Off Message; cohost: https://xitter.cf/t.co/CvwKx1K9rd; Formerly: @crookedmedia @newrepublic. BlueSky: @brianbeutler.bsky.social

Washington, DC
Joined February 2009
My plan when the dust settles is to spend my time on other, more defensible platforms. Substack has social media tools, and makes it easy to support independent journalism. offmessage.net/subscribe Bluesky offers a similar interface to Twitter bsky.app/profile/brianbeutle…
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Lula victory speech: "We had to overcome foreign interference through digital platforms, which we will have to regulate. We cannot have monstrously huge corporations earning millions & billions, paying no taxes to this country & trying to steer this country's election results."
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Startling stat — a police officer in a small Texas town handed arrested and handed over immigrants to ICE at such volume that the total number is the equivalent of 10% of his town's population. nytimes.com/2026/10/25/magaz…
Replying to @FrancescaDnunz
This is a town of three stoplights, five gas stations, five Mexican restaurants, and five churches. It is — or was — 45% Latino. Yet within a year of the flood, the town’s tiny PD had delivered the equivalent of 10% of Ingram to ICE.
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Let's look at the North Carolina EV shift from 2024 -> 2026 that was too demoralizing for her to post (from her website)
I've been asked about early voting analysis. The dilemma I have is that my platform is big enough such that being too blunt can have an effect on morale. I'll push out new states and tools out to my website soon, but won't announce them here on 𝕏. I will be giving @realJeremyCarl my predictions a week in advance so he can hold me accountable after Election Day. You MUST turn out and bring their friends, and brace yourself on election night. Even TX is going to be a fight.
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Replying to @lmtobias
Yes, YouTuber David from the I Ask AI channel fed recent Trump interview transcripts into 7 AIs and asked for IQ estimates based only on the speech. Results: Grok: 95-110 Meta AI: 85-95 DeepSeek: 80-85 Gemini: 85-95 Truth Social AI: 95-105 ChatGPT and Copilot: refused numbers These are speculative verbal impressions, not real IQ tests.
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💥#Breaking: Earlier today Lieberman, a Netanyahu rival and former Defense Minister, formally asked the AG to launch a criminal investigation for treason against Netanyahu. "The attempt to drag the State of Israel into war on the eve of elections, together with the willingness to sacrifice IDF soldiers solely due to fear of losing the elections, constitutes treason against the state, its security, and the IDF soldiers."
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Blanche’s defense-lawyer pedigree on display here — a very on-point @margbrennan contradicts his evasion with written evidence — so he shifts the focus onto her alleged aggressiveness, then slips into a tangential non-answer. Questioning isn’t rudeness. It’s essential work.
BRENNAN: The DOJ lawsuit demands the Alaska result not be certified if voters are confused. The confusion is defined as Sen. Sullivan not winning. BLANCHE: That's not what it says BRENNAN: I'm quoting from it. You are telling them not to certify it. What right does the federal government have telling a state not to certify?
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Brian Beutler retweeted
“On Feb. 5, 2025, her first day in office, Attorney General Pam Bondi disbanded the FBI’s Foreign Influence Task Force, dismantled the department’s unit pursuing Russian oligarchs’ assets, and narrowed enforcement of the Foreign Agents Registration Act. CISA paused its election security work, abandoned the information sharing center that connected it to state and local election officials, and by mid-2025 had lost more than a third of its workforce. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard gutted the Foreign Malign Influence Center, the State Department closed its office for countering foreign disinformation, and National Security Council working groups on Russian sabotage and disinformation stopped meeting. The next target was the people. In August 2025, Gabbard revoked the security clearances of 37 current and former officials, among them a senior Russia analyst who helped produce the 2017 assessment, citing the “politicization or weaponization of intelligence.” Comey was indicted on Sept. 25, 2025, over his 2020 Senate testimony, five days after Trump publicly demanded his prosecution. A judge dismissed the case, but the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit is currently hearing the department’s appeal. CIA Director John Ratcliffe referred former Director Brennan for prosecution for alleged perjury in his congressional testimony, and Brennan has been subpoenaed to appear at a Florida grand jury examining whether officials who investigated Trump conspired against him. The purge also reached below the senior level, and analysts who worked on the 2017 assessment also had their clearances stripped. The FBI forced out a veteran counterintelligence agent over his ties to an official in the original Russia investigation, and dozens of FBI agents and Justice Department prosecutors were fired or demoted for work investigating Trump or Russia.”
