September is CLOSED 🫅🗣️ +29.72u Total | 40% ROI +13.89u in FIBA | 43.4% ROI Our futures settled, the women hooped around the world, and we had the best month this year!

10 THINGS TO EXPECT IN THE NFL TONIGHT: MNF W7: DAL v PHI. 57°F, no Wind/Rain. 1) We could get a fun one here on Monday Night, with two squads that are ranking B10 in scrimmage yards allowed per game, and with Dallas' road defense surrendering nearly 30 points a game this year. The Cowboys will be without RILB Dee Winters with a calf injury. 2) The Eagles are much worse on the injury front, with Jalen Hurts ruled out for the season due to blood clots. Now, their top 2 WR options in Smith and Wicks are out as well. Barkley is "trending towards playing", while Dickerson can also make his debut on the line after coming off IR. Those two are absolute musts here for PHI offense. 3) Thus, Tanner McKee is starting under center, and threw 45 times against The Panthers. This game was without Barkley, yet with the Smith & Wicks duo, so hard to rationalize that level of passing volume again. He gets the benefit of facing a DAL pass defense that is allowing a 68.5% completion rate, good for 30th. 4) Dallas' coverage is man heavy, running it on 47.3% of drop backs this season (4th). When you pair this with a team that is also generating the 4th lowest sack rate (12.9%), it translates to that aforementioned completion rate. Goedert generated 4 targets off 15 routes ran against Man last week with McKee throwing. The rest of the WR group (Wicks, Smith, Lemon) had 2 targets a piece. 5) Saquon has been a focus on trade conversations, and tonight will be running against the most porous rush defense so far, as if he needs to prove anything more about his rush ability. Dallas has allowed 899 rush yards this season -- most in the league. We have seen three backs run 15+ carries against them: - Skattebo 18 Att, 81 Yds - Henry 26 Att, 89 Yds - Irving 21 Att, 165 Yds All scored. 6) Will note that there is still upside for RB2 in Dameon Pierce, with Shipley and Bigsby both being on IR. With the entire backfield active in Week 2 against Titans, Bigsby ran 13 times as the backup. However, we saw no additional RB features when they went down early against CHI in Week 3, which leaves us in a pure boom-or-bust for Pierce based on script. 7) On the other end is Javonte Williams, who has already notched 8 touchdowns this season. Philly's front is B5 in Success Rate, yet notably as they are giving up a whopping 2.45 YAC/att. Javonte is ranked 23rd of the 50 backs with 30+ carries in YAC, and even worse in explosive rate (37th). He can post up a solid rush total tonight, but would expect that to come with high carry volume. 8) The Eagles are a mixed bag of coverages, not ranking in the Top 10 of Man, Zone, or in 1-HI/2-HI looks. However, they are Top 10 in Cover 3 usage, where they are allowing 7.53 Yds/DB (6th most). Prescott is 10th amongst QBs with 30+ drop backs in the same stat. 9) Prescott's top target vs Cover 3 this season has been George Pickens, by a wide margin too. He has a 38.5% target share, while responsible for 53% of the team's air yards. Rest of team distribution vs Cover 3: - Lamb 0.23 TPRR | 1.19 YPRR - Flournoy 0.16 TPRR | 1.06 YPRR - Ferguson 0.04 TPRR (23 Routes!) 10) KICKERS and TRENDS! Bears covered their -2.5 spread on Thursday Night, moving primetime (TNF/SNF) favorites to just 3-9 on the year. Of course, The Boys are favored here with Philly's injury report, yet by just 4.5 Pts. The two teams are tied at 25th in OPP RedZone scoring attempts per game, with 4 a piece.

Recap | 10.25.26: -0.05u ✅ - Luka o7.5 Ast | -128 ❌ - Bona u6.5 Reb | -117 🪶 A great wager and a piss poor one. MNF & a lot more NBA tomorrow

Full Recap | 10.25.26: +2.45u ✅ - Brown o22.5 Pts | -110 ✅ - George o17.5 PR | -130 ✅ - Bam o16.5 Pts | +100 🪶 Right back.

Cashhhhh it ✅✅✅ Adebayo o16.5 Pts 🍀 @austinsprops

Not covering Game 4, just going to watch & wait to head back to Ballhalla!

