Long-term cycle, value, technical analysis; trading & investing || Become a sub: https://teapawt.org/t.co/nS75O2v3wJ
Hamburg, Germany
Joined March 2021
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Live portfolio of the newsletter service stands at 28,77% YTD. After 104% in 2025. Lost some costumers this year because we missed the AI trade. Yeah maybe, on days like today it feels like we did not missed too much. Next ventures will be in asset management. We will continue to share the research though! Stay tuned.
Some thoughts on $RIG Q3 with no paywall! Link in the comments
Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
Big continuation of $PSCE outperformance versus $SILJ. A lot of people questioned why we rotated out of silver juniors and into energy... well, the ratio keeps breaking higher, and the switch is paying off exactly as laid out. Sometimes the best move is changing seats before the crowd does.
Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
This will very likely be a super strong monthly close for #oil. It'll be interesting to see what November brings and whether we break free above the next resistance range.
Once again, the elevated price level is confirming itself over a sustained period — exactly the higher regime we’ve been pointing to, rather than just a spike that fades. Clear that past the 106 level, there’s little standing in the way before the old highs come back into play.
Decent strength for #oil again into the close, with a nice inside candle when you look closely. Momentum stays firmly on the bulls’ side!
That’s the kind of tweets you’d expect to see when tops in cybersecurity stocks are forming. $BUGS $PANW
Just got off the phone with the most intelligent person I know.
He said this is COVID 2.0.
Everything on the internet is going to get hacked. One by One.
It'll start affecting people close to you and one day a big bank will get penetrated and their data will be wiped clean.
Thousands of accounts will show $0 and there will be no way of recovering their true balance.
When this happens we will go on grid lock down.
They will shut down the internet all over the world for 3 months to patch every single exploitable bug with the help of super advanced AIs.
This will cause mass panic and chaos.
You need to stock up on food, water, gold, silver, guns, ammo, and cash.
ASAP.
Rumors are that this global shutdown will start on November 17th.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
No credible source reports a planned global internet shutdown; the post cites only an unnamed friend and "rumors." The verifiable Nov 17 event is a routine FEMA/FCC Emergency Alert System test, about one minute on TV and radio.
tvtechnology.com/regulatory-leg…
techtimes.co.uk/fema-prueba-si…
Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
A lot of people may be finding out that P/E ratios are a terrible way to invest in cyclicals…..
This will very likely be a super strong monthly close for #oil. It'll be interesting to see what November brings and whether we break free above the next resistance range.
Once again, the elevated price level is confirming itself over a sustained period — exactly the higher regime we’ve been pointing to, rather than just a spike that fades. Clear that past the 106 level, there’s little standing in the way before the old highs come back into play.
Decent strength for #oil again into the close, with a nice inside candle when you look closely. Momentum stays firmly on the bulls’ side!
Big continuation of $PSCE outperformance versus $SILJ. A lot of people questioned why we rotated out of silver juniors and into energy... well, the ratio keeps breaking higher, and the switch is paying off exactly as laid out. Sometimes the best move is changing seats before the crowd does.
The capex cycle is just starting! early.
Exxon Mobil $XOM said it plans to spend more than $100 Billion on CAPEX through the end of 2030 - Bloomberg
“The reason prices are high today is because there’s not enough supply” ... “The last thing you want to do is discourage more supply.”
ALT Photo Credit: Mark Felix/Bloomberg
Did you guys know that the logo on the right never existed? I only know what this horn is because of the logo, but ask AI and it was never their logo. Yet many people remember it, and it's way too specific to be a coincidence. It's called the Mandela effect, and in combination with the double slit experiment it's strong evidence that we live in a matrix. All you can do to find truth is pattern recognition. #cycles
Decision time for $SPGSCI — it really looks like we’ll see a breakout in the #commodity index any time now. The structure is coiling tighter and tighter, and a move out of this range should set the tone for the whole complex.
Commodities are getting a real bid now — the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index ($SPGSCI) with two consecutive strong weeks after the breakout pointed out in the previous post.
Decent strength for #oil again into the close, with a nice inside candle when you look closely. Momentum stays firmly on the bulls’ side!
Another strong red-to-green intraday reversal for #oil on Friday. With the long end of the curve now also repricing higher, it’s time for oil equities to start outperforming!
Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
$AMZN if this stock breaks down into Stage 4 after earnings 2 out the 5 largest stocks in the stock market will be in Stage 4
Deindustrialisation, combined with AI disrupting white collar jobs and the sharp rise in the cost of living, is the perfect storm for the German middle class. 2027 will only accelerate it. It's sad, but people voted for this situation we are in and got tricked by the false promises to change course by the current gov party.
$EWZ sold off hard after Lula’s surprising win this week, while markets had positioned for a Bolsonaro victory.
The fundamental thesis stays the same: with the commodity boom underway, Brazilian equities should benefit immensely over time. A change in government would have been the cleaner positive catalyst — but this isn’t Lula’s first term, and these equities have lived through it before.
$OIH is consolidating after its breakout from the multi-year range, building a flag before its next move higher.
Zooming out, this is what the early innings of a structural cycle look like. Years of underinvestment across the entire #oil services space are now meeting a world that still runs on - and needs more - energy. Capital is only just beginning to rotate back into a sector the market spent a decade writing off. As we said back in September: this cycle has only just begun.
