140 | Sheffield | Sat 24 Oct
The Steel City King's first defence. Mandatory challenger. Home crowd.
DALTON SMITH (19-0, 14 KOs)
✅ Finisher: 14 KOs in 19, and he finishes the durable ones. Stopped Matias in R5, the first man ever to do it
✅ Southpaw killer: 3 lefties, 3 stoppages. Folded Zepeda with a right hand to the body
✅ Body work: the shot that ends fights against movers who eventually get cornered
✅ Sheffield: 12 rounds of noise behind him
❌ Rust: about 9 months out, plus an injury that wrecked the June date
❌ Style test: Matias walked onto shots. Puello won't
ALBERTO PUELLO (25-1, 11 KOs)
✅ Two-time world champ, long Dominican southpaw, disciplined counter-puncher
✅ Never stopped in 26 pro fights
✅ Active: KO4 over Bolano in July
❌ Light hands: 11 KOs, nothing to keep Smith honest
❌ Every big win is a coin flip: SD Russell, SD Martin, then the MD loss to Matias
❌ Away in Sheffield, where close rounds won't go his way
THE MARKET
Smith KO/TKO at 4/1, about 20% implied. Too short-sighted for a man who's stopped every southpaw he's faced and broke a never-stopped Matias.
THE CALL:
Smith by stoppage. Patient early, the body work adds up, and Puello's legs and resistance go in the second half.
Statement defence. Hometown finish. ⚡
#SmithPuello
@MatchroomBoxing @daltonsmith08 @DAZNBoxing
NAVARRETE vs FOSTER | 130lb UNIFICATION
WBO + IBF + WBC + The Ring | Sat Oct 24 | San Antonio | DAZN
The market: Foster 8/15 (~62%) | Navarrete 6/4 (~38%)
Pressure vs precision.
Here's the breakdown 👇
🔥 EMANUEL NAVARRETE (40-2-1, 33 KOs)
✅ 83% KO rate. Real power from awkward, wide angles
✅ Relentless volume and body work that compounds late
✅ Never been stopped. Walks through fire to land
✅ Elite finisher: broke Nuñez down over 10 rounds
❌ Hittable. Takes shots to give shots
❌ Struggles with slick boxers: drew with Conceição, lost to Berinchyk
❌ Cut-prone: Valdez II and Suarez were both shaped by cuts
🧊 O'SHAQUIE FOSTER (25-3, 12 KOs)
✅ Elite ring IQ. Counters, then exits on a new line
✅ Height edge (5'8.5") and disciplined distance control
✅ Proven against technicians: Conceição, Fulton and Ford all beaten
✅ Composed in Texas, his home state, in front of his own crowd
❌ Modest power: 48% KO rate, distance in 7 of his last 8
❌ Leaves it to the judges, and close fights can swing either way (Ford was a majority decision)
❌ Chin never tested by a puncher of Navarrete's level
The call: Shock by decision ⚡️ @OshaquieFoster
@DAZNBoxing @trboxing
#NavarreteFoster
The British and commonwealth champ 👑 @MichaelGomezJnr
Judges need investigating and suspending.
@Queensberry @FrankWarren
#Boxing
Thank you everyone for the support since Saturday. Here are my thoughts 🩵
Thank you @Queensberry @DAZNBoxing and everyone at @TheO2 for making it such a special moment in my boxing career.
#Boxing #Judging
@AlexRutter2 @KevinMaree @Leeeaton88 @FrankWarren @Base_Security
The Boxing Quant retweeted
NOT ALL FILMS GET THAT HAPPY ENDING, but they’re still worth seeing.
Not the result I wanted or believe I should have got, but that’s life. I’m not going to cry over it or blame the world. What hurts most is spending 15 weeks dreaming of showing my daughter what hard work gets you that British title.
This one hurts, so I’m taking a break from social media and some time out of boxing. But if you’d told me 11 months ago I’d be fighting in back-to-back co-main events, I’d have told you to come off the medication 😂😂
@Queensberry @Leeeaton88 @KevinMaree you’ve changed my life this year. Whatever the outcome, I’ll be forever grateful.
@AlexRutter2 love you, coach. You’ve become more than my trainer, you’re my big brother. Couldn’t ask for a better man to have my back.
Time to rest with my family and my beautiful girls, then see what happens next. Not the ending I wanted, but the little boy inside me would be proud of what we did last night 💙
MGJ
🇮🇹 CANGELOSI vs OSUNA 🇲🇽
160lbs | 8 rds | Fundora–Hadribeaj undercard | DAZN
Osuna opened -305 (~75%)
Cangelosi opened +215 (~32%)
Since then: Cangelosi into +125 at some books (~44%)
Money is moving one way. The book is catching up.
