Science and space are cool, and the world is awe-inspiring. Freedom is essential. Writing is life. Retweets not agreement. "I am nefelibata." That is all.
Swamp'nCanalLand, USA
Joined June 2016
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Everyone complaining about 2020 being the Worst Year Evar has got it all wrong.
2020 is the year God turned into the greatest practical joker of all time. Grab some popcorn and laugh right along with Him.
Inkyswill retweeted
🚨BREAKING:
BINANCE FOUNDER CZ WARNS CRYPTO HACKS ARE NOW HAPPENING EVERY SINGLE DAY
HE URGES COMPANIES TO USE AI FOR DEFENSE AS ATTACKS CONTINUE TO SURGE
CZ ALSO REVEALS TALKS ABOUT AN INDUSTRY-WIDE ALLIANCE TO FIGHT HACKERS
🚨WARNING: US MIDTERMS $BTC MACRO BOTTOM PATTERN IS PLAYING OUT HERE!
In 2014, BTC bottomed 71 days after the midterms.
In 2018, BTC bottomed 39 days after the midterms.
In 2022, BTC bottomed 13 days after the midterms.
Each time we had macro bottom formed earlier and earlier and now it happened months before midterms
That's if you think that bottom is in already
Of course, this doesn't mean we can't see another 30%-50% correction like we did in previous cycles
But I think most of that downside has already been priced in
$BTC already had its major capitulation earlier this year and is now holding the same macro structure
I still expect one more correction toward $74K to retest that important support before moving higher
That could be the final shakeout to leave late buyers sidelined before the next major expansion
And here's the most interesting part:
The years following previous midterms were extremely bullish for Bitcoin
2015: +34%
2019: +94%
2023: +156%
If history repeats, 2027 could become another massive recovery year
That's why I believe the macro bottom is already behind us, even if we still see some downside first
The real opportunity might be what happens AFTER the midterms
Remember that I am posting news daily and monitoring each major macro event to post and warn you
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
Inkyswill retweeted
this stuff is very bad
An underground activist group says it plans to start openly doxing billionaires as part of a phased campaign against what it calls the American oligarchy—starting with Elon Musk and Tesla’s board. wired.com/story/anti-oligarc…
Inkyswill retweeted
Sixteen-year-old Corion Evans from Pascagoula, Mississippi, is being hailed as a hero after jumping into the Pascagoula River to save four lives in the early hours of the morning.
According to ABC News, Evans witnessed a car carrying three teenage girls plunge into the river around 2:30 a.m. after the driver mistakenly followed her GPS directions. As the vehicle began to sink, Evans immediately swam out and successfully rescued all three girls.
While helping the passengers to safety, a police officer who had entered the water to assist suddenly began struggling. Without hesitation, Evans swam back out and pulled the officer to safety as well.
Moss Point Police Chief Brandon Ashley praised the teenager’s bravery, stating that without Evans’ quick and courageous actions, the situation could have ended in tragedy.
The inspiring story has spread rapidly across national media. Evans has been honored by local officials for his extraordinary selflessness, proving that one young person’s bravery can truly mean the difference between life and death.
Inkyswill retweeted
One of the more interesting stories from yesterday will be how Florida and Texas - two states with similar political climates - ended up with such different results. A big part of that comes down to the GOP leadership in each. There were missteps in both, but...
One state kept at least a slight buffer of regional independence from the White House's political operations, succeeded in keeping sleaze like Fishback off its ticket, kept state and local government focused on relatively conventional conservative issues, and managed to keep enough Hispanic voters in the coalition to win.
The other state tried to turn itself into MAGA central, tried to import JD Vance style economic populism into a part of the country that wanted nothing to do with that, made sleaze like Paxton the face of its statewide campaign, and actively drove Hispanic voters (as well as other minorities as per Bo French) out of the coalition by sticking them in the eye in the months before the election.
Inkyswill retweeted
Human life is purpose built to experience struggle. It’s a feature of our existence to purify the soul. Calm seas never make good sailors and such.
Everyone dooming about the future of America seems to forget that God exists. The final victory always belongs to Him.
Inkyswill retweeted
In 2006, Republicans got schlonged in midterms. The economy didn’t do great and in 2008 Democrats completed their trifecta.
We were fine, and in 2010 the Dems in the house got schlonged.
It didn’t lead to a GOP win in 2012 — largely, in my opinion, because Mitt Romney didn’t want to fight. He just wanted to run.
And that’s why we got the braying jackass that was Trump in 2016.
If you don’t remember the media was all but coronating Hillary. They were measuring her for a crown.
Then Trump, initially polling at like 1% or something absurd in the huge 17+ crowd of candidates, started being a dick at debates.
And people were like “hey, this guy is a dick, but he’s a fighter. The last two guys to lose were politically pussies. We’ll pick the fighter.”
And he kept being a dick right through the election — and shocked the world. Except Scott Adams (and me).