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Democrats should realize that what Meta did in Brazil, they and other social media companies will do in the US in 2028 unless they are made to understand they will face criminal penalties for it
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Folks, Brazil is the perfect example of what I’ve said about this platform and Community Notes since Elon launched it. Tonight and all day tomorrow, your feed will fill with thousands of posts claiming the Brazil election was stolen because Lula’s buddy on the Supreme Court extended voting by 2 hours. That claim, we already know, is absolute bullshit. Both campaigns asked for the extension, Flávio Bolsonaro’s included, after bus shortages and bad weather hit voters in several cities. xitter.cf/tommysantos14/status/2… Almost every one of those posts will run note-free. The few that get a Community Note will get it after the damage is done. MAGA propaganda spreads like wildfire here for one reason: Elon Musk designed it that way. Community Notes has always been a red herring. Give it a few hours. Musk will repost one of his favorite stooges with a one-word “Concerning,” and that lie will land in front of his 241 million followers. And Community Notes will never catch up. So when I call Elon Musk Trump’s Joseph Goebbels, I mean every word.
Both Brazil candidates requested voting extensions. MAGA, once again, is lying about a "rigged" election. cartacapital.com.br/politica… "The campaigns of Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) requested this Sunday, October 25th, that the Superior Electoral Court extend the voting hours for the second round until 7 PM in localities affected by problems that hindered voters' access to the polls. The requests have different justifications." "While the PT campaign points to failures in public transportation, the Bolsonaro campaign mainly cites rain, flooding, road closures, and changes to polling locations." "Flávio's campaign is requesting two additional hours of voting in 17 municipalities in São Paulo, Paraná, and Santa Catarina. The team is also requesting that the announcement of the presidential results only begin after the polls have closed in the areas covered by the extension."
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Brian Beutler retweeted
1) this isn’t California wide. This is Ventura County. 2) there are lots of ballot styles, and they position different races, differently, so where this ballot lines up different from other styles in county. 3) the envelopes are purchased and made well before the candidates are determined. Sometimes over a year in advance. 4) the hole is a common design feature and serves two purposes: a) so when election workers take ballot cards out of envelope, they can quickly look to see if grabbed all of them, b) it’s an alignment mark that visually impaired can use to know where to sign 5) as the narrator says in video, you can easily fold your ballot so nothing shows 6) what’s the theory of fraud here? That postal employee is gonna throw your ballot out after looking at that hole? You think the election office wouldn’t notice if hundreds of ballots thrown out? 7) also, you can track your ballot to make sure it arrives an election facility 8) or you can drop off at a drop box and then picked up directly by election workers 9) I know this is your profit model — posting videos like this — but it’s an immoral and idiotic profit model.
California is rigging the elections
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Brian Beutler retweeted
You really cannot underestimate the intelligence of Chaya Raichik
California is rigging the elections
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Brian Beutler retweeted
There is something really concerning (and disappointing) going on in the US right now. A dangerous and preventable situation. Let me explain. nextstrain.org/avian-flu/h5n… 1/
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Nobody's shocked that Jason Miller is the one posting Bolsonaro's refusal to concede. Trumpworld isn't just watching Brazil, they're coordinating. Same playbook, same people, different country. The authoritarian network is global, and it's poison.
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Brian Beutler retweeted
It was disappointing that @60Minutes, with all its resources and expertise, broke zero new ground on the Tina Peters story. The report was just a repetition of what local journalists reported long ago.
