Florida Data and Redistricting Guy (He/Him). Lefty Lutheran. Politics, religion, and wrestling. Sign up for my substack!
Florida
Joined April 2021
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Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
The Ramaswamy ad has pushed the largest newspaper in Ohio, the Cleveland Plain Dealer, to reverse its position on endorsements.
"A candidate who uses childhood sexual abuse as a weapon against the person who endured it has crossed a line that Ohioans should defend, whatever their party. We are better than this. We have a responsibility to show it. Today we endorse Democrat Amy Acton for governor." cleveland.com/open/2026/10/w…
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
NEW: The group behind Cornel West's 2024 ballot push was wholly funded through Elon Musk's dark money network, according to Sludge's review of tax documents. readsludge.com/2026/10/26/mu…
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
With the way certain Dems on here are talking about Josh Turek, you'd think his "moderate" views on trans people were just about sports or something. This guy is advocating for trans people to have their healthcare taken away and somehow Lib ET isn't universally condemning him.
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
You hate to see it.
“This is just a ‘batten down the hatches’ situation,” one GOP operative involved in House races told CNN, noting they have not seen an incumbent in a competitive district crack the 50% threshold in any recent internal polling.
cnn.com/2026/10/23/politics/…
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
Here’s the ad that I’m referring to. If Andy can pull this off in a R+30 state like Kentucky, then there’s no excuses for Dems to play into the anti-trans narrative
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
Stop understating this. A trans Hyde Amendment is less like denouncing gay marriage in 2006 and more like denouncing antiretroviral therapy for HIV patients in 2006.
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
This has been probably the darkest 24 hours I’ve ever experienced on social media in my life. The things being said about Samuel, his wife, and his small children are unthinkably evil. There is a segment of the so-called “Christian” nationalist crowd that has given itself completely over to Satan. I’ve never had more resolve to defeat these subversive demons invading the Right and invading Christianity.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
"Deport the parents and give them the chance to take their baby back home with them" - Joel
x.com/gherfferson/st…
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
That’s a good question. I assumed eventually the gop would take a turnout % lead. Because they had by this point in 2024
Obv democrats would love to hold a turnout lead to weaken the gop advantage with registration itself
This is a pretty big data point.
Data as of last night (eight days from the election) shows democrats with a 7% turnout it lead. At that same time in 2024, republicans already had the lead in votes cast and turnout %
There is clearly more enthusiasm on the DEM side #flapol
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
But Turek and Kapture have taken hostile messaging on transgender issues. Using them as something to “punch down on” to win brownie points with voters
This is way beyond being on the opposing side of a specific policy point.
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
Sometime after the elections are over, and post-election analysis is done, I'm gonna sit down and go scorched earth on the rise of prediction markets
I am going to lead a statistics and religious crusade against these degenerate gambling sites
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
Day 25 #MappingCoroners2026🎃
Sixty counties in Pennesylvabia still elect a county coroner. All are elected in the odd-year municipal races
This year's ☠️🎃Halloween Coroner Article🎃☠️ will look at some of the races from 2025!
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
In one day, two politicians - Bolsonaro in Brazil and Vucic in Serbia - with ties to Trump and his family have lost surprise elections, thanks to high turnout. The rise of the international far-right is not inevitable.
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
Here are the 2024 results for the states Trump & Vance are visiting in the home stretch:
Mississippi: 🔴 Trump +23
Texas: 🔴 Trump +14
Ohio: 🔴 Trump +11
Florida: 🔴 Trump +13
Iowa: 🔴 Trump +13
Montana: 🔴 Trump +20
Kansas: 🔴 Trump +16
Michigan: 🔴 Trump +1
Avg: 🔴 Trump +14
This week, President Donald J. Trump will visit:
MONDAY (10/26): Corinth, Mississippi
TUESDAY (10/27): Corpus Christi, Texas
TUESDAY (10/27): Lubbock, Texas
WEDNESDAY (10/28): Chillicothe, Ohio
FRIDAY (10/30): Daytona, Florida
SUNDAY (11/1): Dubuque, Iowa
Vice President JD Vance will visit:
MONDAY (10/26): Belgrade, Montana
MONDAY (10/26): Topeka, Kansas
TUESDAY (10/27): Howell, Michigan
MORE TO COME... 👀
Florida Data Geek ✝️🇺🇦🇬🇱🎃 retweeted
That’s a 16% swing from this day in 2024. 7 days if double digit swings make a pattern.
