This is great advice!
how to make money off memecoins right now:
1) buy the tweet coin an hour in, not in the first second: jeff $110K → $800K+
2) same on pump.fun: Kim $38K an hour in → $95K today
3) when a meme gets cloned 4 times, buy the clone with the most volume: one ELOOONG hit $642K
4) rotate into the launchpad that's running: STANK on stonkfun 3.6x in a day
5) copy wallets that buy under $10K mc: the top 5 made $7K-$12K this week
you only need one of these to hit
$100 in jeff an hour after launch is this right now
bookmark this
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Shoutout to @trunoest for paying off his parents mortgage. He had no handouts and learned this game like everyone else. God Speed good sir. That’s mighty inspiring.
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Replying to @IKEA
@IKEA HIre him
IKEA manuals, but they come to life.
I built the real BILLY instructions in 3D, so you can watch every step happen exactly as drawn. try it: sael.net/flatpack
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“Everything a trader looks at, from a screener to a chart to a wallet tracker, is a photograph of a decision that has already been made.”
Chilling Statement. Thanks for this article @WhiteWhaleLabs
The Audit Of The Memecoin Casino
Since late August we have recorded every trade on every pump fun and Stonk launch on Solana. Not a sample. All of it: 384 million swaps from 7.7 million wallets across more than a million pools, every bonding curve and every pool that follows it. That is over 56 GB of data and 820 million rows of market history, and it grows by 18 to 25 million trades, up to a million wallets and more than 60,000 new launches every day.
We measured each coin minute by minute. We scored every entry by what the coin did next. We trained neural nets on the result, then went wallet by wallet looking for the people who actually win.
The question was simple: can anyone see the big move coming before it happens?
The short answer is no. The long answer is worse than no, because the data does not just fail to find an edge for you. It shows, in detail, who holds the edge, how they use it, and what they do with you.
Start with a coin that has actually caught a bid: real volume, real buyers, the kind of thing that shows up on your screener. From any given moment, about one in ten of those doubles within the next 24 hours. The rest bleed, and the bleeding is not gentle.
Now take a wallet's first buy into a live coin. Every first buy, 22.8 million of them over a two-week window. In 17% of those entries the coin doubles before it drops 40%. Trade that mechanically, double or stop, and you lose about 19% per attempt after costs.
Call that the house hold. A slot machine keeps 5 to 10%. This keeps 19%, per pull, before any skill or selection is applied.
The reason is the shape of the payoff. A 2× pays you 100%. The failures do not cost you 10%; they cost you 50%, 80%, 95%. To break even you have to be right far more often than the game allows.
The cabal is real, and we can see it
CT calls it the cabal. The data calls it a cluster: a set of wallets whose first buys land within a minute of each other, on the same brand-new coins, over and over. We do not find them by name or PFP. They fall out of the trade stream all on their own.
They are there. Swarms of 450, 1,400 and 2,000 wallets that hit hundreds of launches a week, moving in within the first minute or two of a coin's life. Smaller, tighter groups of 7 to 50 wallets that pick their spots. Across daily refreshes the count has run from 9 groups to 33, with members rotating in and out as wallets burn and fresh ones take their place.
They are not guessing. The coins the big swarms pile into double 28 to 46% of the time, three to four times the base rate. Their own entries, across every coin they touch, run 50 to 60% to a 2× before a 40% drop, against 17% for everyone else.
That is what an edge looks like in this market. It belongs to a few hundred wallets, and it is applied to tens of thousands of launches with industrial regularity.
Copying them loses too
The obvious retort: find the cabal, copy the cabal. We did exactly that. A machine watches every launch every minute and flags the moment a known group piles in. Then we traded every flag the way a fast human could: in two minutes behind the group, double or stop out at −40%, out after a day.
Following the big swarms lost 41% per coin across 93 coins. The median result was −95%. Not because they were wrong; their coins doubled 28% of the time. Two minutes behind them is simply already the top of the move. They bought at launch. You bought the candle they are selling into.
Following only the groups with a positive track record still lost 11% per coin. Following one good wallet on its own lost 20% per trade in our back-tests. The single pocket that came out ahead, a handful of small, tight groups, made about 10% per coin over 16 coins. That is a few days of trades and nothing anyone should bet a bankroll on.