THE CASE FOR CANGELOSI
▪️ 13-0-1 | 14 pro bouts | 77 rounds
▪️ Ex-Italian national team, ~50 amateur bouts, junior worlds pedigree
▪️ Already been 10 rounds under Vegas lights
▪️ Jab-led technician vs a fighter yet to prove himself past 8-round level
Osuna is 11-0, but the 0 hasn't been tested like this.
THE RISK
The Hernandez draw in March as a -420 fav. Moving up from 154. I know.
But , 8 rounds is a ring IQ fight, not a war. Experience and the jab bank rounds.
THE CALL:
Cangelosi ML 🐶🐕
#FundoraHadribeaj
@DAZNBoxing @premierboxing @Swift_Promos @DannySwift
The Boxing Quant retweeted
Poor Michael Gomez Jr robbed absolutely blind then for the British and commonwealth titles …that was disgraceful 😳
The Boxing Quant retweeted
Gomez Jr. is not happy 🫣
🎟️ Buy #DuboisWardley2 NOW at DAZN.com | LIVE NOW Exclusively on DAZN 🤳
The Boxing Quant retweeted
‼️ Tyson Fury reacts to the controversial draw in Michael Gomez Jr. 🆚 Louie O'Doherty:
"He only lost two rounds and he won 10 and they've give him a draw. That is a bad robbery that. F**king hell. How in the world did you give it a draw? You robbed a lad of his title. Boxing's f**ked up man. Can't leave it to the judges."
Biggest Robbery I have seen awhile. Complete Domination from @MichaelGomezJnr had Gomez winning by 9 rounds and DRAW!?!? Absolute joke.
@Queensberry @FrankWarren sort this out , that decision was diabolical. Think them judges need investigating.
#DuboisWardley2
O'DOHERTY vs GOMEZ JR | Oct 17 🇬🇧
British & Commonwealth lightweight titles | 12 rounds
It’s fight week and this a match up that we’ve been looking forward to.
The market says O'Doherty, around −370 (~73%).
I say this is Michael Gomez Jr's night.
Why the price is wrong:
O'Doherty (12-0, 3 KOs) is a come-forward champion with little head movement. He has been hurt and clipped by lesser opponents . Now he's walking into a man who can bang and loves a shootout!
Gomez Jr (23-2, 8 KOs) is in form. He's fresh off a TKO6 of Lee McGregor on the same Doncaster card where O'Doherty outworked Hatim.
-Two men with no reverse gear means exchanges. Exchanges favour the counter-puncher who attacks the body. That's Gomez.
- Live underdog, a name his family made famous on the British scene. This isn't a step-up he's afraid of. He called it out himself.
The play: Gomez Jr at +250 (We got in at 11/4) with Gomez by KO/TKO as the method angle.
The call: Gomez Jr ML and if you wanto get tasty with it - by STOPPAGE. A statement win incoming!
Good luck champ @MichaelGomezJnr
#Boxing #DuboisWardley2 #GomezJr
🚨 FIGUEROA-KAMEDA CANCELED
❌ The Brandon Figueroa-Tomoki Kameda fight scheduled for tonight's PBC/TNT card has been canceled because Figueroa became ill on Friday after cutting weight and failing to make the limit. #FundoraHadribeaj
Plus a rumoured Hamstring Injury.. Not turning up to the weight in ceremony are all 🚩
@TomokiKameda Looks in phenomenal shape, despite been 17 months inactive. Potential upset alert on this one 👀 #FigueroaKameda
Personally a rematch that has been made to soon. We question Wardley’s recovery from the last fight and whether he has had enough time to adapt a new game plan. I don’t know man , this could violently end earlier than the last fight. A fight to enjoy as a fan . No pre-fight read on this one. #DuboisWardley2
Plus a rumoured Hamstring Injury.. Not turning up to the weight in ceremony are all 🚩
@TomokiKameda Looks in phenomenal shape, despite been 17 months inactive. Potential upset alert on this one 👀 #FigueroaKameda
⚖️ BOTH ON WEIGHT. NO EXCUSES. 🇬🇧
Tomorrow night at The O2, @MichaelGomezJnr walks out the challenger.
He walks back as the NEW British & Commonwealth CHAMPION.
Pressure. Counters. Suffocating inside work.
The Gomez name back on the British belt. 🔥
@DAZNBoxing @Queensberry @AlexRutter2
#DuboisWardley2 #boxing
O'DOHERTY vs GOMEZ JR | Oct 17 🇬🇧
British & Commonwealth lightweight titles | 12 rounds
It’s fight week and this a match up that we’ve been looking forward to.
The market says O'Doherty, around −370 (~73%).
I say this is Michael Gomez Jr's night.
Why the price is wrong:
O'Doherty (12-0, 3 KOs) is a come-forward champion with little head movement. He has been hurt and clipped by lesser opponents . Now he's walking into a man who can bang and loves a shootout!
