The U.S. Treasury will reset the fixed rate on Series I Savings Bonds on Nov. 1. The current rate is 0.9%. One forecasting theory says the new rate will be 1.4%, but another says 1.3%. Why the difference? tipswatch.com/2026/10/25/the…

Today's 5-year TIPS auction got a real yield of 2.367%, good but not awe-inspiring. Auction investors got caught in a down-draft of Treasury yields ... tipswatch.com/2026/10/22/5-y…

Treasury revamped its results .pdf layout today; I'm not sure I like the new look. Also changed the link on the TreasuryDirect site, which means an extra click for me.

Correction on the maturity date to 2031. Sorry!

This week's auction of a new 5-year TIPS (CUSIP 91282CRR4) may be the ultimate conservative investment. The real yield will be near a two-decade high. My analysis: tipswatch.com/2026/10/18/thi…

To some extent, but not like recent years, from 2016 on. Trump/Covid/Biden/Trump. Getting massively larger.

I've posted my analysis of the September inflation report, which set the I Bond's variable rate at 4.08% and Social Security COLA at 3.6%. tipswatch.com/2026/10/14/sep…

US CPI came in a bit higher than expectations for September: 0.6% for the month and 3.7% annual (versus 3.4% for August). Core was 0.3% for the month and 2.6% for the year (versus 2.4% for August).

The Sept inflation report is the most important of the year -- setting the I Bond's new variable rate and also determining the Social Security COLA for 2027. The consensus sees monthly all-items up 0.6% and annual jumping from 3.4% to 3.6%. But not so bad for core. We'll see.

Financial expert: "TIPS are for losers." Really? Even with real yields at nearly two-decade highs? It all depends on your commitment to hold to maturity. My analysis: tipswatch.com/2026/10/11/tip…