Political machinations, Geopolitics concerning Europe & transatlantic relations. Often political economics rants. Eurodollar and US foreign policy explainer.

Immora
Joined September 2015
In today's political scenes, there's eerie type of chaos that lurks just behind a facade of order - and yet, deep inside the chaos lurks an even eerier type of order waiting to establish itself.
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BRAZIL DOLLAR BONDS DROP, LEAD EM LOSSES ON LULA'S SURPRISE WIN
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Brazil is uninvestable. Shift your money to countries that aren’t corrupt and spending on payoffs for votes
Don't sell your Brazilian shares just yet. A changed political landscape and big fiscal challenges will force Lula to be less lefty and more pragmatic and market-friendly, says @JPSpinetto (via @opinion) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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No time in history has a socialist been less lefty in spending money lol
Don't sell your Brazilian shares just yet. A changed political landscape and big fiscal challenges will force Lula to be less lefty and more pragmatic and market-friendly, says @JPSpinetto (via @opinion) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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I did long ago. I hate Airbnb
It is a truly beautiful thing when soooo many people have a problem and it can be soooo easily solved. For all the endlessssssss people who have been screaming about Airbnb online for days, here's good news: You have a solution. Stop using Airbnb. Go to a hotel.
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Strongmen across Central and Southeast Europe are losing elections, and the run of defeats stops where the ruling party and organized crime are the same network. Hungary went first. Tisza, led by Péter Magyar, took 138 seats in the 199-seat parliament while Orbán's Fidesz won 54, and Orbán conceded, ending his 16 years in power. Turnout hit a post-communist record near 80 percent. Serbia is next. Aleksandar Vučić conceded after the student-backed Student List won the parliamentary election. He put the students at 135 to 140 seats against about 105 for his Serbian Progressive Party, though the figures are preliminary. The movement grew out of months of student protests over corruption allegations and a lack of accountability. Magyar and the students beat entrenched machines the same way, by turning corruption into the only question on the ballot. Edi Rama in Albania is a different case, and I wouldn't expect him to be next. Orbán and Vučić ran on patronage and media control, which voters can switch off. Rama's government has been tied by critics to something harder to vote out. Ex-deputy PM Arben Ahmetaj, speaking from exile, pointed the finger directly at Rama over corruption schemes, and his accusations included allegations that Rama is involved with mafia bosses. Rama met Luftar Hysa, a Sinaloa-connected figure sanctioned by the US, and says he met him just once. Tirana mayor Erion Veliaj was arrested in February 2025, and SPAK has indicted deputy PM Belinda Balluku. Rama himself hasn't been charged. My read is that the mafia and narco gangs that have prospered under his government are protecting him, and they have no interest in a transition. Students can outvote a party. They can't outvote the people who bankroll it and carry guns.
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Serbia’s student-backed Student List won the parliamentary election, with Aleksandar Vučić conceding defeat after years of rule by his Serbian Progressive Party. Elsewhere, Lula won Brazil’s presidential runoff, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said three-way talks with Russia and the US were planned for November.
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Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said they had attacked Saudi Arabia's East-West crude oil pumping stations and Riyadh airport, as rising hostilities choke oil supplies and threaten to erupt into a larger conflict reut.rs/3WqoUyD
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Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro said that he would not concede defeat to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who secured a fourth non-consecutive term reut.rs/4zbvqbb
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John James would be an excellent choice for VP or even President for GOP
Join @MikeRogersForMI & I TOMORROW, Monday Oct. 26, in Grand Rapids for our GOTV Rally with @RobertKennedyJr! 🇺🇸 RSVP HERE: ticketstripe.com/johnjamesgr…
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Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado returns to her home country after nearly a year in exile, greeting ecstatic supporters at a church in the city of Barquisimeto. u.afp.com/SyoC
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Presidential election vs midterms… dumb comparison
OH EV by region vs 2024 Northwest: 2024 - R+18.5 | 2026 - R+5.7 Southwest: 2024 - R+14.0 | 2026 - R+0.7 Central: 2024 - R+7.7 | 2026 - D+6.6 Northeast: 2024 - R+3.2 | 2026 - D+13.5 Southeast: 2024 - R+23.0 | 2026 - R+11.6
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👀
BREAKING: Conservatives win a landslide majority in British Columbia, returning to power for the first time since 1928.
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Relying on the “honor system” to predict politics has to be the dumbest thing on earth. It’s no wonder queer activist Nate Silver freaked out when that fake polling company blew up.
Replying to @amlivemon
I know very, very few who respond to polls. No way to verify who is calling/texting, so no interest in being singled out if they’re disingenuous.
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Dems problem in Minnesota is the outrageous fraud by its party members and supporters to the tune of billions of dollars
Replying to @amlivemon
Trump's masked immigration/ border agents extrajudiciallty killed American citizens dead in the streets. Pretty confident MN is going blue.
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Bessent and co has done a decent job on suppressing gold but I don’t think it lasts long
THE COMMODITY PRICE SUPER CYCLE IS ALIVE AND KICKING. xitter.cf/BullTheoryio/status/21…
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I actually enjoy women’s volleyball. TAMU struggling this year but they graduated a ton of talent. At least they got a natty so @TonyNashNerd doesn’t have to feel bad his school can’t win one in football
A rematch of last year's national championship match is today 🏐👀🍿 Texas A&M since... - Graduated nine from 2025 squad - 2-6 against ranked opponents - 2-3 in their last five Kentucky since... - Return whole 2025 squad but one - 5-4 against ranked opponents - 4-1 in their last five
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Of all what I know and learned for years in politics… I just cannot believe how people still rely on polls which are obviously skewed for Dems
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It’s really hard some days watching obvious stupidity on X and claims by people they know almost zero of what happens behind closed doors in DC both politically and economically I say as much as I can w/o triggering problems for me
Republicans went from being the party whose standard bearer was the King of Low Dollar Donations to the "apocalyptic" Party of Billionaires' Donations in less than two years. They also started a new war in the Middle East. Totally unrelated, of course. 😉
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I wish he would just stfu.
President Trump on Abdul El-Sayed: “He is a jihadist, and he should not be allowed to serve in our Senate.”
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