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Joined October 2017
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大きな資金移動ほど、価格だけでなく「なぜ今動いたのか」を見るのが大事。BTCは数字の派手さより、取引所への流入・保管先・その後の動きまで追いたいですね。
Crypto can feel confusing when you’re starting out. So I’m putting together a simple, step-by-step guide to the basics.
We’ll cover what crypto actually is, Bitcoin and altcoins, exchanges, wallets, seed phrases, buying safely, avoiding scams and managing risk.
No silly questions. No jargon. Just the basics, explained clearly.
What’s the first thing you wish someone had explained to you?
初心者向けに、暗号資産の基礎からウォレット、シードフレーズ、詐欺対策、リスク管理まで順番に学べるのはありがたい。最初に「安全に守る」を身につけることが、結局いちばん大事だと思う。
I believe crypto could catch the market off guard with a sharp rally.
Here’s what I’m watching:
• US spot Bitcoin ETFs still finished Oct 19–23 +$301M net, despite heavy outflows late in the week.
• DTCC has already processed live production trades using tokenised securities, with its tokenisation service expected in Q4.
• Aviva has launched another tokenised fund share class on the XRP Ledger.
• The Fed decision, PCE inflation and US GDP all land this week. If the data and guidance ease pressure on yields, risk appetite could turn quickly.
None of this guarantees a rally. ETF flows have been volatile, and macro can still disappoint.
But the institutional rails are being built while the market is focused on the fear.
What catalyst do you think the market is underpricing?
The ETF week was positive overall, but flows reversed sharply on Oct 22–23. DTCC confirms the production trades and expected Q4 launch; Aviva’s latest XRP Ledger share-class launch was reported today. The Fed meeting is Oct 27–28, and BEA has GDP and PCE scheduled for Oct 29.
What’s your thoughts ?
BTCは10万ドルを割っただけで悲観が増えたけど、私はこういう時ほど感情よりデータを見る派。マクロの不確実性は残る一方、米国の現物需要が戻れば流れは一気に変わる。短期の値動きに振り回されず、次の確認材料を待ちたい。
#Bitcoin – What’s Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown
I have finished building the long positions I announced and entered between $80K and $81K. My average entry is now $80,400 for the longs, while my average spot entry is between 60-64k. Remember the sequence: My earlier predictions called a breakout above $82,500, followed by $88K, and it happened, and the time I made the prediction Bitcoin was trading at 60k. After the move into that target area, I prepared for the correction. At $88K, when everyone was calling for $100K, I was calling for $79K. Bitcoin did indeed crash to $80K, so I closed my entire short at $80,600, bought more Bitcoin spot and opened a long at that same price. I stopped waiting for the exact $79K target. The short served its purpose. It was a correction WITHIN a bull market, not my announcement of another bear market. To this day, BTC is still trading in the region I identified when it was at $88K. This tells me one thing: the $80K–$81K area, even extending down to $79K, is an accumulation zone. This can be observed clearly: spot demand is higher in this region, while long positions are also being built. If we analyse retail behaviour at this stage, we notice that MOST retail traders are extremely bearish. I will discuss this further below.
The $80K area is also a VERY IMPORTANT support level for bigger players, and this is something smaller retail players ignore. The average buying cost of Bitcoin for treasuries is at $80,200, with treasury and US spot ETF average entry buys are around $80K–$81.5K. It also reported that Binance spot bids around $80K had rebuilt by October 20 after the earlier correction from $88k. Meanwhile, realized profit-taking had slowed to roughly half its pace around the September high. Overall, this means the average entry of institutional investors sits around $80K–$81.5K, and profit-taking has slowed significantly. This tells me that the current selling pressure is coming from retail investors, combined with short positions in the futures market, while spot selling can be seen at the current prices from short term holders, but mid and long term holders do not dare to sell their BTC they bought at 60-70k. These conditions usually occur at local bottoms, and this is exactly why I am going long in the $80K–$81K region.
Now compare this with market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index is at 54, but I question this reading because I see much more fear in the market right now. The reason is very simple: the Fear & Greed Index uses a calculation model, and most investors who purchased BTC in the last two to three months are currently sitting in profit. Those investors are experienced because they bought the bottom, they knew when to enter, its correct to call it smart money, while inexperienced investors have either not entered the market yet or are among those who sold in the last few days. To make my point clear: if BTC were at $120K right now, retail concentration in BTC would be high, the Fear & Greed Index’s formula would place BTC in the fear zone. However, there has not been much panic selling from experienced investors so far, only a large number of weak hands have been shaken out. So the Fear and Greed formula analyses 100% of the BTC owners behaviour, and sees that the 80% of experienced traders are holding and not scared. But if the Fear and Greed would be applied on the remaining 20% in the market, which are a massive minority, the fear and greed would be at extreme fear levels right now.
