Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) header
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture

Ξlliott Fi₿onacci

@ewfib

Technical Analysis focused around Elliott Wave, Fibs & Geometry.

 Not financial advice
Joined February 2018
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2 Years ago #Bitcoin made its low Time for an update of the $BTC chart I made back than(see link) #BTC still follows the grey 2015-2017 pattern more or less(notes on the chart) Will it be a left or right translated cycle? Nobody knows! I think 60% odds for higher for longer
- The Bitcoin Price was on track until Bitcoin spot ETF was approved - Than the $BTC price accelerated too early in this cycle: BUT "only" to ATH - Than price moved sideways and wasted the time it got to ATH prematurely - Now after the halving and ~1090 days after the 2021 ATH price broke above the last ATH. - Similar time window as every time before >> This time is already different because price got way higher than in previous cycles before the halving --> Maybe the 4 year cycle is broken? ----> Question than: is it a left translated cycle (shorter and lower) or right translated cycle (longer and higher) --> Maybe it´s really the red W3 which is supposed to be the stronges, fastes, steepest and longest wave --> This would imply a right translated (longer and higher) cycle (which is my assumption)

ALT - The Bitcoin Price was on track until Bitcoin spot ETF was approved - Than the $BTC price accelerated too early in this cycle: BUT "only" to ATH - Than price moved sideways and wasted the time it got to ATH prematurely - Now after the halving and ~1090 days after the 2021 ATH price broke above the last ATH. - Similar time window as every time before >> This time is already different because price got way higher than in previous cycles before the halving --> Maybe the 4 year cycle is broken? ----> Question than: is it a left translated cycle (shorter and lower) or right translated cycle (longer and higher) --> Maybe it´s really the red W3 which is supposed to be the stronges, fastes, steepest and longest wave --> This would imply a right translated (longer and higher) cycle (which is my assumption)

Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib21 Nov 2023
1 Year ago #Bitcoin made its low. Time for an update of the $BTC chart I made back than (see link). #BTC still follows the grey 2015-2017 pattern almost exactly. Will the #Bitcoin price stay below ATH for another ≈12 month with a price of ≈$40k at the halving?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Looks like the rotation is setting up: - BTC.D likely topped 🏔️ - TOTAL3/BTC likely bottomed 📈 - TOTAL3/ETH might dip a bit more ⚠️ → Altseason brewing, but ETH leads first 🚀 What's your altseason watchlist? #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoins $BTC #BTC $ETH
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap 1️⃣ Wave 7 peaks when the monthly RSI hits the red line 2️⃣ Wave 8 = correction 3️⃣ Wave 9 = final blow-off top before the cycle ends In 2017, this pattern played out perfectly Right now, we’re closing in on that RSI trigger again Or is this time different?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib7 Aug 2025
8 months later — still below the red line. (see linked tweet below) Same structure. Same question: Will $BTC reach the RSI trendline again — or is this time different?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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8 months later — still below the red line. (see linked tweet below) Same structure. Same question: Will $BTC reach the RSI trendline again — or is this time different?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib17 Dec 2024
When in doubt zoom out Let´s see if/when Bitcoin reaches the red line on the 1M RSI Same idea as in the linked $BTC tweet from a year ago Or is this time different? Will it under or overshoot the red line?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Kun (@0x_Kun) profile picture
Kun
@0x_Kun23 Dec 2024
Dont tie your profile to a position you own Once your profile and emotion gets tied to a position it becomes your identity and then it becomes personal Once its personal you are no longer impartial from a critical thinking perspective and instead you see any negativity or positivity as a tie to your own value and self worth When you then hear someone say "that project has X potential concerns" you dont hear the issues you hear in your mind "you are an idiot" Similarly instead of thinking about both sides you will just like anything said thats positive and you become delusional as its success becomes tied to your self worth
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Stack Hodler (@stackhodler) profile picture
Stack Hodler
@stackhodler21 Dec 2024
This is the most important time in human history to think ahead. The entire monetary and economic system as we know it is changing in front of you. And most people are blissfully unaware. There's still some time left to prepare. But not much. Bitcoin, AI, and robotics are going to change everything over the next 10 years. We're living on an exponential curve. The biggest mistake you can make is assuming that we are living in a static world. The future is accelerating towards us. The thing that seems unimpressive today will blow your socks off next year. OpenAI launched their state of the art o1 model 3 months ago... And their new model announced yesterday already blows it out of the water. It's better than human level on the most popular AGI benchmark. It's ranked #175 in the world as a competitive coder. And it's exceptional at complex math. Keep in mind, that's today's model. Where will it be in 6 months? The better the models get, the more helpful they are in improving themselves. And don't make the mistake of thinking this is only applicable to software. This is intelligence we're talking about. Human intelligence is how we've created every scientific and engineering breakthrough in the world. But human intelligence is a bottleneck. There are only so many geniuses, and they can only work so many hours a day. What happens when we have better-than-human level intelligence working around the clock, at scale, on our hardest problems? The progress in robotics, energy generation, healthcare, and more will speed up tremendously with the aid of artificial intelligence. This is happening whether we like it or not. And no one can say for sure what the outcome will be. One thing is for sure: The economic and social models that exist today are under extreme threat. My personal belief is that we are headed into a golden age of abundance. We will look back at today similar to how we look at the middle ages. Kings seriously used to shit down a stone tube on the side of their castle? And that was luxurious?! You get to choose what you believe, and choosing to be optimistic is simply a better way to live. In terms of assets, when everything becomes abundant, you want to hold the scarcest asset. And that is Bitcoin. At this point, I'd say acquiring a piece of Bitcoin should be a top priority for everyone reading this. Governments only really have one economic tool at their disposal to fight fires: Printing money. There's a good chance that if AI starts leading to job loss, we will witness the greatest wave of money printing the world has ever seen. And in that case you want to hold the asset that has proven to perform best in that scenario. If you can protect your purchasing power while everything gets cheaper around you - you are going to thrive. Beyond that, make sure you enjoy everything around you as it exists today. One day you're going to look back at your current life with nostalgia. So soak it in and make it count 🫡
Image from Stack Hodler (@stackhodler)
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hcburger (@hcburger1) profile picture
hcburger
@hcburger118 Dec 2024
Another prediction (this time from Sep 2019) with new data filled in. The price came close to the bottom in 2020 and 2022, but never broke it. Bitcoin's price follows a time-based power-law.
Image from hcburger (@hcburger1)
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Crowd wisdom, like online voting,is thought to aggregate better answers but often favors popularity over accuracy In trading,as in democracy,the majority is often wrong The ignorance of the masses can overpower expert knowledge, leading to widely accepted but incorrect outcomes🤔
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) profile pictureRaoul Pal
@RaoulGMI17 Dec 2024
Pulse check (2 polls): What is your cycle top price for BTC (roughly)
61%$150k to $200k
20%$200k to $250k
8%$250k to $350k
11%$350k+
30,042 votes • Final results
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princeton.edu/news/2017/02/0…

In crowd wisdom, the 'surprisingly popular' answer can trump ignorance of the masses

Crowd wisdom tends to favor the most popular information, not necessarily the most correct — mass ignorance can cancel out a knowledgeable minority, resulting in the wrong answer becoming the most...