2018, Republicans lose the House but keep the Senate in large part because they FOUGHT for Kavanaugh.
2020 they lost, because of COVID and such.
Democrats had a trifecta again.
Yet. We were fine.
2024, the Republicans won another trifecta.
2026, we lost that — and may have lost the Senate for most of the next decade, depending on messaging and candidates.
The Dems spending the next two years doing show trials and hearings won’t become a winning message in 2028.
The worst case scenario, in my opinion, is if Trump blinks and tries to work with them across the aisle and passes a bunch of terrible “bipartisan” bills.
But I don’t think that happens because as I’ve seen on my timeline they’re absolutely rabid and salivating at the idea of punishing their political opponents.
That doesn’t translate to lower prices, affordability, or higher wages.
So let them have their temper tantrum.
And for the love of God, vote. Vote local. Vote in primaries. Vote for people who can actually persuade. Because candidates that can’t, suck.
Inkyswill retweeted
I am praying for Donalds...
Nobody can follow in @RonDeSantis footsteps but Donalds has an opportunity to continue the competence and safety of the Greatest State in the Union...
He has an opportunity to prove himself and I hope he makes the most of it...
Inkyswill retweeted
Has every one of you who has watched more than five of my shows knows this is not a first ever event or scary. This is why you really need to be careful who you listen to.
This was a plasma filament destabilization, resulting in release, a common occurrence, and this was not a spectacular or large one - it is also not aimed at the Earth
Inkyswill retweeted
I think an understated problem is it’s hard to get people who are in survival mode to care about elections. I was completely checked out from the get go. My emotional bandwidth to handle things outside my immediate needs is 0%.
Inkyswill retweeted
In the Lebor Gabala Erenn, the first generation of settlers of Ireland were wiped out by the Flood of Noah, save one: a single soul eats hazelnuts that transform him into a salmon, allowing him to live for centuries onward sharing knowledge. #WyrdWednesday
🖼️: J. McCarthy
ALT Justin McCarthy's depiction of the Salmon of Knowledge, a human transformed by eating eight hazelnuts in the Well of Connla into a salmon; this depiction uses Celtic motifs in art to show the salmon eating the eight hazelnuts.
Inkyswill retweeted
When a mother goat can't feed her kids, farmers step in with a bottle, and these hungry babies crowd in for every drop. Bottle-raised kids grow up remarkably friendly.
Inkyswill retweeted
If you want the anti-AI movement to collapse, all you have to do is sit back and wait while they destroy themselves from within. You'd think if they didn't want AI to replace them, they'd give you every reason not to use it. Instead, they give you every reason to. Couple that with their toxic hatred towards anyone who so much as likes or follows someone who uses it. The anti-AI people are apart of a hateful cult hivemind.
Inkyswill retweeted
Its rlly hard to compete with:
- Instant delivery
- Cheaper price
- Infinite revisions
- Lighter terms of use
- No scam chance
If I had infinite money I would comission everything, but some projects have limited deadlines and budgets and cannot afford human error.
Always support real artists when you can, but dont feel bad for filling the gaps with tools if needed.
Inkyswill retweeted
Bee, I understand where you're coming from, and I respect that concern. I don't believe an artist's unfinished work should automatically become fair game for AI because a commission went badly.
But the hardest part for me hasn't been the money. It's reaching a point where I've been rejected so many times that I feel defeated even trying to commission artwork anymore.
So, being the nerd I am, I buried myself in code. Midjourney, ComfyUI, local models, learning how it all works. I've even sought out LoRAs created by artists who willingly support AI and contribute their own work.
I've tried to approach this thoughtfully, but it often feels like none of those distinctions matter. Everything gets lumped into the same bucket.
I still love human artwork. I still want to support artists. I just wish there were room for people like me who genuinely want to do both without being treated like we've done something terrible.
I don't want this technology to become another reason we stop being kind to each other.
Inkyswill retweeted
“Support real artists! Don’t use AI!”
I DID. I spent THOUSANDS commissioning artists who took my money, ghosted me for months, and spent their time pumping out adoptables and YCHs instead of delivering my artwork.
So I used AI to finish what they wouldn't.
Now other artists refuse my money because I've used AI.
You told me to support artists. I DID. You took my money, wasted my time, and now shame me for finding an alternative.
You're not fighting AI. You're driving paying customers straight into its arms.
Inkyswill retweeted
I once attempted to commission an artist. Couldn't even get there lol!
I was put on a waiting list and told I'd get my turn in 2 months once they finish with the clients they were already working with. I ended up waiting 8 months because the artist kept pushing me back in favor of working with more famous clients with bigger follower counts and by the time he reached me, his prices had already went up by a factor of 4 and I couldn't afford his rates. Honestly, after so much time I just assumed that I was ghosted and dropped because I wasn't famous enough or something.
When he finally contacted me about my commission after so long, I explained that I couldn't afford him at this point and obviously, he wasn't going to use the rates that he had when I first contacted him and that I'll unfortunately have to cancel.