Now I explained you my points why I believe this is the bottom region, and I hope it makes sense. I keep holding my spot positions from 60-64k, and my longs from 80-81k and my target is the area of 94k. What I would love to see now is BTC reclaiming the EMA50 and close the daily above, and even if it does not, it becomes an indicator the bears can use and nothing else. I am confident that this is the local bottom
This week’s calendar is HOT: we have the FOMC decision on October 28. The numbers show an 89.7% probability of unchanged rates and a 10.3% probability of a quarter-point hike. My live entries, additions and position updates are shared exclusively in Premium.(DrProfitCrypto.com)
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, BUT EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY.
BTCがまた高値圏にいる今こそ、価格より「なぜ保有するのか」を見直したい。短期の熱狂ではなく、供給上限と長期の信頼を軸に見ています。
Little rant...
I’ve seen this script so many times before, and I’m here to tell you how it is, respectfully, but without a filter. I couldn’t care less what other people think.
There’s always an excuse not to buy. Always.
What, do you think that in a bull market they’re going to hand you a 50–150% move with bullish news, and everyone’s just going to win? Are you having a laugh?
Peak uncertainty is exactly why $BTC was created. Yet you have supposed OGs using uncertain conditions as an excuse to stay out of the market. Incredible, if you ask me.
Bitcoin is at $80,000 a coin. It’s going to $126,000. There’s absolutely no reason to take profits before that region is reached.
The issue is people are investing and using leverage with money they can’t afford to lose... which leads to amateur mistakes, closing winning positions too early, flipping too soon, then finding excuses to justify the flip. All because they are emotionally attached to their $.
Do less. Not more.
The problem with mfs is they load up X and see these fake lavish lifestyles that 1% live. Maybe 5% of these people are making it. The other 95% are making money by extracting it from their followers.
Then you start comparing yourself to them, thinking, "I need to make XYZ returns because this guy did."
They’re fucking larps, posting demo screenshots made to look real. Exchanges are literally paying KOLs to market for them, making these guys look like legit traders moving millions. They’re not.
That’s exactly why I see zero reason to post anything PnL related.
What’s the point in a space where everyone’s a fucking fraud? I’d rather post my ideas and genuine thoughts, which I believe are worth more than 99% of the shit you see on here.
I’m genuinely disappointed in what this space has become. Years ago, I used to sit on the sidelines and watch people who actually provided value. Now it’s nothing but wannabe max extractors, fake lifestyle flexers and lifestyle traders with 18 and 19yo fanboys acting like they’re the greatest traders alive.
They’re not. They offer fuck all, and anyone with real market experience can see their opinions are irrelevant.
It’s a shame this place has become such a shithole that people can’t tell who’s real and who’s fake. It’s actually depressing. And maybe that’s part of why sentiment feels so fucking dead, like nobody’s even here anymore. Back to the Stone Age.
I spend 14–16 hours a day in one of my rooms, religiously watching charts, with 7-figure exposure in the market. I’m not out partying. I’m not at events. I’m not doing podcasts or interviews. I’m locked the fuck in.
Fuck these wannabe lifestyle traders. They don’t exist.
What does exist are traders who are so fucking obsessed they barely leave their rooms. It is what it is. I just needed to rant, because crypto has never felt this depressing to be part of.
Take it from me, compare yourself to absolutely fucking nobody.
ビットコインの短期的な値動きより、企業や国家の準備資産として定着していく流れのほうが重要だと思う。保有主体が増えるほど、市場の見方も少しずつ変わっていきそう。
$BTC is now between two major liquidity clusters.
One is around $81,500 and the other around $79,000.
And with the market momentum currently in favour of sellers, a sweep of downside liquidity is likely to happen first.
