@rathjen.us on bsky

Alexandria, VA
Joined June 2012
#1 @washspirit fan reporting for duty! #onespirit – at Alexandria, VA
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Ellie passed away unexpectedly this morning. I am inconsolable. You were the sweetest dog. Everyone you met adored you. I love you, and I know you had a better life than you ever could have imagined. Thank you for the best nine years of my life. I will always miss you.
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an embarrassment for the @NWSL #nwsl this evening. occasionally I question why I devote so much energy to a league that doesn’t care about fairly officiating its games.
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Initiative 83 has passed in Washington, DC, 73-23%. Open primaries and ranked-choice voting are officially coming to our nation's capital.
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63,066
i'm hearing reports that the nyt needle is now pointing to bedtime
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1,143
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Nate Rathjen retweeted
I agree with this Dems will hold VA-7 Keeps Dem path to majority in House alive Vindman will get similar margin to Spanberger in 2022 VA-2 probably can’t be called until later
10:36 PM PROJECTION: EUGENE VINDMAN (D) WINS THE OPEN 7TH DISTICT RACE IN A MAJOR HOLD FOR DEMOCRATS.
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10:36 PM PROJECTION: EUGENE VINDMAN (D) WINS THE OPEN 7TH DISTICT RACE IN A MAJOR HOLD FOR DEMOCRATS.
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491
35,385
I'm not calling VA07 yet but with Stafford mail ballots outstanding and Vindman up by about 9,000 I like his chances to hang on, even while the rest of the outstanding vote looks like it will lean R- especially Stafford early in person vote.
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15,416
The Atlanta suburbs are trending left compared to 2020.
Atlanta suburban counties, 2020 -> 2024 Douglas swings 6 points Dem Rockdale swings 7 points Dem Fayette swings 4 points Dem
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Nate Rathjen retweeted
the surprise washington post lock screen election tracker is like when they put the U2 album on everyone’s itunes to be honest
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8:11 PM PROJECTION: Tim Kaine (D) has won a 3rd term in the United States Senate, defeating Hung Cao (R).
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73,494
Nate Rathjen retweeted
Fulton County (Atlanta) has counted more than half of its votes. Harris is on track to match Biden's performance there
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771
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Nate Rathjen retweeted
2 notes of Loudoun It has a decent Muslim population and Stein is getting 2% here There are also additional mail ballots and same-day registrations that won’t be counted tonight There might be a swing, but don’t know final number and wouldn’t read too much into other states
MASSIVE WARNING BELL FOR HARRIS: Loudoun County, VA (91% in): 2020: Biden+25 2024: Harris+17 8% swing right atm in VERY educated suburb
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8:00 PM PROJECTION- Suhas Subramanyam (D) has won the open 10th Congressional District race keeping this swing seat blue that had been held by the GOP for decades before 2018.
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67,823
Nate Rathjen retweeted
Harris campaign is saying they are feeling very good about the turnout numbers, in particular: -High Puerto Rican turnout in Philly -High enthusiasm among college students including in WI, in PA at Lehigh, Lafayette, & Temple, in NC at Appalachian State, & in NV at UNR and UNLV
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Nate Rathjen retweeted
We don't have much of the vote in for Ohio, but currently, Sherrod Brown is outrunning Harris by ~6%-7% atm. Trump won Ohio by 8% in 2020. So at the current rate, Brown will need Harris to improve on Biden to prevail (some polls suggested she could).
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Nate Rathjen retweeted
Loudoun dropped its early voting both in-person and mail Harris wins it 60-37 Not sure if Election Day will be better for Dems or GOP given GOP early voting push Harris and Kaine on track to win Virginia Not sure of margin until the end
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30,577
Nate Rathjen retweeted
Harris campaign says that as of 5:30pm, they exceeded 2016 raw turnout in Philadelphia. In the three wards with high densities of Puerto Rican voters, crowdsourced turnout numbers indicate that total turnout (same day plus vote by mail) has already reached 100% of 2020 turnout.
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Some election day vote coming in from PWC now and very good news for Dems for election day only. Big for 10th and 7th district races.
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99,236