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Joined September 2021
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This is actually how we're built as humans. This is a feature, not a bug. I've recently started studying anthropology, and one of the lessons I learned from the book is that young humans are intelligent, but not nearly as intelligent as you would expect. Where we are incredibly capable, no other animal on the planet has anything close to what we have from social learning. We are creatures that are designed to copy. We look for people who are doing things better than us, more prestigious than us, and then we copy what they're doing. Sometimes, even to a fault, we'll copy stuff that's not helpful at all because somebody who is of higher prestige did it by accident. And as a species, that's how we survived. Data is not particularly persuasive because it's intellectual in nature. It's flat. There's no social element to it, so while we see information, it doesn't actually get us to move, whereas a great antidote will get us to move, even if the information is incorrect. This isn't depressing. This is just how we're built.
Replying to @IVMiles
I've come to this depressing conclusion about life: People are much more persuaded by personal anecdotes than they are by large scale surveys. "Huge study: Vaccines don't cause autism" "But I know so and so and their kid got the shot and were diagnosed a week later!!" Same in this situation. People talked to one college aged dude who had a radical conversion and became MAGA. Therefore, lots of young men are doing the same.
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Schuster🤠 retweeted
Adderall status: 30 mg taken Modafinil status: 400 mg ingested Black coffee status: 32 oz quaffed Nicotine pouch status: 15 mg under lip I will be the first human to become Opus 5.5
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Schuster🤠 retweeted
What do you mean, everyone he talked to liked his costume.
I hate sf halloween, what do you mean you’re going as survivorship bias
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Probably a surprising amount of overlap in those two communities.
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I can't speak to being 35 and single, but I can speak to being 35 and having a family. I never regretted having a family. However, when I was 30, I was getting calls from my friends about their vacations to some exotic place and one friend in particular who was in the Alps with a couple of models. At that point, I had a very fussy baby and a toddler living in Indiana in the dead of winter. It certainly makes you feel things. By 35, I was actually quite happy with my family, and all my single friends were calling me and talking to me about the hellscape that is the modern dating world. I feel like a man who got the last copter out of Nom. I feel I got the better end of the deal here.
when you get to 35 and you're single with no kids, you're going to regret it cos you should've already started a family by now. if you get to 35 yo and you've been married for 10 yrs with 3 or 4 kids, you're going to regret that cos you never got the chance to really live out your 20s. so if you marry, you will regret it. if you don't marry, you will also regret it. if you have kids, you will regret it. if you don't have kids, you will regret it. the big problem here is that choosing one life leaves another one unlived and where the regret festers is in our minds, when we romanticize the unknown of the path we didn't choose. we keep hunting for a choice that lets us keep every upside and pay no price but newsflash: it doesn't exist. so ask yourself, do i want this life badly enough to carry its cost? or did i only love it while it cost me nothing? think about that.
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Schuster🤠 retweeted
ハロウィンの「逆ビョーク」の仮装
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Just like Amazon are the economy Just like Google ate the economy Just like Microsoft ate the economy Just like IBM ate the economy Just like GE ate the economy Just like….
Replying to @8teAPi
Eh, it’s simultaneously pointless while we’re in the present free-for-all but almost inevitable if one AI lab basically eats the whole US economy. But the frontier labs all grasp this, though, and realize there’s a vast distance between insane profitability and absolute power.
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Schuster🤠 retweeted
We have made hundreds of videos from our phones over the past few weeks. No generative AI video. Everything rendered from code. Every edit done with precise intent. This is the future of vibe coding. No more shipping slop apps, only video maxxing now.
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Yes, it is, in the same way that everyone having a handgun in their house is a terrible allocation of resources when the government can make bigger, better guns. But Sam seems to fail to understand why we're willing to be a little bit inefficient sometimes. In other words, come and try to take it, fucker.
sam: local inference is a terrible allocation of scarce resources “a lot of people want local inference, and somehow they assume that the problem is solved now because we have open-source models, we're going to be able to run them on our computers, and so we're not going to need all the stuff in the data centre but from a global allocation perspective, actually it's quite terrible to have everybody, like, have a bunch of the world's limited supply of DRAM sitting in their own computer and being used five percent of the time you want maximum utilisation in the cloud if you're trying to deal with this very supply-constrained environment somehow many people's intuition is the opposite of that”
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Occasionally, someone comes up with such a clever insult that you just have to sit in awe.
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You do not turn your brain off. You move the cognitive load from one set of problems you had to solve to another set of problems that can now occupy your attention. Just like how once a calculator can perform all math operations for you, you stop calculating by hand and start focusing on a different part of the problem. I’m sure there are a small sunset of people who automated their work and are playing video games, but the vast majority of AI users are working more and longer hours.
Unless you have very specific mental traits if you work closely with AI you basically just turn your brain off at some point and start depending on it to do literally everything for you
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Every level of Norwood is represented here. I feel seen.
An ad for an expensive computer in 1951
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If you look at the history of the rise of new platforms you see an interesting trend: 1. A new platform comes alive, and the leading player appears to be the front runner in all the subsequent innovations sprouting from that platform 2. A whole host of new products and services not associated with the leading player appears anyway They’re not stupid. At the end of the day a business is designed to do a few activities incredibly well, often to the detriment of other activities. Some businesses are so different from how you operate that you simply can’t get the organization to compete effectively. And if you try to in too many diverse spaces you’ll dilute your advantage and allow an opening for a competitor to do what you’re doing but more focused. We don’t know where that line for AI exists, though. So we’re going to have to go through a few iterations of startups to figure out where the lab’s advantage end and the rest of the market begins.
There are no moats, Anthropic and OpenAI are gonna come for your startup 99% of the time If you do “AI for XYZ” they’re coming for you. Don’t trust Dario and Sam when they promise you you’re safe, you’re not. Unless you’re doing hard tech at this point, they’re not your friend
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Bro, they have an 80% profit margin on API pricing. Inference is incredibly profitable. In truth, your $200 a month is getting you $1,000 in inference, maybe. Not to mention, there's going to be about a billion service providers trying to undercut them. You're going to be swimming in tokens.
it's gonna be hilarious when everyone looks back 6 months from now and remembers getting $5K in inference for $200 a month...
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"you know what i'd really like?" "tell me" "a support agent" "...we can do a support agent" "a real agent, no low-effort AI bots, no outsourced indian firm" "i'll get you a very good agent. single mom working in the midwest, clear communicator, can actually issue refunds"
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Honestly, this should be the pitch for half of startups because this reasonably is the only thing that differentiates some of them.
the moat is that i got the dawg in me
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I swear, some people have absolutely no theory of mind for one another. The OP here clearly doesn't comprehend the idea that there are some people who do not want to go out and socialize and only did it for the purposes of fulfilling some greater goal. How hard is it to understand that social commitments can suck ass for introverts? How hard is it to understand that staying home in your jammies with a glass of wine can be a fun evening? It doesn't have to be your thing. You can decide you never want to do that. How hard is it to understand that it could be someone else's thing?
You guys realize that one of the greatest joys of motherhood is never again having to do any of the tedious and unfulfilling social rituals you were forced to do so you could increase your odds of finding a man who wanted to have kids with you
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Schuster🤠 retweeted
+ "you know what i'd really like?" - "tell me" + "a website" - "...we can do a website" + "a real website, not some claude generated neon slop, a real website" - "i'll make you a very good traditional handmade website, one that is built with dozens of snippets from stackoverflow"
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