"You out of your mind?!" - Dominic Cummings. Research segmentation networks values poll data. Also at: @charliemansell.bsky.social @CharlieMansell@union.place
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Joined April 2008
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BREAKING: Richard Branson of @VirginTrains reveals temporary staff member who combed CCTV for #traingate footage
Charlie Mansell retweeted
🔴Opposition Bloc: 56 (+1)
🔵Netanyahu Bloc: 49 (-1)
🟢Arab Parties: 15
Charlie Mansell retweeted
A good reason to still not get your hopes up about polls showing Dem leads in red states.
(Though one could quibble about whether winning by eg 51 to 49 really counts as a "firm lead")
That could be bad news for Dems in a year when the Senate is decided by red states. If polling errors follow the average historic trend, Democrats' leads in Texas and Alaska could be wiped out while Iowa and Kansas move firmly into the Republican column economist.com/graphic-detail…
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Websites taken down across Europe ahead of critical cyber-security update bbc.in/4BgqGlW
Charlie Mansell retweeted
France, Ifop poll:
Presidential run-off election
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 68% (+1)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 32% (-1)
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 57% (+2)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 43% (-2)
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 59% (+5)
Hollande (PS-S&D): 41% (-5)
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 58% (+4)
Attal (RE-RE): 42% (-4)
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 56% (+4)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 44% (-4)
+/- vs. 24-25 August 2026
Fieldwork: 17-20 October 2026
Sample size: 1,928
➤ europeelects.eu/2026/06/02/p…
Charlie Mansell retweeted
North Korea has told its border troops to take "prompt and resolute action" if South Korean forces threaten their safety, state media said on Wednesday, raising the risk of a clash along the heavily armed frontier.
The report came a day after Seoul pledged to punish "resolutely" any further provocation by Pyongyang if North Korea acted on threats to strengthen its military posture along the border. cnn.it/4hZXGHx
Charlie Mansell retweeted
‘When Jewish children are called baby killers at school, it's clear Britain has a serious problem with antisemitism’
✍️ Katie Kindler for LBC Opinion lbc.co.uk/article/jewish-chi…
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Feijóo y Abascal han invitado a Milei y ahora tienen un problema. Les han dicho que no hablen de recortes hasta el #29N y ahora no saben ni dónde meterse ni dónde meterlo.
¿A quién pretendéis engañar? Sois parte de la misma peña, la de los recortes, tijeretazos y motosierras.
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Party Leader Approval Ratings:
Andy Burnham (LAB): 40% (=)
Kemi Badenoch (CON): 34% (-1)
Nigel Farage (REF): 25% (-1)
Ed Davey (LDM): 18% (-1)
Rupert Lowe (RES): 15% (-1)
Zack Polanski (GRN): 14% (-2)
via @Moreincommon_, 16-19 Oct
(Changes with 12 Oct)
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Knesset Seat Poll
🔴Yashar: 23 (-1)
🔵Likud: 19 (-2)
🔴Together: 15 (+1)
🟢Joint List: 9
🔴Democrats: 9
🔴Yisrael Beteinu: 8
🔵Shas: 8
🔵Otzma: 7 (-1)
🔵UTJ: 7
🔵RZP-Zehut: 6 (-1)
🟢Ra'am: 5
🔵Winter: 4 (+4)
+/- Oct. 18
via Midgam/Chan12, Oct. 21
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Btw, the Greens are not going to hegemonise the pro-Palestine vote. If a GE were held tomorrow, Labour would secure the largest number of pro-Palestine votes. You can dislike it, but you can’t ignore it.
It’s a multi-party/non-party issue and will remain so. 5/
Charlie Mansell retweeted
NEWS — President Trump will hold a rally in Corinth, Mississippi, on Monday, per @magnoliatribune.
The announcement comes as @Axios reports that Senate Republicans are increasingly concerned about Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s re-election bid against Democrat Scott Colom.
Democrats have announced a $1.2 million ad buy supporting Colom.
Charlie Mansell retweeted
There is something deeply wrong with a political system that allows one trillionaire to buy his own personal U.S. Senator.
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Breaking News: The U.S. and Israel have plans for new strikes on Iran after the midterms, according to officials briefed on the discussions. nyti.ms/48dUCBL
Charlie Mansell retweeted
ITV said it "stands by its journalism" and the Reform programme was "produced in compliance with the Ofcom Broadcasting Code, relevant laws, and its broadcast is in the public interest...
"Should the police get in touch we would fully cooperate.”
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Every Brazillian pollsters who showed a correct Bolsonaro lead before the first round all have Bolsonaro only up by 1% in their latest second round polls
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Almost half way through the 40th Anniversary tour now, Scarborough, Bristol and Norwich this week and then Lincoln, Wolves and Liverpool next week. Not forgetting London and Brum in Dec’! 😁 And what a wonderful time we've all been having with you too. 🙏❤ Vid’ by Jay Langdell
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Texas Polling:
Governor:
🔴Abbott: 48%*
🔵Hinojosa: 46%
Senate:
🔵Talarico: 49%
🔴Paxton: 44%
New River Strategies / Oct 13, 2026
(TX-GOV Model Result: GOP 51% - DEM 49%)
(TX-SEN Model Result: DEM 50% - GOP 48%)
unitedstatespolling.com/p/de…
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Opposition leads, with 6 days to go
🔴Opposition Bloc: 55
🔵Netanyahu Bloc: 51
🟢Arab Parties: 14
Charlie Mansell retweeted
Las motosierras no construyen nada, destruyen. No unen, dividen y fragmentan. No hacen que crezca nuestra economía, la hunden.
Si hay una lección clara de la visita de Milei, es que si gobiernan Feijóo y Abascal, harán con España lo que desgraciadamente Milei está haciendo con Argentina.
Nosotros vamos a proteger lo logrado y a hacer que España avance 4 años más en derechos y libertades.