princeton.edu
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Great Work👍 Note: The model doesn´t predict top/bottom or timing It says the long-term trend is up with diminishing returns (no S-curve) and price should stay within the corridor but doesnt need to touch the boundaries The power-law gives a good guideline where Bitcoin is
hcburger (@hcburger1) profile picturehcburger
@hcburger118 Dec 2024
#btc How it started vs how it's going. Same plot, 5 years later, with new price data in red (the forecast is unmodified). The time-based power-law has held up remarkably well and the price is crossing the trend line once again. Note that I had to extend the x-axis.
Image from hcburger (@hcburger1)
Image from hcburger (@hcburger1)
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib17 Dec 2024
When in doubt zoom out Let´s see if/when Bitcoin reaches the red line on the 1M RSI Same idea as in the linked $BTC tweet from a year ago Or is this time different? Will it under or overshoot the red line?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib7 Dec 2023
Some imaginary lines on the 1D #Bitcoin chart Keep in mind, nothing of this has to happen. Maybe the $BTC price goes to $100k on positive ETF news🤷‍♂️ As HODLer you should ignore the LTF noise and focus on the 1M RSI If the 1M RSI gets to the red line consider selling some #BTC 😉
$BTC is still on track - IMHO it would be better if #Bitcoin price makes this 1-2;12 count - If the 2nd W1 ends in the 1st or 2nd trouble area doesnt matter - I just want to see a 2nd W2 because if price goes straight to ATH the upside potential is smaller - A healthy retracement gives more upside potential/higher prices later on - ideally I want to see price around 40k at halving and not above ATH before the halving - If price is above ATH before the halving the 4 year cycle/liquidity cycle gets less likely and the upside price target is much lower and much earlier IMHO - I strongly believe its the bull count, but just keep in mind that this could still be a zz in red - I find this extremly unlikely because for that to happen something really terrible has to happen - Which terrible thing should bring the price lower than RATE HIKES/LUNA/3AC/FTX combined - It would something like WW3 or a 1929 crash - definetly nothing you want to live through

ALT $BTC is still on track - IMHO it would be better if #Bitcoin price makes this 1-2;12 count - If the 2nd W1 ends in the 1st or 2nd trouble area doesnt matter - I just want to see a 2nd W2 because if price goes straight to ATH the upside potential is smaller - A healthy retracement gives more upside potential/higher prices later on - ideally I want to see price around 40k at halving and not above ATH before the halving - If price is above ATH before the halving the 4 year cycle/liquidity cycle gets less likely and the upside price target is much lower and much earlier IMHO - I strongly believe its the bull count, but just keep in mind that this could still be a zz in red - I find this extremly unlikely because for that to happen something really terrible has to happen - Which terrible thing should bring the price lower than RATE HIKES/LUNA/3AC/FTX combined - It would something like WW3 or a 1929 crash - definetly nothing you want to live through

Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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When in doubt zoom out Let´s see if/when Bitcoin reaches the red line on the 1M RSI Same idea as in the linked $BTC tweet from a year ago Or is this time different? Will it under or overshoot the red line?
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib7 Dec 2023
Some imaginary lines on the 1D #Bitcoin chart Keep in mind, nothing of this has to happen. Maybe the $BTC price goes to $100k on positive ETF news🤷‍♂️ As HODLer you should ignore the LTF noise and focus on the 1M RSI If the 1M RSI gets to the red line consider selling some #BTC 😉
$BTC is still on track - IMHO it would be better if #Bitcoin price makes this 1-2;12 count - If the 2nd W1 ends in the 1st or 2nd trouble area doesnt matter - I just want to see a 2nd W2 because if price goes straight to ATH the upside potential is smaller - A healthy retracement gives more upside potential/higher prices later on - ideally I want to see price around 40k at halving and not above ATH before the halving - If price is above ATH before the halving the 4 year cycle/liquidity cycle gets less likely and the upside price target is much lower and much earlier IMHO - I strongly believe its the bull count, but just keep in mind that this could still be a zz in red - I find this extremly unlikely because for that to happen something really terrible has to happen - Which terrible thing should bring the price lower than RATE HIKES/LUNA/3AC/FTX combined - It would something like WW3 or a 1929 crash - definetly nothing you want to live through

