Clinical informatics enthusiast with keen interest in using technology to deliver better healthcare. Clinical Strategist, tweets my own views
Kinsale, Ireland
Joined May 2011
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Clive Collins retweeted
ChatGPT has now a big problem.
Researchers at Oxford exposed a massive threat to large language models.”
It’s called "Model Collapse."
And it explains why the internet is about to become a toxic waste dump for Large Language Models.
Right now, AI companies are scraping the entire web to train their next-generation models.
But there’s a massive problem.
The internet is no longer just human data. It is rapidly filling up with AI-generated text, images, and code.
What happens when an AI trains on data generated by another AI?
A new paper in Nature just gave us the answer. And it is terrifying.
When AI models are recursively trained on AI-generated data, they suffer from irreversible brain damage.
The researchers found that the model starts forgetting the "tails" of the original data distribution. The rare, weird, unique, and complex human nuances completely disappear.
It's like making a photocopy of a photocopy.
Every generation loses resolution. The output gets flatter, blander, and more generic, until the model completely collapses in on itself.
For years, we thought the biggest bottleneck for AI was compute, getting enough H100 GPUs from Nvidia.
This paper proves the real bottleneck is us.
If we keep flooding the internet with synthetic AI slop, we will poison the very data pool required to build smarter models.
The ultimate irony? We thought AI was going to make human creators obsolete.
Instead, this research proves that verified, genuine human data is about to become the most valuable commodity in the tech industry.
Clive Collins retweeted
Most of our major parties have now merged into a tax-and-spend left-wing silo where they’re all basically the same. Micheál Martin, Simon Harris, Holly Cairns and Ivana Bacik could comfortably lead one another’s parties… irishtimes.com/politics/2026…
Clive Collins retweeted
The ‘Narrative’ has come from Govt - Not the opposition - Govt have explicitly stated what they intend to do if Triple Lock removed - More Misinformation and an Appalling Slur on those of us raising genuine concerns about safety of Irish Troops were they deployed in this manner👇
Clive Collins retweeted
Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt drops a chilling warning on AI's future
"Within 5 years, AI could handle infinite context, chain-of-thought reasoning for 1000-step solutions, and millions of agents working together.
Eventually, they'll develop their own language... and we won't understand what they're doing."
His final words: "Pull the plug."
This is the man who ran Google talking about the singularity.
Clive Collins retweeted
It’s your Misinformation Minister -What ‘Peacekeeping’ are you referring to? Any future foreign missions will be Peace Enforcement & if without UN Mandate -that would end our military neutrality as we would be participating in a military alliance, a ‘coalition of the willing’
Clive Collins retweeted
Nobody and I mean literally nobody does hypocrisy like the fianna fail lads do hypocrisy
#defendthetriplelock
#defendneutrality
Good morning. This is the beginning of the end for #Trump.
Finally, a rejection of his depravity, his corruption and his foreign wars 🇺🇸.
Clive Collins retweeted
You pay the deposit up front. Getting it back is your problem.
For older people who rely on the local shop, a return point can be two buses away.
Nobody is against recycling. I am against a scheme that loads the cost and hassle onto the shopper.
There has to be a better way.
Clive Collins retweeted
share.google/pcB3IaCyErVEsRO…
Fact is @MichealMartinTD and @CarrollJennifer CUH is annually handed buttons and told "stitch a shirt to those!" The hospital has a long record of hyperefficiency. Fact.
Clive Collins retweeted
But who’s counting
Musk invested $736 million in the second Trump administration and got back $16.3 billion, a return of 2,200 percent. trib.al/6vif7U8
Clive Collins retweeted
THE not-for-profit company behind the Deposit Return Scheme (#DRS) is set to generate income of nearly €330million by 2031 through unclaimed deposits, the Irish Daily Mail can reveal. -@TheNewsHughes
Confidential seven-year projections from scheme operator #Return, obtained by the Mail and published audited accounts reveal the firm is forecasting €121million in cumulative after-tax profits by the end of 2031.
#HowIrelandWorks @irishdailymail
Clive Collins retweeted
Ireland has the most expensive electricity in Europe.
Fuel fuels the cost of living.
The govt could do something about the cost of living but they choose not to.
Side note: the govt owns the ESB
Clive Collins retweeted
I trust Michael D, Not Dermot A
I know, from my own experience that you couldnt trust Dermot Ahern, the man who denied that the IMF were taking over the running of the country when it was being reported around the world.
Media War on Neutrality #Columnists #TripleLock #SaveTheTripleLock
Clive Collins retweeted
Ireland a hell of an outlier here
Power is Power
The chart below shows electricity prices in Europe just now, priced per MWh. Just horrific and economically ruinous for any modern economy.
The world spends about $4.2 trillion on electricity and this is split between:
• Generation (2/3
• Transmission & Distribution (1/3)
The world spends around $1.5 trillion on capex and $2.7 trillion on opex. The $1.5 trillion capex gets you 1-2% capacity growth each year. So a rough rule of thumb is that every 1% of GDP you spend on power infrastructure gets you 1-2% more electricity.
If you wanted to grow your power supply by eg 8%, you might expect that to cost 6% of GDP. Nobody has the supply chain to do that, if you want to grow this particular supply chain it will cost you more GDP points on second order things.
Now…
Demand for power around the world is booming, because of 3 big technology trends.
1. Air Conditioning (yes still) +20% consumption
2. Electric Vehicles +80% consumption
3. AI Data Centers +XYZ% consumption
Different regions have different progress on these three trends. US has a lot of AC, little EV and a lot of DC, Europe has little AC, lots of EV little DC. China has a lot of AC and EV.
Now generation splits into fixed costs for the generator plant (site and technology specific) and variable costs for fuel.
Dispatchable Power Cost, by Fuel Type
1. $6 / MWh - Uranium
2. $19 / MWh - Nat Gas 🇺🇸
3. $22 / MWh - Coal 🇺🇸
4. $40 / MWh - Coal 🇨🇳
5. $90 / MWh - LNG
6. $130 / MWh - Biomass
7. $160 / MWh - Nat Gas 🇪🇺 🇯🇵
8. $200 / MWh - Oil
Fracking has given the US a structural energy cost advantage. If you talk to people in China about what is the most impressive thing the US has done they say “fracking”. The challenge with US Nat Gas is that it’s now fully developed and expansion is sort of tapped out.
What the 21st Century demands is a lot of power, you either have it or you don’t. When you look at planetary scale energy and compute trends you see myriad gigantic arbitrage opportunities.
Interesting times!