The cabal's edge is not information you can borrow. It is position. By the time their trade is visible on-chain, the thing that made it profitable is gone.
The best model we could build still loses
We also tried the honest version: no cabal, just prediction. Dozens of signals per coin every minute, price, flow, liquidity, holder behaviour, bot share, fed into neural nets trained on our own history and tested on days they had never seen.
It works, in the sense a quant would recognize. The top of its ranking doubles 26% of the time against a 10% base rate. Two and a half times better than chance.
It also loses money every single day. 771 picks over eight days; every day negative; −11% per pick on the same double-or-stop rule; the median pick down 45%; 55% stopped out within 24 hours.
The ranking is real and the P&L is still red. The losers are deeper than the winners are tall, and nothing observable at the five-minute mark separates the coin that keeps going from the one that reverses. That is the part worth meditating on: a model 2.5× better than chance odds is still a losing model.
Why nobody sees it coming
The reason is simple, and it should change how you look at every chart. A meme coin moves because a few people decide to move it: the operator holding the supply, the caller with an audience, the wallet group with the bankroll. That decision is made off-chain. The chain only shows you its execution, the swaps, the volume, the new holders, and by then the first leg is done.
Everything a trader looks at, from a screener to a chart to a wallet tracker, is a photograph of a decision that has already been made. The data is enormous and almost all of it is the crowd reacting. The informative part, a few hundred wallets' intent, is visible only at the instant it executes, and the people executing it are the ones selling to you a few minutes later.
Add 60,000 launches a day, and the future 100× at minute one is indistinguishable from the 59,999 that die. The casino does not need to hide the cards because it deals them faster than anyone can read and analyze them.
Conclusion
After spending thousands of dollars in API credits, VPS costs, Claude credits, etc the goal was simple: find alpha - if it exists - in order to be able to monetize it.
Instead, all we were able to prove is what we all have suspected all along - the meme coin casino is almost entirely cabal driven.
🫡 From the depths —
The White Whale 🐋
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Ultimate accountability is fucking rad
This is the absolute LAST post I ever expected to be making on the Monday of my bodybuilding show week.
After months of weighing every gram of food, tracking every calorie, hitting my workouts, doing my cardio, practicing my posing, and preparing myself mentally, physically, and spiritually to step on stage this Saturday, I spent this past weekend binge eating in a way I’ve never experienced before.
And when I say binge eating, I don’t mean I went out and enjoyed a cheat meal or ate a little more than I was supposed to.
I mean I completely lost control.
I kept eating long after my stomach was telling me to stop. I was physically uncomfortable, I wasn’t even enjoying the food anymore, and yet I continued eating.
And the scariest part wasn’t even the amount of food I consumed.
It was what was going through my head while I was doing it.
At a certain point, it felt like I was intentionally sabotaging myself. Like there was a part of me that wanted to ruin everything I had worked so hard for.
And I’ve spent the last couple of days asking myself WHY.
Was I afraid I wasn’t going to look good enough on stage? Was I afraid of disappointing myself? Was I putting so much pressure on myself that I subconsciously wanted a way out?
I don’t have all the answers.
But those are some uncomfortable questions I’ve had to start asking myself.
After the first binge, I told my coach Chris Elkins everything. Every single thing I ate. We talked about it, and the plan was to move forward, reassess, and take things day by day.
The next day, I got right back to my routine. Tracked my food, followed my plan, and genuinely thought I had moved past what happened.
Then nighttime came.
What started as one extra bite of food turned into another binge. And this one was even worse than the first.
I can’t even explain how disappointed I felt afterward.
Not because I had eaten food that wasn’t on my plan. But because I had reached a point where I felt like I couldn’t stop myself from doing something I knew was hurting me.
I woke up physically miserable. My face was extremely swollen, my body felt awful, and I was looking at myself in the mirror trying to understand how I had gotten here.
And now here I am.
Five days away from the competition I’ve spent months preparing for, roughly 10 pounds heavier than I was going into the weekend, and genuinely uncertain whether I’m going to step on stage this Saturday.