He proceeded to lambast me and insult me for "wasting his time" and blocked me 😂😂😂
Honestly, the main thing driving people away are the holier than thou attitudes more than anything else.
“Support real artists! Don’t use AI!”
I DID. I spent THOUSANDS commissioning artists who took my money, ghosted me for months, and spent their time pumping out adoptables and YCHs instead of delivering my artwork.
So I used AI to finish what they wouldn't.
Now other artists refuse my money because I've used AI.
You told me to support artists. I DID. You took my money, wasted my time, and now shame me for finding an alternative.
You're not fighting AI. You're driving paying customers straight into its arms.
Inkyswill retweeted
A small addition in agreement:
Not only did Democrats persuade more voters to vote for them, Republicans persuaded voters to sit this one out.
Whether or not the reader agrees with the reasoning of the voter, that is a factual thing that happened.
Inkyswill retweeted
(Long tweet warning)
In which I anger everyone.
1. The Democrats won because the Democrat candidates persuaded more people that the Democrat positions would answer the problems that those people have. I can hear the instant but that's not true, those answers are not answers, they are actions that will compound the problems! Agreed. And the Republican candidates failed to persuade people that was the case.
I will type this until my fingers bleed: the locus of responsibility for a candidate being elected to office lies with the candidate, not with the voters. It is the candidate's job, indeed, the candidate's only job, to persuade people to vote for said candidate.
Positive persuasion (vote for me because I can fix that) is far more appealing than negative persuasion (do not vote for that other person, they will make it worse).
People want to support something, not prevent something. The reason why saying the only thing that a prevent defense prevents is winning is funny is because it has the ring of truth.
The Democrats listened to what the public was saying it wanted and then replied that hey, the Republicans haven't done anything to make that better, in fact, the Republicans made it worse, and we can make it better! I repeat, that I (and likely most of those reading this) think that the policies the Democrats advocate will make those problem worse is irrelevant. What is relevant for getting elected is persuading people that the problems facing those people matter and that the candidate has a plan to fix it.
The idiotic central premise of What's The Matter With Kansas, namely that voters don't actually know what's in their best interest, the political class does, does not become less idiotic when it is being spewed by those on the Right.
People are screaming, as loudly as possible, that they are drowning. The response by far, far too many people on the Right is to sneer to paddle harder. Contempt is met with contempt, as it should be.
The Republicans in Congress have failed, catastrophically so, to take any actions to implement the policies that those self same Republicans claim will improve matters. If those policies are so important and so good and so necessary, then why has legislation implementing those policies not been passed? The Democrats most decidedly are able to pass what the Democrats deem important. Why have the Republicans not done the same?
You cannot beat something with nothing is a truism for a reason.
I will also type until my fingers bleed the following: there has to be a pay off for a sacrifice or people will not make that sacrifice. That pay off does not need to be immediate, however, there has to be some visible progress toward that pay off for a person to keep making the sacrifice. Put the hours in to get the promotion, exercise and diet to lose the weight, take political positions which may make you a social pariah, possibly even a professional pariah must have at least tiny tangible steps towards pay off.
What did support for a Republican trifecta get? Judges, yes. The tax bill, yes. And what else? What other actions by Congress took place to make the sacrifice worth it? Any action by the Executive can, will, and, arguably, should, be undone by the Executive who gets elected who opposes those actions. What actions die the Republican Congress take to codify the positions the Republicans claim are so important? Well. Pretty much none. It is reasonable for a person to look at that and say those policies must not be that important to solve problems.
Demanding sacrifice while acting to prevent the payoff will result in the rational conclusion the sacrifice is not worth it.
The Democrats persuaded more people that the Democrats would solve their problems. The Democrats persuaded more people that the Democrats agree that the problems are problems in the first place. The Democrats did not treat voters as recalcitrant children who don't actually know what is important. Funny how that resulted in the Democrats winning. It's a mystery, really.
II. And if you weren't furious with me before, you will be now.
The other side gets to win. That's how the entire representative democracy system works.
Each side presents its case to the voters. The voters decide which case the voters find more persuasive. That's how it works.
Only children scream that the other side winning means the election was illegitimate and the voters were stupid.
The other side gets to win too. The other side gets to say, hey, our ideas will work better. Voters get to decide that the voters believe that.
That is how it works.
Refusing to accept the legitimacy of the other side winning is toxic to the very idea of representative democracy.
Sometimes, my side loses and the other side wins. That is life. It is incumbent on me, and I do mean the personal me here, to consider that maybe my ideas aren't actually the best for most people and maybe my premises are wrong and maybe my ideas and premises are better but I need to recalibrate how I present them. That's what adults do.
Screaming that the voters are stupid and the other side isn't legitimate is what children do.
To sum up, the Democrats persuaded more people to believe they would do what they say and fix things and so be it.
/fin