Steve Miller (@askslim) header
Steve Miller (@askslim) profile picture

#Financial Show Host Trader/Analyst #Poker player, #ClassicalLiberal #CycleAnalysis #Charting #Stocks #Futures #Markets #Trading #Investing 🇺🇸🇮🇱✡️

Florida, USA
Joined February 2009
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Steve Miller retweeted
Stealth bear market.
There it is. Over 60% of the S&P 500's components are now in bear market territory, down -20% or more from their record highs. Four of the Magnificent 7 stocks are now in bear market territory, with these seven names erasing a combined -$4 trillion in market cap since their highs. We are in a "stealth" bear market. And, we believe it's a huge opportunity as we outlined below on October 15th.
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Steve Miller retweeted
Guess what!!! Small cap stocks are not safe haven from plunging tech / A1 and dropping crypto. It will bleed into the Russell2000.
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Steve Miller retweeted
Can the stock market withstand the collapse of AI. These stock got way ahead of themselves and now many are getting crushed. Yet the S&P500 is just a few percent from the high. I’ve warned of a bad November. Your call?
26%November new high
42%November crusher
33%Total mystery
98 votes • 15 hours
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Steve Miller retweeted
$CAT beats Q3 earnings with $7.20 EPS, but the stock plummets ~10%. Why? It’s an AI story, not a mining one. The AI Hook: Caterpillar is now an AI infrastructure play. Its Power Systems segment supplies massive backup generators to tech data centers. Combined with construction, this now drives 80%+ of revenue. Mining Reality: Despite falling metal prices, CAT’s Mining unit actually grew sales 15% to $4.6B. The core business is stable. 📉 The Drop: It's a valuation correction. Investors priced CAT like a high-flying tech stock. When forward data center guidance came in "flat/moderate" instead of an exponential blowout, the AI tech premium evaporated. #Caterpillar #StockMarket #Earnings #AI #DataCenters #Investing #Stocks
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Steve Miller retweeted
The math says the Fed is not fighting inflation hard enough. The open question is whether it has the stomach to go where the math points, or whether it stops early again. Read this 👇 The Fed funds rate has averaged about five and a half percent since 1954. Even excluding the Volcker peak, the average is near five. If the current rate sits in the four to four and a half range, it is below the historical norm, not above it. The real rate is the number that matters. Subtract inflation and you are looking at roughly zero to one percent positive. That is not restrictive. That is neutral at best. Volcker did not break inflation with a nominal rate near five. He took it to twenty percent while inflation ran ten to fourteen. Real rates of six to ten percent positive. That is what forced deleveraging. A restrictive stance today points to a funds rate in the six to seven percent range. Some argue higher, given how much debt the system carries. The same rate bites harder on leveraged borrowers than it did in past cycles. The catch: the Fed has never sustained that level without breaking something. Every time real rates went that positive, you got a recession or a financial crisis. 1980. 1981. 2001. 2008. The pattern is the Fed gets there, panics, and cuts before inflation is fully dead. #Fed #Inflation #Rates #Markets ~ Slim
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Steve Miller retweeted
All corporate bailouts should be banned!
JUST IN: House Democrats introduce resolution to ban taxpayer-funded bailouts for AI companies if the industry faces a financial collapse.
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Steve Miller retweeted
What happens to a stock market when that socialist government spends more than it can afford on programs and that brings a public revolt? Just ask #France - $EWQ What happens when hard left communists take over a country? Just ask #Brazil - $EWZ
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Steve Miller retweeted
The worst years of trading of my life taught me more than the best ones. I'd rather you learn it sooner and cheaper. "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book coming soon Get notified: Free signup askslim.com/free-account/
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Steve Miller retweeted
I went a long way down before I understood what was driving me. You may not have to. "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
OK, students of "Cycle Analysis." $MU, what's the plan?
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Steve Miller retweeted
Thirty days of disciplined trading, gone in one position. Nobody sits down and plans that. So why does it keep happening? Learn about that in… "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
#Bitcoin - Here is the analysis we showed last Friday on the Market Week Show. /BTC_F following the ideal patterns well. Learn Cycle Analysis! Slim brings an amazing offer for the askSlim.com Cycle Analysis Workshop Thursday
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Steve Miller retweeted
You can have the right setup, the right size, and the right plan, and still get beaten by something you carried in with you to the trading day before the market opened. Learn more about that in… "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
The market has a way of finding the exact thing you haven't dealt with yet. It doesn't care that you weren't ready. "A Trader's Ride" ~The life you build ~The trader you become Slim's new book - Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
Most blown-up accounts didn't have a bad idea. They had a position size that never fit the account. "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
France’s social democracy model is failing under its own weight. It already spends one of the highest shares of GDP on social programs of any major economy, yet schools are falling apart, living costs are driving people into the streets, and debt sits at 119% of GDP with interest costs climbing toward 90 billion euros a year. Pensions are consuming a huge share of budgets that should be funding classrooms and basic services. People are protesting because the system is not delivering what it promised. The response they want is more spending. That only makes the problem worse. It drives debt higher, raises borrowing costs, and crowds out the very services everyone is complaining about. The model has trained people to expect benefits the economy cannot sustainably provide. Fixing it means cutting back on promises and restraining spending growth. That will anger a public that has been told these things are owed to them. But continuing the current path just digs a deeper hole. High spending has not produced the results. The debt path is unsustainable. The model has reached its limit. #France #Debt #Protest #SocialDemocracy
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Steve Miller retweeted
Most traders can tell you their plan. Very few can tell you what’s going on inside them when they abandon it. “A Trader’s Ride” ~The life you build ~The trader you become Slim’s new book Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
What’s next - US Stock Market S&P500 $SPX $NDX $RUT Analysis & Projections 52-year trader & expert cycle analyst brings his deep analysis Watch 👇 youtu.be/y4dETfRT-KY
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