Gomez Jr (23-2, 8 KOs) is in form. He's fresh off a TKO6 of Lee McGregor on the same Doncaster card where O'Doherty outworked Hatim.
-Two men with no reverse gear means exchanges. Exchanges favour the counter-puncher who attacks the body. That's Gomez.
- Live underdog, a name his family made famous on the British scene. This isn't a step-up he's afraid of. He called it out himself.
The play: Gomez Jr at +250 (We got in at 11/4) with Gomez by KO/TKO as the method angle.
The call: Gomez Jr ML and if you wanto get tasty with it - by STOPPAGE. A statement win incoming!
Good luck champ @MichaelGomezJnr
#Boxing #DuboisWardley2 #GomezJr
The Boxing Quant retweeted
IT’S FIGHT WEEK! 🥊🔥
Since I was a kid, I’ve dreamed of becoming British champion. This Saturday at The O2, it’s time to turn that dream into reality.
Everything I’ve worked for. Everything I’ve fought through. All comes down to this.
Manchester, let’s hear you loud in London! 🐝
@AlexRutter2 @KevinMaree @Queensberry
O'DOHERTY vs GOMEZ JR | Oct 17 🇬🇧
British & Commonwealth lightweight titles | 12 rounds
It’s fight week and this a match up that we’ve been looking forward to.
The market says O'Doherty, around −370 (~73%).
I say this is Michael Gomez Jr's night.
Why the price is wrong:
O'Doherty (12-0, 3 KOs) is a come-forward champion with little head movement. He has been hurt and clipped by lesser opponents . Now he's walking into a man who can bang and loves a shootout!
Gomez Jr (23-2, 8 KOs) is in form. He's fresh off a TKO6 of Lee McGregor on the same Doncaster card where O'Doherty outworked Hatim.
-Two men with no reverse gear means exchanges. Exchanges favour the counter-puncher who attacks the body. That's Gomez.
- Live underdog, a name his family made famous on the British scene. This isn't a step-up he's afraid of. He called it out himself.
The play: Gomez Jr at +250 (We got in at 11/4) with Gomez by KO/TKO as the method angle.
The call: Gomez Jr ML and if you wanto get tasty with it - by STOPPAGE. A statement win incoming!
Good luck champ @MichaelGomezJnr
#Boxing #DuboisWardley2 #GomezJr
Robbery in mexico ❌ Had it 7-3 to Russell. How the hell was that a SD to Calixto !
#corruption #boxing
🥊 Jose Luis Russell Regalado vs Rene Calixto
📍 Hermosillo 🇲🇽 | Sat 3 Oct
🏆 Vacant WBO NABO Flyweight | 10 rds
Regalado: 19-1 (13 KO), 24, southpaw, technical and is a up and coming prospect
Calixto: 24-2-1 (10 KO), 31, NEVER stopped in 27, four months off a 12-round IBF title loss to Yabuki
Regalado's 68% KO rate was built against soft opposition. Calixto has gone the full 12 with a world-level operator and has never been stopped. Youth and power vs experience and durability.
✅ Lean: Regalado ML (some books have him as +money), The young Mexican outboxes him over 10 rounds, never been high on Calixto and the wars he’s had with Perez and his recent loss in Japan with just a 4 months turnover is likely have taken a toll on him.
Method anchor: goes the distance
NFA
#Boxing #RegaladoCalixto
Bilal 'Machine' Fawaz TKO8 Eithan James. Still British and Commonwealth champion.
✅ Winner: Fawaz
✅ Hedge: Fawaz TKO R7–12, cashed
❌ Headline pick: Fawaz by decision, method missed.
The read held: James's two career losses both came inside the distance, and Machine does his best work late.
Right winner, right window, wrong method on the main pick. The hedge is there for exactly this.
@BilalFawaz_ And still!!
#WhittakerWallace #FawazJames
FAWAZ vs JAMES | British Super Welterweight Title | Sat 3 Oct | Utilita Arena, Birmingham | DAZN
Bilal Fawaz (12-1-1, 38)
• Won the belts as a +180 dog vs Ishmael Davis, coming from behind to take the championship rounds
• First defence: Ryan Kelly retired after R9
• Pattern: slow starts, late surges. He plays with his food.
Eithan 'Jammy' James (17-2, 26)
• Ex-WBO European welter champ, now settled at 154
• Younger, sharper early, more pro rounds
• Low KO threat. His only lane is the cards
• Both career losses came inside the distance (Cooper RTD9, Ursu KO)
-Fawaz by decision is the single likeliest outcome: James banks the early rounds, Fawaz takes the back half and the fight.
PICK: Fawaz by decision
Hedge: Fawaz TKO R7–12
NFA
#WhittakerWallace #FawazJames


















