he/him Queer socialist who's interested in elections but understands the need for mass politics. Abolish and prosecute ICE. ACAB. I'm part of a newsletter.

Washington, DC
Joined January 2017
Opinion Haver retweeted
regardless of the election’s results it’s obvious this country has gotten way more rightwing especially amongst men and i think a lot of that is what is fed to us online, we have to figure out a way to stop every dude under 35 from turning into crypto hitler
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Basically all the trends in the polls people said were fake without any substantiation ended up being real.
god, MSNBC reporting Trump made double digit gains in MANHATTAN
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This is a huge blow for any Marxian theory of political economy btw
intense anti-incumbency backlash to inflation has been a global story for all the 2024 elections but you can't really see big electoral dividends from US outperformance on GDP/ investment/ employment/ wages
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Opinion Haver retweeted
really nothing else left to say at this point
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It's also like, easily one of the most common stories around the world right now
The overall story, so far: Nothing here looks like a story of various campaign decisions or a VP choice or big set piece speeches. It's an electorate mad at the incumbent WH's record and expressing it pretty uniformly everywhere, blue and red states alike.
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This is worse than 2016 because people have lived through this shit for a decade and decided fuck it, Arby's being $5 is all that matters. This is an evil fucking country man and it doesn't even deserve the small cushion a Dem house might provide
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Trump’s first win felt like an aberration, like America was just in a petulant mood. This feels a lot darker. I don’t know if we come back from this one
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Joe
@electionsjoe6 Nov 2024
The issue of a red mirage is, the finished counties are still showing rightward shifts.
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Remember, if you’re in line to vote before the polls close at 8pm, STAY IN LINE. You can still cast your ballot. If you see or experience anyone making it harder to vote, call the @MinnesotaDFL Voter Protection Hotline at (833) 335-8683.
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Jesus christ
Replying to @israel_elects
18-34 🔴Trump: 90% 🔵Harris: 2% 55+ 🔴Trump: 55% 🔵Harris: 22% #electionDay #Election2024
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Opinion Haver retweeted
in 125,000 simulations of the election, my statistical model foresaw a narrow Harris win with 54.9% probability however, the model also grouped a number of midwest & sunbelt into a new entity, known as “MEGA ARKANSAS” - an ominous prophecy which i am terrified may come to pass
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Long lines in PA, MI, and WI today, was barely able to vote in all three
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Excited to announce we've put all the big numbers in the Math Jumbler and it told us to go fuck ourselves
Nate Silver
@NateSilver5385 Nov 2024
It's published. We ran 80,000 simulations tonight. Harris won in 40,012. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver…
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The Letter to the Editor that the Baltimore Sun won't publish:
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Israeli troops have besieged the last three functional hospitals in north Gaza, a new chapter in a conflict that has targeted hospitals with an intensity and overtness rarely seen in modern warfare. The AP spent months collecting their stories. apnews.com/world-news/still-…
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Apologies to Iowans, whose days of always being politically front-and-center seemed to be over. I didn’t realize how far you were willing to go to win the nation’s attention back
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Canada just dropped all charges against the Zionist woman who pulled my aunt's hijab at a rally in May because it ruled the "victim's [Free Palestine] chant could 'reasonably be inferred' as a call for genocide of the Jewish people". cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/hi…
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Opinion Haver retweeted
covering myself in actual garbage to own joe biden
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Israeli senior officer Lt. Col Eyal Shalit Sanir, a battalion commander in the Gaza Division “…Gazans will be concentrated in a very defined area and live as refugees their whole lives without water or electricity until they decide, of their own accord, to emigrate” Full Post “I hope that Jewish settlement will begin in most of the Gush Katif region and the former city of Gaza, that the Gazans will be concentrated in a very defined area and live as refugees their whole lives without water or electricity until they decide, of their own accord, to emigrate—preferably to Europe or Canada—and that in another 10 years, there will be a new 7/10 there”
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Opinion Haver retweeted
Biden's advisors keep insisting he can help in the Blue Wall states. These Harris-friendly group of polls finds him between 15 and 21 points underwater in his approval ratings in these states s3.documentcloud.org/documen…
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