L/S Equities & Options | Discussing Macro Trends | Reposting Critical Market News. 📍Follow me just for my reposts alone.📍
My own opinion, Not Advice
Joined November 2021
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JB Capital Markets retweeted
Why is this even a thing? Turn it off your iPhone now.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Live Listen is an accessibility feature that uses your iPhone as a remote microphone for AirPods or hearing aids. Remote Control lets same-Apple-ID devices manage it and view captions. It requires manual activation and is limited to your devices.
support.apple.com/guide/iphone/i… tomsguide.com/phones/iphones… totallythebomb.com/iphone-live-li…
Four of the Mag 7 are below their 50-day as of today's close: GOOGL (−16.6%), META (−6.6%), AMZN (−4.3%) and NVDA (−3.8%). AAPL, MSFT and TSLA are all above theirs.
JB Capital Markets retweeted
$USOIL
Ladies and gentlemen, a potential inverse H&S on the 4H..
The neckline? ~$103.5.
One breakout away from getting very interesting.
Plus rising oil. 🤣
FITCH WARNS AI BOOM AND RISING YIELDS THREATEN GLOBAL MARKETS
Fitch Ratings warns that global credit risks are deteriorating heading into 2027, citing AI investment uncertainty, elevated energy prices and tighter financing conditions.
Fitch forecasts the Fed policy rate reaching 4.25% and remaining there through 2027, with one additional hike expected this year.
The agency projects the US 10-year Treasury yield at 4.8% by end-2027, but warns that prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could push yields higher.
Fitch also highlights the risk that AI infrastructure spending may exceed sustainable demand, potentially triggering a sharp pullback in investment.
JB Capital Markets retweeted
FITCH SAYS IF OIL SUPPLIES THROUGH THE HORMUZ STRAIT CONTINUE TO BE HAMPERED BEYOND 2027, THEN A HIGHER OIL PRICE SCENARIO THAN OUR BASE CASE WOULD MATERIALIZE.
Another 2M out of commercial crude. Refineries don’t want the oil from SPR anymore possibly because it’s bad quality or too expensive. $WTI $USO is going higher. Maybe not this week, but soon.
API Inventory Moves 10/27
Crude -2.031 million (exp. +800,000)
Gasoline +2.39 million
Distillates +380,000
Cushing -453,000
SPR actual -100,000
#oott #crudeoil #gasoline #distillate
JB Capital Markets retweeted
API Inventory Moves 10/27
Crude -2.031 million (exp. +800,000)
Gasoline +2.39 million
Distillates +380,000
Cushing -453,000
SPR actual -100,000
#oott #crudeoil #gasoline #distillate
JB Capital Markets retweeted
There is far too much focus on expected compute supply coming to market and not nearly enough attention given to the huge gap in revenue relative to what is needed to justify all that capex. h/t @ulf_huse
JB Capital Markets retweeted
Yes. I’ve been saying this for decades. Communism, socialism, fascism, and Nazism are just different flavors of the same poison.
Hitler was a great admirer of Mussolini, who is considered the father of Fascism, and was a well-known socialist of his time.
There is no far right.
There are the leftists, who want to run our lives and steal our wealth, and then there are normal people, who just want to be left alone.
In short, you can use startlink to defend from people from dying but you can’t kill people using the service.
Correct.
Using Starlink, a civilian commercial service, for offensive drone strikes to kill people has never been allowed, nor should it be.
Starshield, a different system, is controlled by the US government. What they decide to do is up to them.
Ukraine military violated Starlink terms of service and used it for offensive drone strikes to kill people. That loophole was closed last week.
Starlink remains critical to the defense of Ukraine, as it is the only system that cannot be jammed or blown up, at least for now. Were Starlink to be turned off, the Ukrainian front line would collapse immediately. This is NOT a threat, it is simply a statement of fact.
Starlink was also crucial to preventing Russia from overrunning Ukraine in the early days of the war, as all other means of communication were destroyed or jammed by Russia.
SpaceX has done more to defend Ukraine than any private company on Earth BY FAR.
That said, I have nothing but UTTER CONTEMPT for the virtue-signaling evil warmongers who push for endless slaughter and offer no realistic solution to the conflict. May you burn in hell.
End of story.
It’s always oil that’s gonna kill the market, not AI or internet things.
$SPY is holding onto dear life today.
$USO /cl
In short, WS is pricing in that Iran has more leverage during war than US thinks.
Oil volatility has slowly started moving higher.
Even though WTI has remained largely flat for the past 3 days, oil options are getting more expensive, suggesting the market is increasingly pricing in larger moves ahead.
At the same time, liquidation pressure is building across metals and equities.
We cannot say with certainty what is brewing behind the scenes, but these developments are increasingly pointing towards something bigger.
My suspicion is that smart money is positioning for a major event, and oil is very much part of that equation.
Price is still relatively calm, but volatility is beginning to tell a different story.
