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The Open Ocean
Joined February 2023
Lot of people who can’t find Brazil on a map have very strong opinions about this election. Yet, the handful of people I follow who know Brazil well, including @irbezek (who publicly put the odds in Lula’s favor on a podcast), are like “yeah, this election makes sense”
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Current president gets re-elected. Has been president for 12 of the last 24 years $EWZ down 27% pre-market
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BRL futures after Lula wins: -10%. Apparently the market has just discovered Lula. Small detail: he has been Brazil’s president for the last four years. Overreaction? #Brazil #BRL #oatt #soybeans #corn
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Bloomberg
@business12h
Rarely in recent memory have investors been so wrong-footed by a political event as they were by Sunday’s presidential election in Latin America’s largest economy. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
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MenchOsint
@MenchOsint13h
UKMTO reports an incident that occured on October 23rd. IRGC reported that day to have struck two VLCC.
MenchOsint
@MenchOsintOct 23
⭕️ IRGC says two Supertankers (VLCC) were struck today in the southern corridor of the Strait of Hormuz. The statement adds that they were abandoned, and their crews evacuated the ships.
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MAJOR MONITORING: New satellite imagery seems to indicate that there IS a fire raging along the East-West Pipeline. Just yesterday, Ansar Allah (Houthi) spokesman Yahya Saree stated that they had struck pumping stations and the pipeline itself in recent drone and/or missile strikes. Given the general credibility and track record of Yahya’s claims in recent months, it is “more likely than not” that the East-West has been struck. While this imagery continues to build the case that it was struck, I am not yet confident enough based upon the available evidence to state with CERTAINTY that it has been struck. “Big if true”
صور الأقمار الصناعية ترصد حريق كبير على خط أنابيب شرق-غرب السعودية.
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Giovanni Staunovo🛢
@staunovoOct 25
Borr Drilling rig sinks off Gabon, five personnel missing #oott reuters.com/world/africa/bor…
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Deja vu with LNG...
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barry with the NED
@bonzerbarryOct 24
Three ballistic missiles/guided rockets struck Aden
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NEW: Multiple images and videos are emerging that indicate that Ansar Allah (Houthis) have struck facilities at the Riyadh/Dammam Highway, and the Duba/Tabuk Highway earlier today. The last 24 hours saw a flurry of early warning reports (finally) issued by Saudi Arabia for incoming missiles and drones that targeted Riyadh, Najran, and Wadi al-Dawasir. These attacks were launched by AA in direct response to the Saudi targeting of the Yemeni capital of Sana’a. General rule of thumb? If the Ansar Allah spokesman Yahya Saree announces in his daily report of Saudi strikes that Sana’a has been struck… Ansar Allah is going to attack Riyadh and Saudi energy infrastructure.
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Anti-ship CM/drones launches from Bandar Sirik, Hormozgan Province, Iran. Explosions in Hormuz Strait. U.S. facilitated daytime transits ongoing along the Omani Southern Lane.
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MenchOsint
@MenchOsintOct 23
⭕️ IRGC says two Supertankers (VLCC) were struck today in the southern corridor of the Strait of Hormuz. The statement adds that they were abandoned, and their crews evacuated the ships.
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Typhoon Champi reaches Taiwan 🇹🇼 TODAY 👇
Focus Taiwan (CNA English News)@Focus_TaiwanOct 23
Strong winds & rough seas have battered much of Taiwan since Thursday as Typhoon Champi approaches. Huge waves pounded the coasts of Taitung & Hualien counties in the east, and on Friday morning powerful surf knocked a large crane into the sea at Fugang Fishing Harbor in Taitung
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i24NEWS: The U.S. is carrying out a large-scale evacuation of family members of American diplomats from all Middle Eastern countries except Oman and Israel, according to two regional diplomats
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MenchOsint
@MenchOsintOct 22
⭕️ IRGC targeted Ship-to-Ship transfers last night. 4 'violating ships' transferring oil cargoes in the northern Persian Gulf were simultaneously hit, according to the statement. Additionally, three 'violating ships' suffered incidents upon 'colliding with mines' in the western part of the Strait of Hormuz.
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Marhelm retweeted
"A U.S. official confirmed to Drop Site that military assets are being moved rapidly into place in preparation for an expected green light from Trump" for renewing combat operations with iran. Dropsite.
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Ship spotted smoking TODAY 👇 off Oman 🇴🇲 at 24.5649, 56.9540 190 m in lenght, near another 230 m leaking a little fuel. 30 km off Sohar.
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The Strait of Hormuz omani route is empty today too. Anyone who says more oil is flowing now more than ever isn't based on reality. Unclear why we are seeing fewer tankers crossing.
This is completely inaccurate. Sat Images shows that Saudi oil flows through the Gulf and vessel crossings via the Strait of Hormuz are both down. UKMTO confirmed the slowdown as well. Furthermore, STS transfers off Fujairah have declined over the past two weeks
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MenchOsint
@MenchOsintOct 21
UKMTO reported two incidents that occured last night. Greek-owned Oil Tanker Soyia near Iraqi waters Kuwaiti-owned Oil Tanker Al Dasma in the Strait of Hormuz.
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More anti-ship cruise missiles launches from Hormozgan Province, Iran. Explosions in Hormuz Strait. U.S. facilitated nightime transits ongoing along the Omani Southern Lane.
Anti-ship CM/drones launches from Hormozgan Province, Iran towards Hormuz Strait or Persian Gulf. Possible anti-ship ballistic missiles launches earlier from Ispahan Province. Flights disruptions are still being observed over Persian Gulf and UAE.
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