Joseph Remis (@jremis) header
Joseph Remis (@jremis) profile picture

Né à Gijon, Asturias, Espagne. Astronome, lecteur et cinéphile.

Saint Avold Moselle
Joined November 2009
Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)Photo by Joseph Remis (@jremis)
New paper out on arXiv: arxiv.org/abs/2607.20128 It explains a lightweight way to predict atmospheric re-entries using only public TLEs. My hope is that some of you will jump in and start making your own predictions, with this method or any other you prefer. More voices, more analysts, more independent checks. Give it a look. #SkyfallWatch
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Update: obj. 28485 SWIFT decay prediction: November 04, 2026 UTC 12:12 ± 2.2h
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Update: obj. 45555 STARLINK-1327 decay prediction: November 03, 2026 UTC 10:48 ± 0.8h
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Final TIP: 2026-11-03 UTC 11:02:00 ± 1min 42.3S 63.8E satflare.com/track.asp?q=455…
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Update: obj. 45755 STARLINK-1478 decay prediction: November 04, 2026 UTC 00:10 ± 1h
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Update: obj. 45755 STARLINK-1478 decay prediction: November 03, 2026 UTC 21:36 ± 1h No TLEs were available for more than 24 hours, after which the latest TLE revealed that a deorbit maneuver had been performed, indicating that re-entry is now imminent.
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Update: obj. 68028 STARLINK-36253 decay prediction: November 06, 2026 UTC 01:59 ± 11h
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Update: obj. 53446 JILIN-1 GF3D 42 decay prediction: November 05, 2026 UTC 02:37 ± 8h
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Obj. 48022 STARLINK-2298 decay prediction: November 05, 2026 UTC 15:44 ± 12h
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Obj. 57291 STARLINK-30239 decay prediction: November 02, 2026 UTC 15:36 ± 1.3h The effective area has increased to nearly 27 m². If maintained at this level, re-entry is now imminent.
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Final TIP: 2026-11-02 UTC 15:42:00 ± 1min 16.2S 151.8W satflare.com/track.asp?q=572…
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Update: obj. 45555 STARLINK-1327 decay prediction: November 03, 2026 UTC 15:31 ± 4h
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Update: obj. 28485 SWIFT decay prediction: November 04, 2026 UTC 09:57 ± 6h
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Update: obj. 50163 STARLINK-3306 decay prediction: November 02, 2026 UTC 14:21 ± 1h
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Final TIP: 2026-11-02 UTC 15:15:00 ± 9min 51.0S 153.7E satflare.com/track.asp?q=501…
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Obj. 45755 STARLINK-1478 decay prediction: November 04, 2026 UTC 13:01 ± 10h
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Update: obj. 50163 STARLINK-3306 decay prediction: November 02, 2026 UTC 12:51 ± 1.6h
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Obj. 57291 STARLINK-30239 decay prediction: November 02, 2026 UTC 22:44 ± 3h An effective area of ~17 m² suggests active deorbiting. This prediction assumes the area remains constant until re-entry.
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Joseph Remis retweeted
Yann LeCun and Randall Balestriero just Proved the Platonic Representation Hypothesis, and found a better way to achieve it. The Platonic Representation Hypothesis suggests that AI models trained on different modalities, like images and text, eventually learn similar representations of the world. But this paper shows that how models are trained matters more than simply scaling them up. So they mathematically show that, under certain conditions, two JEPAs trained completely separately can learn essentially the same underlying representation of the world. One learns from different images of the same scene, while the other learns from different descriptions of that scene, without ever being trained on image-text pairs. Their approach achieves the same image-text alignment with 42x fewer training samples than next-token prediction. A 109M-parameter text JEPA even outperforms LLMs up to 72B parameters on cross-modal alignment benchmarks. alphaxiv.org/abs/2610.39302
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Update: obj. 50163 STARLINK-3306 decay prediction: November 02, 2026 UTC 18:25 ± 5h
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Obj. 68028 STARLINK-36253 decay prediction: November 05, 2026 UTC 19:57 ± 17h An effective area near 22 m² suggests ongoing deorbit operations. This prediction assumes the effective area remains constant until re-entry.
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