“Show me the evidence that the paper ballot results differed from the computerized results,” 60 Minutes’ Bill Whitaker asks Tina Peters, the former Colorado election official who served time for her role in a voting machine breach. “My place is not to show, you know, pick out different things and what-- what could have happened,” Peters says. “I was authorized to protect the election records according to 52USC.70201.” cbsn.ws/3W6ZKFb
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Brian Beutler retweeted
This is playing with fire. Minks and ferrets have such humanlike lung cells that they’re the standard for testing human flu transmission. (Cows aren’t!) An H5N1 epidemic raging in a mink farm is basically the plot for Dr. Evil tries to spark a pandemic. Luck isn’t a plan.
Here’s something you should know about minks: They have lungs and airways remarkably similar on a cellular level to those of people. They’ve spread flus and infected humans before with COVID-19. Right now, bird flu is spreading on a Utah farm filled with thousands of them… 🧵
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Mike Rogers with Trump during a rally, ahead of the midterm election in Michigan REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst
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The IDF chief of staff has effectively told/confirmed to the Israeli public that Netanyahu is trying to provoke a war with Iran for political survival.
חשיפה עכשיו במהדורה | עימות חסר תקדים בין הרמטכל לבין ראש הממשלה שהגיע לשיא או לשפל ביממה האחרונה הנושא ברקע: הסוגיה האיראנית וחשש של זמיר שנתניהו והדרג המדיני עלולים להוביל לתרחיש של מיסקלקולציה מול איראן רגע לפני הבחירות גורם ביטחוני: מדובר בפעולה שעלולה להוביל לעימות בזק מול איראן בעיתוי רגיש ודרמטי, ולייצר מיסקלקולציה גורמים בקיאים בפרטים: חשש של הדרג הצבאי מניסיון לנצל את הסוגיה האיראנית לתנופה פוליטית , טענה שגורמים מדיניים מכחישים וטוענים שמדובר בשקר של ממש כך או כך, 2 מקורות מספרים לי שזה הגיע לרמה שהיום בביקור בפלמחים האווירה בדיון הייתה עכורה עד מאוד בימים האחרונים זמיר קיבל איזושהי הנחיה מהדרג המדיני אבל ביקש דיון מעמיק לפני ביצוע הוא גם ביקש אסמכתאות חוקיות וחתומות של הדרג המדיני על המהלך בכיר ביטחוני: ההיסטוריה לא תשכח את התפקיד שמילא פה זמיר בימים האחרונים ובשורה התחתונה: עימות יוצא דופן בחריגות שלו בין זמיר לנתניהו, סביב הסוגיה באיראן, רגע לפני מועד הבחירות. נדגיש: כל הפרטים בידיעה הזו עברו את אישורה של הצנזורה הצבאית
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Brian Beutler retweeted
More evidence of DOJ's haphazard approach to these last-ditch cases: A few minutes ago, a DOJ attorney told the 9th circuit that Judge Carter has *no jurisdiction* to consider this case anymore since it's now in the hands of the appeals court. Also a few minutes ago: DOJ files a brief to Judge Carter asking him to approve their injunction. storage.courtlistener.com/re…
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Brian Beutler retweeted
Replying to @samtripoli
Yes, he did. Netanyahu posted the AI-generated nuclear mushroom cloud image (depicting an explosion over Tel Aviv) on his official Instagram (b.netanyahu) and X accounts today, with text warning of an Iranian existential threat and urging focus on finishing the job against Iran before the election.
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It is late October and people are voting every day, if you cannot give a full-throated endorsement to the Democratic nominee who could be the key vote in flipping the Senate, then stay the fuck off television
BASH: “You're still fully behind Abdul El-Sayed?” STEVENS: “Look, I'm on the Democratic ticket. I can't say that I agree with everything that's gone on… I'm looking to be on the team to support my next governor Jocelyn Benson, and frankly these great Democrats who are working their tails off, who are going to make Hakeem Jeffries the first black Speaker of the House.” BASH: “You didn't mention Abdul El-Sayed in that last answer.” STEVENS: “Well, look, I would just say, you had asked me if I'm still on the team, I'm on the team.”
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