Starts with Bamonte Adebayo o16.5 Pts | MGM -120 10.24.26 Play #1 | #HeatNation w/ @austinsprops 🍻 Bam Bam has come out slower to start the year as we saw in last nights game specifically major struggles from him fouling out in only 23 minutes of play. Giannis has dominated in both games dropping 35+ points in both. I believe the superstar has major AST upside tonight as he looks to get his counterpart going in a matchup that Bam’s notoriously dominated against scoring (24 & 26 pts) in the two meetings last season. This Hornets lineup this season is going to struggle defending the paint with multiple mediocre defenders in their rotation along with allowing the 11th most points in the paint last season. There was good player & coach speak after last nights game as everyone obviously &  rightfully so has confidence in Bam, hammering this buy low as this just screams to me a spot where he comes out highly aggressive.

**Recap | 10.23.26: ✅ - Avdija o4.5 Ast | -145 ✅ - Tatum o14.5 -110 ❌ - Giddey o15.5 RA | -132 ❌ - Kessler D-D | -135 ❌ - Curry o7.5 -119 Giddey had 15-20 pots but lost so many mins with bench runs. Kessler 22-8, Curry 6 RA -- which wasn't best read but had some fouls himself. Slow start but not upset with reads.

THANK YOUUU ✅ @austinsprops 🤜🤛💰

Bulls and Bucks are starting as an absolute track meet. Giddey is 2/9 on potentials in his first stint (6.5'), with Bulls shooting 1/8 from deep in that span.

Yes Chef 🧑‍🍳 Curry o7.5 RA | DK -109 'FREE FRIDAY' #4 | #DubNation Isaiah Stewart is likely to make his Grizzly debut here, while Warriors are "hopeful" that Podziemski joins as well. Coward is doubtful after he picked up a wrist injury. Curious on Melton's involvement here, who only ran 12 1H minutes and now Podz could return to trim that further. With Steph on and Butler off last season, he was only seeing 13 Pts/36, which was actually much worse if Podz was off as well (9.4/36). Game 1 this season presented a 8.5 USG%, though it doesn't seem too hard to generate quality 3PT looks vs MEM. UTAH only ended with 32 3PA, yet got 19 good ones in the 1H before the game ran away from them. Curry has averaged 35 PPG in his last 3 against Memphis, with 52 Pts, 10 Reb and 8 Ast in his only game with >26' vs Edey. With Edey looking to shadow Curry drives, it leaves Green open for Pick-and-Pop (7 3PA), while inverted PnRs also work well (Dray 12 Ast). The 2man game alone can be effective vs the new look MEM team. Not made at a Curry 3PT ladder, but wanted better odds for 3.5 base (-170 currently). Warriors got picked apart by Lakers to Kessler, who scored 26 Pts off 12/12 shooting, none of which came from Pick-and-Roll; Just sitting in dunker's spot, capitalizing on Luka/Reaves gravity. This does make Edey a bit intriguing, though already moved 3 points from his 8.5 opener. Ty Jerome dropped 45 Pts off 17/25 shooting against The Jazz, and The Grizzlies are posting a 59.3 eFG% with Jerome/Edey on, compared to just 52% with Edey off (and Jerome still on). If usage is here, Curry should have same rebound opportunities as George (8 RA, 9 Pot, blowout), who sat off Wells.

Tatum o14.5 RA | MGM -120 ‘FREE FRIDAY’ #3 | #DifferentHere w/ @austinsprops 🍀🧨 Tatum had 15 RA on 28 potentials opening night in one of the notoriously tougher RA matchups against DET. Matchup tonight is significantly more advantageous at Tatum faces a Knicks team that he’s nuked RA in prior as I expect him to defend Josh Hart which has allowed for major rebounding upside as he is able to roam off ball. In the sole matchup last season with JB out for BOS Tatum had 21 RA on an ELITE 31 potential RA. We just saw Bron and JB pick up 16+ RA in the first meeting v NYK in a spot that paced down compared to how this one should project tonight. I’ll buy into Tatum productivity🔐