Chris believes competing is still an option. Part of me wants to finish what I started. Another part of me wonders whether postponing until November would be the better decision.
Because I know how much work I put into this prep. And I also know that the choices I made this weekend have consequences.
I’m not going to sit here and blame anybody else. I’m not going to pretend it didn’t happen. And I’m definitely not going to ask anyone to feel sorry for me.
But I also don’t want to spend the rest of my life beating myself up over two days.
I made those choices. I have to own them. And now I have to figure out how to move forward.
One thing this weekend has forced me to recognize is just how much pressure I’ve been putting on myself. Not only with bodybuilding, but with life in general.
Constantly working. Constantly thinking about what’s next. Constantly being on my phone. Constantly feeling like I need to be doing MORE.
And somewhere along the way, I stopped giving myself enough room to just live.
So regardless of whether I compete Saturday or in November, some things are going to change.
I’m prioritizing my sleep. I’m taking real breaks from social media. I’m giving myself time to recover. And I’m going to take a serious look at my relationship with food and the pressure I’ve been putting on myself.
I’m not going to pretend I’ve figured everything out in 48 hours. I haven’t.
And I don’t want to turn this into some inspirational story about how I fell down and immediately got back up stronger than ever.
I’m still figuring it out.
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i am never buying a coin again made by a new dev wallet with 0 history. Its the single most common metric in coins that fuck you.
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This just happened. It's 4am in NY so I know it would happen but I wanted to share the bullshit that devs sling around. This site called TIED was a cool little tool, in theory. Not sure if it ever worked but you put a coin in and it tells you the different vamps of it out there.
Dude records his screen, fakes paying dex and then bundles out of the coin.
I am not angry, im just letting you know that you need to stop falling victim to bullshit like this. Until then, these nerd little cum swabblers are going to eat you alive.
What a bitch. Enjoy the ultra limited premier mega gay version of GTA 6 or whatever youre spending the money on.
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SOL Futures... Question. That big ass red volume indicator on the volume below... why is it followed by like 30 minutes of green candles?
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Masterful Move. On to the next.
🚨🇺🇸 Trump's chief of staff reportedly set up the Hannity interview that ended his press secretary's week, a "sanctioned hit" on a hire she never wanted
Politico's sources say Susie Wiles and a White House spokesperson "fed her to Hannity," who is a friend Wiles talks to often.
On air Thursday, Hannity told Katie Zacharia her first briefing was "widely panned," 14 minutes and three questions, then asked flat out whether she'd failed the bar.
She said yes.
By Friday morning she was gone.
Source: Politico, TMZ / Writer: Daniel
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I dont know you brother (assuming you are one becuase... well... the cock comment. ((Though, one can never be sure these days)))
But ill pray for you. That is horriffic. You're living out one of my new top fears as of reading your post.
Warrior.
had a stricture in my urethra fully close up from an laceration injury i had 10 years ago
it suddenly closed up and i couldnt piss, held a piss in for 3-4 hours getting to the emergency room, nearly passed out from the pain, was having full outerbody experience
they couldnt get a catheter through my cock cause of the stricture (unknown to all)
tried shoving a big one in, then a small one, blood was pissing out my cock
pain was getting worse from needing to piss so bad
They shoved a needle in my abdomen, and drained piss directly from my bladder
had emergency surgery to open up the stricture and now have a catheter hanging out my cock to a drip bag for 7 days while the surgery heals
fuck me, one of the worst experiences of my life
once healed will be back, apologies for the silence but cock comes first
rh szn
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Thank YOu for sharing your ideas, zesty fuckin suace, knowledge and time with us brother. Ill be on that zoom soon.
bro i'll just show you how to build a trading bot
it's really not as hard as most people think
ai does all of the coding
but most people miss the most important part
if you have 6 minutes, i'll show you
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What is the right, morally positive way to launch a meme coin? A few requirements:
I want others to notice it and invest.
I want to fully draw out its potential. Will advertise, pay dex (necessary) and whatever morally correct thing I can do.
I still want to profit without hurting anyone.
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Replying to @Tesla
@Tesla over here changing movie titles now.
Check out $GONEIN2 on pump.fun app! join.pump.fun/HSag/u2f13o92
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