@Uncrewed

Writer of Uncrewed's State Legislative Election Watch. Lauren Underwood Stan. Some people may know me as Chris. DM's are open! (He/Him)

 Burbank, IL
uncrewed.substack.com/
Joined February 2014
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  • Followers9.4K
5.7KMedia
Since today is the start of Black History Month, here's a map of the black population of the United States by County. You can definitely spot the outline of the southern "black belt" here that stretches from Louisiana and Arkansas to Virginia.
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The next part of the State Legislative Election Watch's 2026 preview is out now covering this year's state legislative elections in Arkansas, Kansas, & Nevada! From a trifecta opportunity to breaking supermajorities, it's all here. Check it out below!
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Check it out here! uncrewed.substack.com/p/stat…
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Rhode Island has a chaotic election in #HD15 this year. Not only is the GOP incumbent facing a Dem, he's also facing former Cranston Mayor Allan Fung running as an Independent! The split on the right should lead to a Dem flip, but it's up in the air. SLEW RATING: Lean D (FLIP)
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🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨 Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵Democrats +20 🔵59% Democrats 🔴39% Republicans ⚪️3% Undecided ⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024 articles.statenavigate.com/v… 🧵

Spanberger is the Floor: Virginia Democrats Hold 20-Point Lead in Generic Ballot

Democrats are poised for their largest win in Virginia’s congressional elections in decades.

articles.statenavigate.com
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Another brand new edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering November's state legislative elections in Idaho, Nebraska, & New Mexico! Three more small states doesn't mean they don't have very interesting elections! Check it out below!
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Check it out here! uncrewed.substack.com/p/stat…
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The Pennsylvania GOP's goal of holding the State Senate this year may get a major wrench thrown in it thanks to #SD46, a Trump+28 seat covering SWPA. That's because an Independent is running against the GOP incumbent and polling really close! SLEW RATING: Lean R
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The NRCC Chairman losing his seat to Richard Ojeda of all people would be the funniest election result of all time
CJ Warnke@cjwarnkeOct 21
Replying to @cjwarnke
#NC09 Richard Ojeda: 42% Richard Hudson: 46% PPP - 10/19/26-10/20/26
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What's more likely: Guys create fake polls to game the betting markets (which we've seen proof of) or this is all a big conspiracy theory by BIG LEFTY against the centrists xitter.cf/jeremiahdjohns/status/…
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐
@JeremiahDJohnsOct 21
So the conspiratorial take that the left wing was inventing fake polls to help their preferred primary candidates turned out to just be true
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The next edition of the State Legislative Election Watch's 2026 Preview is out now covering this year's state legislative elections in Hawaii, New Hampshire, & West Virginia! Yes, I rated all 400+ races in New Hampshire. Check it out below!
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Check it out here! uncrewed.substack.com/p/stat…
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We were investigating Wedgewood for faking their data and emailed them for comment this morning, ahead of publishing the findings tomorrow. They are trying to cover up their fraud with the "we were doing a social experiment" excuse. Full story here: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fif…

FiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to it

In response to a request for comment on a FiftyPlusOne investigation, Wedgewood Polls admitted their data was bogus

blog.fiftyplusone.news
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
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Yeah idk, I feel like "IT WAS A PRANK BRO! A SOCIAL EXPIREMENT BRO!" is honestly just coping and that they were really trying to pretend to be a legitimate pollster. xitter.cf/PollTracker2024/status…
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Oct 20
So it turns out Wedgewood polls is just a bogus polling firm.
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👀👀👀
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With the Republican incumbent retiring, the Oregon Democrats are hoping to flip #HD52, which covers the Hood River/Dalles area. It's a Harris+7 district, so it should be an easy flip, but Tina Kotek at the top of the ballot might complicate things. SLEW RATING: Lean D (FLIP)
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The newest edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering this year's state legislative elections in Maine, Rhode Island, & Montana! Three of the smallest states in the country are chock full of competitive races! Check it out below!
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Check it out here! uncrewed.substack.com/p/stat…
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After narrowly losing it in 2024, the Oklahoma Democrats are hoping to flip #HD100 in suburban Oklahoma City. It only backed Trump by 80 votes and will almost certainly vote Dem for Governor this year, so they should be favored. SLEW RATING: Lean D (FLIP)
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Part 2 of the State Legislative Election Watch 2026 Election Preview is out now covering November's state legislative elections in Delaware and the Dakotas! Check it out below!
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Check it out here! uncrewed.substack.com/p/stat…
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