Keep it rolling! Big slate for FREE FRIDAY! Kessler Double-Double | DK -140 ‘FREE FRIDAY’ #2 | #LakeShow Not convinced that this Lakers defense is going to be challenging, which rolled out a starting lineup of Doncic, Reaves, Thybulle, Zaire Williams and Kessler last game. Think this game can be closer, as The Clippers starting both Dunn/DJJ allows them to have the POA defense for the Doncic/Reaves backcourt duo. Sabonis had 18 Reb vs LAC despite losing by 25, so that's a note. Kessler is 28/35 to 11+ rebounds with 28+ minutes against a non-T10 Center defense, yet with Doncic involved he should also be reliable as a scorer. Was 12/12 for his Lakers debut, with those 24 points scored from dump offs or transition (none from PnR). While Isaiah Jackson and Jones Jr are already amongst the lowest USG Clippers, which is great for C/F rebounds, Brook Lopez off the bench has also turned favorable. Lue noted that Lopez Post Up game is favorable for their offense, which means he's pulling out bigs less than in prior seasons. Lopez took 9 of his 12 FGA inside the arc. Notable as IJax is pretty foul prone, so nice to have outs on both lines.

Starting with the early game! Josh Giddey o15.5 RA | HR -145 10.23.26 Play #1 | #SeeRed o8.5 Ast is same weight. The Bulls are emerging as the league's worst defense here, after all 4 of Toronto's usage guys (Quickley, Barnes, Barrett and Leonard) all notching 20+ points in sub 25 minutes; The Raptors won by 43. Surprisingly, The Bucks are actually ranked even worst in DRTG after their opening game vs WSH. Josh Giddey noted that he, "sustained a wrist injury during the preseason and told reporters after Wednesday night’s opener that it’ll be something they manage throughout the year" Seems he can resort to being back to pure pass-first. Caleb Wilson led the team in usage (35%) and in FGA (21), and The Bucks just gave up 70 PITP. Josh Giddey last season with 28+ minutes and without White/Vuc was 13/14 to 16+ RA, 14/14 to 8.5 Ast, and averaged 21.8 potential assists. His usage to kick off this year was even higher than that sample, and Trae Young just had 13 Ast (18 Pot) against MIL on Wednesday.

10 THINGS TO EXPECT IN THE NFL TONIGHT: TNF W7: NE v CHI. 63°F, No Wind/Rain. 1) The Patriots have won 3 games straight, where Maye has broken out of his early season slump. In his first three weeks, Maye was sacked 9 times, compared to just 2 in the last 3. Noting this as The Pats are missing both starting guards (Vera-Tucker, Brown), with Moses (RT) questionable after missing last week. Lomu will join this starting line, who allowed zero pressures last week vs NYJ. 2) The Bears are generating the 4th highest pressure rate this season, while 8th in Sacks (17), and 5th in opposing Catchable throw rate. So yes, the front depletion for NE is going to be cumbersome. Can start with a note on Pats rushers, as Corey Kiner emerged last week with 11 Att for 57 Yards, which included 8 straight in the 4th to burn the clock. “[Kiner] runs hard, and it’s the same way he’s selling the kickoff returns... We got three capable backs and you ride the hot hand" - Vrabel 3) Bears love their man coverage, and Maye has yet to throw the ball to A.J. Brown when facing it. Brown is looking for a rebound already after he notched 4 drops last week: "There's no excuses...Just trying to get going again...Put this to bed really fast, I'm gonna watch the tape, and it's over, imma flush it." - Brown 4) Da Bears offense is back to full strength with the exception of Kyle Monangai. Without him last week, Bears carry distribution featured 16 to Swift and 13 to Johnson, though Swift had 4 of the 5 goal line carries. Swift has notched 15+ carries in all 5 games where he hasn't got injured this season. 5 straight RB1s have covered their receiving yards prop vs New England. 5) Patriots rush defense is ranking Top 10 in OPP YPC and Success Rate this season. Granted, we have now seen 4 of 6 starting backs cross 4.5 YPC; Only 1 of them notched over 2 receptions, and that was Jeanty amidst a 28 Pt loss. Bears offense runs Zone concepts on 56.5% of attempts, sitting in that Top 10 with Jags (30-137 v NE) and SEA (22-97). Patriots loss both of those games. 6) Caleb Williams is back and passing into a man-heavy Pats secondary, which is missing a starting CB in Carlton Davis III. Williams has a 76% completion rate vs man, which is +5% comparative to zone, yet has came with a significant hit in Yds/DB (5.5 v 6.78). 7) Colston Loveland showed up last week, notching 6 receptions for 65 yards and recording his first TD of the season. When Williams is facing man, he's in 12 personnel (2 TE, 2 WR) at the 2nd lowest rate in the league (15%). Loveland has played two games with Caleb against above average man-coverage teams, where he totaled 1 receptions for 3 yards (which was vs zone). 8) Instead, The Patriots are allowing the 6th highest target rate to wideouts. Kalif Raymond notched 214 of his 244 receiving yards in his opening 3 games, and has a chance to boom again here. He generated 0.36 TPRR vs Man in the aforementioned sample, doubling the next closest Bear. Last week Raymond played just 47% of snaps, the only time he has logged <60% with Williams. Odunze remains the leader here at 96%, yet 5 straight WR1s have gone under their receiving yards prop vs NE. 9/10) KICKERS, D/ST, and TRENDS! The Commanders covered their +7.5 vs San Francisco on Monday Night, which moves primetime dogs to 8-2 since Week 1 (excl. SNF). The Bears have given up just 1.5 FGA per game this season, with 0 last week, ranking them 5th. This was because The Falcons scored on every RedZone trip, yet The Bears at home have allowed a 20% RZ score rate (compared to 90% on the road!).

