@VoteHub contributor, creator of the Election Simulator. opinions are my own.
Washington, DC
Joined October 2014
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48 minutes til official results in Brazil's Presidential Election 🇧🇷
This site will include a direct live swing map comparing each municipality to the first round 2022 results. #Eleições2026
electionenjoyer.com/brazil/a…
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Partisanship Score of Texas Early Voters (Days 1-2)
🔵 Voted in 2024: D+5.6
🔵 Didn't Vote in 2024: D+19.4
Perhaps most concerning for Paxton (and Abbott), low propensity voters turning out so far have very, very Democratic profiles.
Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 2
As of Oct. 21, 2026
Total votes: 1,445,278 (+651,367)
14.9% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 James Talarico: 47.2% - 56.6%
🔴 Ken Paxton: 41.2% - 50.6%
Our Modeled 2026 vote ranges were unchanged from Day 1 to Day 2. VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 2
As of Oct. 21, 2026
Total votes: 1,445,278 (+651,367)
14.9% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 James Talarico: 47.2% - 56.6%
🔴 Ken Paxton: 41.2% - 50.6%
Our Modeled 2026 vote ranges were unchanged from Day 1 to Day 2. VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
We finally have results from 217 counties across Texas.
After the first day in early voting, Democratic primary voters hold a D+8.4 point lead over Republicans compared to R+10.9 4 years ago.
Similar to the county numbers, this is a 19.3 swing in primary voters.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
We continue to see some remarkable early voting data out of North Carolina. Voters who sat out 2024 are still D+46 (!!) in cumulative two-party registration and it's barely moving to the right. Republicans are disproportionately drawing their votes from high-propensity voters, but are still lagging badly in turning out those voters overall.
Things can certainly change, and some reversion toward historical patterns is often what we see when the initial data are this extreme. But this is starting to resemble what we saw in Florida in 2022, only with the parties reversed.
I'm not surprised that NRCC Chair Richard Hudson has directed funding toward his own Trump+16 district. Cooper carrying the seat certainly not out of the question at this point.
North Carolina Early Vote Tracking 🌲
As of Oct. 21, 2026
Total early votes: 904,271 - 717,763 (+186,508)
22.9% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 Roy Cooper: 57.8% - 67.3%
🔴 Michael Whatley : 30.7% - 40.2%
Remaining votes in NC will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Likely D.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Three high-quality polls released today by NYT/Siena, CNN/SSRS, and Strength in Numbers/Verasight all put Democrats up double digits on the generic ballot. Their edge is fueled by strong leads among independents and Hispanics, alongside Trump’s low approval.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
This is incredibly misleading. @50plus1news was planning to publish an investigation into Wedgewood's polls tomorrow morning, and reached out to them this morning for comment. This is just an attempt to save face after they realized we caught them.
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Kansas Early Vote Tracking 🌻
Very few votes have been cast so far, so these early figures should be interpreted with caution.
As of Oct. 20, 2026
Total early votes: 52,933 (+29,395)
5% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 Adam Hamilton: 59.5% - 69.5%
🔴 Roger Marshall: 27.7% - 37.7%
Remaining votes in Kansas will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Lean R.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑
As of Oct. 20, 2026
Total early votes: 1,007,603 (+160,986)
26.3% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 Jon Ossoff: 55.6% - 63.2%
🔴 Mike Collins: 36.8% - 44.4%
Remaining votes in Georgia will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.
Election Enjoyer retweeted
Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑
As of Oct. 16, 2026
Total early votes: 846,617 (+304,314)
22.2% of projected final turnout.
Modeled 2026 Vote:
🔵 Jon Ossoff: 55.9% - 63.8%
🔴 Mike Collins: 36.2% - 44.1%
Remaining votes in Georgia will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.
Btw the commision on presidential debates should come back in 2028. xitter.cf/elxmapping/status/2018…
