House guy. DCoS @repdonbeyer | past: @jenniferwexton @KamalaHarris @deborahrossnc | he/him | Hendersonville, NC native | SciFi, RocknRoll fan | Tweets mine/dumb

United States
Joined September 2011
A brief throwaway movie line that I think about all the time in Congress and the U.S. government, delivered by Captain Kirk in Star Trek II: The Wrath Of Khan- “You have to learn why things work on a Starship.”
24
72
18
788
188,746
Aaron Fritschner retweeted
Renacci, a longtime Ohio GOP pol, says overnight that “the floor may have just fallen out from under” Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign and that it could take down other candidates:
For those who follow the daily polls and political trends, the floor may have just fallen out from under the Republican campaign for Ohio Governor. And any Republican who fails to distance themselves from this ad risks taking on water as well. I have to give Jon Husted credit. He said he would not have run the ad. That was the right response. While he stopped short of outright condemning it, he made his position clear. Vivek Ramaswamy needs to pivot, and quickly. Stop defending the ad and start talking about his policies, his vision for Ohio, and why he believes he is the better candidate. If he chooses to double down, I don't see anything good coming from it. Here's what too many people in politics seem to forget: Voters don't always elect the most qualified candidate. They often elect the candidate they like, trust, relate to, or even sympathize with. You can have the strongest résumé, the best policies, and the most impressive background, but none of that guarantees victory if voters don't like what they see or hear. And when voters believe someone has been treated unfairly, sympathy can become a powerful political force. Elections aren't won simply by convincing voters that your opponent is worse. They're won by convincing voters that you're better. That is a lesson every candidate, Republican or Democrat, would be wise to remember.
7
38
269
19,103
This is Congressman Tom Perriello stiff right here folks, LETS GOOOOOO
🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨 Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵Democrats +20 🔵59% Democrats 🔴39% Republicans ⚪️3% Undecided ⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024 articles.statenavigate.com/v… 🧵
1
6
67
3,499
*stuff of course let’s gooooo
1
415
Aaron Fritschner retweeted
#FL14 🔵Castor: 48% 🔴Beltran: 43% #MO02 🔵Wellman: 50% 🔴Wagner: 46% #NC11 🔵Ager: 56% 🔴Balkcom: 43%
3
1
39
5,764
Aaron Fritschner retweeted
🚨🚨🚨 Democrats lead in NEW Emerson House polls ⤵️ #MI07 🔵Lawrence: 53% 🔴Barrett: 45% #PA08 🔵Cognetti: 52% 🔴Bresnahan: 48% #IA02 🔵James: 50% 🔴Mitchell: 47% #TX35 🔵Garcia: 51% 🔴De La Cruz: 49% #MT01 🔵Forstag: 50% 🔴Flint: 46% #AZ02 🔵Nez: 50% 🔴Crane: 48%
Replying to @SeanTrende
Here's the link. we're going to try not to make too much content only for paid subscribers, but since we did have to pay for the polls, we went ahead and did it here. pollvault.substack.com/p/lev…
2
16
2
81
6,397
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 LV US House 2026 | Arkansas’ 2nd congressional district (Trump +16 | 2024) 🟥French Hill 52% (incumbent) 🟦Chris Jones 48% —— US Senate Arkansas 2026 (AR-02) 🟥Tom Cotton +3 (48-45)
21
27
12
274
31,129
God bless @SeanTrende for giving us House polls
1
15
988
Emerson/PollVault poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Missouri’s 2nd congressional district (Trump +8, Wagner +12 | 2024) 🟦Fred Wellman 51% 🟥Ann Wagner 46% (incumbent)
23
104
25
789
35,878
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Montana’s 1st congressional district (Trump +11 | 2024) 🟦Sam Forstag 50% 🟥Aaron Flint 46%
19
85
16
649
27,157
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Michigan’s 7th congressional district (Trump +1, Barrett +4) 🟦William Lawrence 53% 🟥Tom Barrett 45% (incumbent) —— US Senate Michigan (MI-7) 🟦El-Sayed +11 (52-41) — Michigan Governor (MI-7) 🟦Benson +13 (53-40)
38
118
57
887
106,877
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 LV US House 2026 | Iowa’s 2nd congressional district (Trump +10 | 2024) 🟦Lindsay James 50% 🟥Joe Mitchell 47% —— US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek +4 (50-46) — Iowa Governor 2026 🟦Rob Sand +13 (54-41)
29
58
12
489
27,545
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Texas’ 35th congressional district (Trump +11 | 2024) 🟦Johnny Garcia 51% 🟥Carlos De La Cruz 49% —— US Senate Texas 2026 (TX-35) 🟦James Talarico +4 (50-46) — Texas Governor 2026 (TX-35) Tied [48-48]
16
45
10
333
39,681
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (Trump +8, Rob Bresnahan +2 | 2024) 🟦Paige Cognetti 52% 🟥Rob Bresnahan 48% (incumbent) —— Pennsylvania Governor 2026 (PA-08) 🟦Josh Shapiro +12 (53-41)
14
53
9
417
33,463
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Florida's 14th congressional district (Trump +11 | 2024) 🟦Kathy Castor 48% (incumbent) 🟥Mike Beltran 43% —— US Senate Florida 2026 (FL-14) 🟥Ashley Moody +2 (44-42)
11
40
12
305
43,408
🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨 Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot 🔵Democrats +20 🔵59% Democrats 🔴39% Republicans ⚪️3% Undecided ⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024 articles.statenavigate.com/v… 🧵
35
2,650
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 LV US House 2026 | North Carolina’s 11th congressional district (Trump +9 | 2024) 🟦Jamie Ager 56% 🟥Jennifer Balkcom 43% —— US Senate North Carolina 2026 (NC-11) 🟦Roy Cooper +15 (54-39-3)
9
1,034
!!!!!!!
PollVault/Emerson poll | 10/12-10/14 US House 2026 | Arizona’s 2nd congressional district (Trump +15 | 2024) 🟦Jonathan Nez 50% 🟥Eli Crane 48% (incumbent) —— Arizona Governor 2026 (AZ-02) 🟥Andy Biggs +3
1
6
1,423
Aaron Fritschner retweeted
Vibe check on the NRSC two weeks out: "not overly concerned about South Dakota!"
2
15
1
168
8,174
A Senator from Kansas and his presidential running mate, someone who represented New York in Congress
In the grand sweep of American history, it’s not normal or natural for someone from New York to care who the Senator from Kansas is
6
1
53
1,969
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
Scott Colom is legit, Cindy Hyde-Smith is a chronic underperformer, and people should be paying more attention to that race imo
1
31
1,268