Full Recap | 10.21.26: -2.14u ✅ - Naz Reid o15.5 Pts | -101 ✅ - Gillespie u15.5 PR | -127 ✅ - Rhyne o3.5 1Q Pts | -120 ❌ - Sharpe o9.5 Pts | -125 🪶 ❌ - Hachimura o25.5 PRA | -125 🪶 ❌ - Murray u23.5 PR | -120 ❌ - Lillard u5.5 Ast | -138 ❌ - Wiggins o1.5 3s | -120 🪶 Not upset with results here, outside of Murray playing a lot more minutes than I expected. Gave X the bad batch, apologies.

Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3PM | MGM -145 10.21.26 Play #3 | #HEATNation Played at -120, but given this is my last remotely playable prop from premium, we'll take it. In preseason, Minnesota starters allowed a 13.6% Corner 3 Rate; This was an intentional scheme in abandoning the corners, yet also is a biproduct of hiding LaMelo Ball. Last season, The Timberwolves did double Giannis — where Portis, Trent, AJ, Lopez & Prince all had 6+ 3PA around him. Giannis had 10 Ast. Wiggins was 29/35 to 2+ 3PM with 5-8 3PA last season.

Rui Hachimura o25.5 PRA | BOV -130 10.21.26 Play #2 | #CLIPPERNATION o18.5 Pts is same weight. The Clippers lost a ton of guys in the offseason, most notable being Kawhi Leonard (TOR), while also losing Collins (DET), Bogdonavic (HOU, FA), Mathurin (NOP, FA) and Batum. While they acquired Brandon Ingram, he's injured, so their top options are Darius Garland, No.5 Pick in Keaton Wagler, and their top FA signing in Rui Hachimura. In the preseason, Hachimura led the team in USG at 31.7%, generating 31.6 Pts per 36' and that remains the same in his minutes with Garland. All quotes coming out of Clippers camp on Hachimura: - “[Ty Lue] told us with Rui he wants him to average seven or eight rebounds a game.” - Garland - “He likes when we get the rebound. He wants us to push the ball. I get the rebound, I can push the ball easy.” - Rui - “We just talked to Rui about being more assertive, being more aggressive, being able to use him different ways than just standing in the corner... you got to be able to post up, come off pin downs, come off screens, and we're going to play through them a lot.” - Lue Meanwhile, This Kings defense is one of the worst I have ever seen. In 27 preseason minutes with LaVine, Sabonis and Acuff on the floor together, they gave up 82 points. In 75' with just the two backcourt guys, they allowed 205 Pts, which is just diabolical. Now Simmons is also out of the mix, so this is going to be real disgusting. They have also gotten destroyed on the glass in their preseason, with all starters outside of Curry and Harper amongst the Warriors/Spurs notching 6+ Reb despite none running over 25'. With POA defensive options in Dunn and JJ, Hachimura should see a significant rebound uptick this season. Overall, Sacramento's offseason moves includes the losses of DeRozan and Westbrook, while only adding their three draft picks in Acuff (7), Karaban (29) and Sharp (45).