Alum: @clairecmc @DeptVetAffairs @NotPoliticians @Promote_VoteMI @DistillSocial @RankMIVote | Words and clicks here represent me (sometimes) and no one else
Michigan, USA
Joined September 2019
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Joe F Spaulding 🦉 retweeted
Watch trends, not single polls. One consistency across all polls since August 19: @AbdulElSayed has led in every single solitary goddam one of them.
I don't get paid to tweet, that's the last refuge of the idiots who have no argument. Don't be one of those people. You used to make fun of them.
You realize I was making the 2006 comparison almost 2 years ago now, right?
That doesn't change the fact that picking that year poisons your data presentation intentionally.
This is top of the ballot data, because consistency is important when we're doing this type of work.
The reason you started in 2006 was Data manipulation to pretend your argument had any weight to it.
I don't feel embarrassed. I'm not the one trying to manipulate data by cherry picking a start year.
Here are the four cycles prior:
"hi, yes, I would like to LARP as a fake elections expert on Twitter without getting any criticism for it, I am not a crackpot."
Look, you made crap up that was easily disprovable.
That's not my fault.
What are we doing?
I mean the base data. What are we doing? House elections? So counties with multiple candidates get aggravated together and the result is supposedly independent of both of their candidacies?
Use SOS or Board of Ed data if you're not using the top of the ballot.
And talking about the shift in the upper peninsula from the '90s without bringing up abortion is political malpractice. We went hard for reproductive freedom which was the vector for the conservatives to consolidate religious moderates into a coalition that already almost fully contained small business people.
That doesn't make Rahm Emmanuel better, but what you said above here dana, is slop.
Duh
There's zero good reason for you to want to litigate this now instead of nine days from now. It's just sloppy and dumb. Be smarter and more disciplined.
Why do you think his healthcare policy is more popular now than it was when Mayor Pete was running with it in 2020?
Stop pretending dark money doesn't exist, please.
Factoring in independent expenditures and super PACs (post-primary FEC data through Oct 25), outside spending has benefited Rogers by ~$138M vs ~$75M for El-Sayed. Adding principal committee outlays (~$19M Rogers, ~$51M El-Sayed) yields totals of roughly $158M aiding Rogers and $126M aiding El-Sayed.