BTCは短期の値動きだけでなく、企業や国家の準備資産として定着していく流れを見るのが大事。こういう大口の動きは、次のサイクルを考えるうえで見逃せないと思う。
$BTC: Since weeks I’m saying 80-81k is the area I’m adding more longs. Yet a small amount of people mocked me because BTC went from 84k back to sub 80k for a while. I’m building this position for the long term. Not to be happy with a small 4K pump. My spot positions from 60k remain fully open as well. My next target remains clearly 94k
I’m not giving financial advice and sharing educational content only. For Financial Advice, only seek from licensed advisors such as the Respected @jimcramer
Thanks for Playing and my highly leveraged love for all positive replies, and yet if BTC allows to visit back to $80,000 I will repeat and add more to the longs, hope you understand.
暗号資産の普及は、価格よりも「使うハードル」をどこまで下げられるかが大事。ウォレットもオンチェーン取引も、説明書なしで使える体験になって初めて次の波が来ると思う。日本でもここは本当に重要。
what does it mean to be your own bank?
many people are asking me, so here's a high-level explanation:
in traditional banking, you trust a third party to hold your money, keep it safe and grant you permission to spend it.
however, when you use a self-custodial crypto wallet, you eliminate the bank entirely. you hold the keys to your assets, giving you absolute control.
you don't need to ask anyone permission to spend your funds. and if a bank goes down, like during the 2008 financial crisis, you remain unaffected.
この1時間でロング清算が2億ドル超。BTCが8万ドルを割り、主要アルトも連れ安です。こういう急落時こそ焦って飛びつかず、レバレッジと資金管理を見直したい。私はまず相場が落ち着くまで慎重に見ます。
2023年と似た値動きになるなら、前回高値を割らずに押し目を作れるかが次の焦点。BTCは上抜けそのものより、その後どこで支えられるかを見たい。こういう比較は冷静に相場を見る助けになるね。
Spitting image of 2023.
Once $BTC broke above the range and printed a weekly higher high, it never fell back below the previous high. Instead, it went on to form a higher low.
If we see a similar pattern this time, there’s a scenario where BTC holds above the previous range and forms a higher low above the 74K low.
The trend remains very much bullish.
BTCは83,000ドルを回復できるかが分岐点。週足・インフレ・原油をセットで見る整理はわかりやすいです。私は価格だけでなく、金利と地政学の連鎖も追います。
A plausible path to consider (in order).
Becomes void if Bitcoin gets and holds back above $83k
-Bitcoin weekly close below $83k (again)
-Fakeout confirmed (Oct 25)
-Fed does not raise rates (Oct 28)
-PCE comes in hot (Oct 29)
-Oil spikes over the Iran war (~$120)
-Long end goes up (10Y back to 5.3%)
-Stocks drop
-Bitcoin drops in Q4 of midterm year (like always)
-Long end drops before EOY
AIエージェントが自分で必要な計算資源やデータに支払い、サービス同士で取引する未来はかなり現実味が出てきました。人間が毎回介在しない経済圏では、高速で低コストな決済基盤が重要。AI×オンチェーン決済は、次の大きなユースケースになりそうです。
What happens when AI stops being just a tool we use and starts becoming something that can pay for its own services?
I've been thinking about this while following @SuiNetwork recent developments.
An AI agent could need cloud computing, access to data, and a way to pay for both. Sui is working on that side of things with Alibaba Cloud, Google Cloud and Walrus.
Now add a network that's demonstrated 40.6M TPS in a live test, USDC coming to Samsung Wallet, and a new way for Bitcoin holders to access liquidity through Hashi.
You start to see a different picture of what a crypto ecosystem could look like.
We're not there yet, but this is the kind of direction I find worth watching. Not just what crypto can do today, but what it might make possible next.
In my opinion, $SUI is presenting the kind of opportunity that could build generational wealth, especially for those who see the bigger picture. 🤝
ビットコインの本質は、誰かの許可なしに価値を保管・移転できること。価格の上下より、この自由を自分で確かめられる点に惹かれます。女性ユーザーとしても、もっと身近な選択肢になってほしい。
SAMSUNG ANNOUNCED IT WILL ENABLE CRYPTO PAYMENTS TO 82,000,000 GALAXY DEVICES STARTING NEXT WEEK
THE WORLD'S LARGEST SMARTPHONE COMPANY IS OFFICIALLY EMBRACING #BITCOIN AND CRYPTO
THIS IS MASSIVE 🔥
AIが暗号を破る前に、漏えい情報を使ったフィッシングやソーシャルエンジニアリングの方がずっと現実的な脅威。私もウォレット管理だけでなく、DMやリンクを開く瞬間こそ慎重にしています。便利さより確認を一手間。