ALT $BTC is still on track - IMHO it would be better if #Bitcoin price makes this 1-2;12 count - If the 2nd W1 ends in the 1st or 2nd trouble area doesnt matter - I just want to see a 2nd W2 because if price goes straight to ATH the upside potential is smaller - A healthy retracement gives more upside potential/higher prices later on - ideally I want to see price around 40k at halving and not above ATH before the halving - If price is above ATH before the halving the 4 year cycle/liquidity cycle gets less likely and the upside price target is much lower and much earlier IMHO - I strongly believe its the bull count, but just keep in mind that this could still be a zz in red - I find this extremly unlikely because for that to happen something really terrible has to happen - Which terrible thing should bring the price lower than RATE HIKES/LUNA/3AC/FTX combined - It would something like WW3 or a 1929 crash - definetly nothing you want to live through

Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib15 Nov 2024
-The green $BTC count should be your primary -But If this channel gets broken to the upside, with a steeper angle and the 1W RSI shows no divergence ->Than I think the yellow count gets more probable ->And the price goes much higher -Until than, green should be primary
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib13 Dec 2024
No elliottician likes these nested 1-2´s But I think it is the most probable count for $ETH It is unbelievably bullish but it will take a lot of time to complete The RSI has a lot of room to the upside We will find out at the end of the bullmarket if nested 1-2 counts exist 😉
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib27 Nov 2024
I know, nobody likes these nested 1-2´s Me neither In the end I don´t really care about the #ETH count #Ethereum respected every S/R level and fib I think everything will go higher for a while So why not this crazy bullish $ETH count 🤷‍♂️ We will find out at the end 😉
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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No elliottician likes these nested 1-2´s But I think it is the most probable count for $ETH It is unbelievably bullish but it will take a lot of time to complete The RSI has a lot of room to the upside We will find out at the end of the bullmarket if nested 1-2 counts exist 😉
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib27 Nov 2024
I know, nobody likes these nested 1-2´s Me neither In the end I don´t really care about the #ETH count #Ethereum respected every S/R level and fib I think everything will go higher for a while So why not this crazy bullish $ETH count 🤷‍♂️ We will find out at the end 😉
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Since I started tweeting again, I keep losing followers Either Twitter is broken, retail left, or my content sucks so much that nobody is interested in it And the exchange of ideas with other analysts is no longer what it used to be years ago Twitter feels like a waste of time
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib18 Nov 2022
Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib7 Dec 2024
$SUI could end its W3 impulse soon But who knows maybe SUI goes higher or lower than this box Not financial advice I can´t predict the future🤷
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib28 Nov 2023
$SUI idea #SUI looks like 5 waves into the 0.618 log and linear fib with a RSI bear div This could provide a decent long in a while. NFA
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$SUI could end its W3 impulse soon But who knows maybe SUI goes higher or lower than this box Not financial advice I can´t predict the future🤷
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib28 Nov 2023
$SUI idea #SUI looks like 5 waves into the 0.618 log and linear fib with a RSI bear div This could provide a decent long in a while. NFA
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile picture
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib6 Dec 2024
$AAVE really took its time My last $AAVE tweet was august 2023 And the green box was already my target in a tweet in june 2022 crazy how time is flying I have not changed the chart, just added the 4 and 5 time fibs funny chart😂
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib1 Aug 2023
Not much has happend since my last $AAVE tweets (see link) The #AAVE price is still above range high. I really would prefer a sweep of the june low into the green box. But will it happen?🤔 teapawt.org/ewfib/status/154467039…
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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$AAVE really took its time My last $AAVE tweet was august 2023 And the green box was already my target in a tweet in june 2022 crazy how time is flying I have not changed the chart, just added the 4 and 5 time fibs funny chart😂
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib) profile pictureΞlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib1 Aug 2023
Not much has happend since my last $AAVE tweets (see link) The #AAVE price is still above range high. I really would prefer a sweep of the june low into the green box. But will it happen?🤔 teapawt.org/ewfib/status/154467039…
Image from Ξlliott Fi₿onacci (@ewfib)
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