Chief Market Strategist / Partner @ Pivotus Partners. Always seeking truth / assessing risks. My opinions only. Not investment advice. Do the work!
Joined January 2017
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I write macroeconomic and strategy assessments for the institutional investment community. My posts here are things that I find interesting, thoughtful, or merely just entertaining. Although some of my posts may reflect strongly-held views on the investment landscape, that doesn't mean those views won't change as facts change and it certainly doesn't mean those things are right for YOU! Proper investment advice involves a deep understanding of your goals, needs, and risk-tolerances. Nobody should consider anything here investment advice, but rather, merely informative. I'd probably offer the same level of caution about getting medical advice here too, by the way. Have a health issue? See a doctor. Want to devise a financial plan? Well, see a financial advisor. Twitter ain't going to cure you in either instance.
No interest
Sounds like Nick Cage doing a bad Nick Cage imitation while dressed up like John Madden. #NFL
You really have to believe some very bad things to knock Brazilian stocks down 25% on an election where the winner is a known known and the economy is doing quite well ...
You could be totally right on your fundamental view and someone pushes a button and down you go....
Payroll tax withholdings suggest that passive stock flows are still positive. So there's $20T in equity here that has a handcuffed buyer. I think that's the part that people don't mention enough. Yes, there are massive buildouts and debts, but there's also the ability to raise cash on equity markets and yet the index buyer can't even punish them. This is why I think you're seeing more and more ATM stock offerings. Debt markets tightening? Then they just start pounding on the passive buyers.
Richard Farr retweeted
Senior Iranian Official To Reuters: Qatar Has Not Presented A New Proposal To End Hostilities With US
- Qatar Has Put Forward Ideas That Are Unacceptable To Iran
- Tehran’s Policy On Showing No Flexibility Over Nuclear Issue Remains Unchanged #OOTT
Richard Farr retweeted
COREWEAVE 5-YEAR CDS NARROWS TO LOWEST LEVEL IN OVER A WEEK, LAST AT 1041.4 BPS - MARKIT DATA
Important to understand this. Big company gets index and ETF buying. Small company? Probably needs to be bought by the big company or let PE do all the work.
Richard Farr retweeted
*IRAN SUPREME LEADER CALLS FOR MEETING CONDITIONS TO END WAR
*IRAN'S KHAMENEI AND REZAEE DISCUSS UNITY, HORMUZ MANAGEMENT
So if there's going to be "stranded compute" and "guppy level death" in 2027, why the fk would you borrow $40B to buy compute for 2027 delivery? Something sounds like BS.
Richard Farr retweeted
I am shocked, absolutely shocked, that Anthropic ARR has likely gone vertical in October after they cut token prices.
Except the exact same thing happened for the entire AI market, which is why GPU rental prices have surged while token prices declined.
$100b plus in year-end ARR looks possible again.
Folks, Lula has been President of Brazil for 12 years. He's not about to lead Brazil into guppy-level death.
Richard Farr retweeted
Do yourself a favor and read these comments.
Might be the best comment section I’ve ever seen
