Marc (@NeuralCadence) profile picture

Tech enthusiast, investor & $NBIS watcher | Not financial advice.

Joined October 2022
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While Nebius is crashing in the public markets, ClickHouse is at an ATH in private markets. Hiive has ClickHouse at a $56B implied valuation. $NBIS
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I’d love to see more information on the Assetlight model and Token Factory in the Q3 earnings report. Specifically, it would be helpful to get a breakdown of revenue contribution (% of total revenue), margins, and growth rates for both business segments. @nebiusai @wienglischmann
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“I’m sorry to disappoint but there is one single bottleneck, and that is your ability to execute” Nebius CTO: Danila Shtan
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Don’t listen to the FUD. It never was Nebius. $NBIS
BREAKING NEWS🚨: According to @theinformation, Microsoft's $5B less in capex in Q3 than it had planned was in part due to delays by $IREN. We would not be surprised by this, considering that IREN continues to come up in our conversations with neocloud customers, usually for the wrong reasons. Multi-day power outages, network upgrades, storage failures, air quality controls leading to link flaps, XIDs everywhere. The #1 worst site in the industry, according to users.
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Even if part of the buildout gets halted, that doesn’t necessarily mean bad news for Nebius. The more constrained compute supply becomes, the higher the margins Nebius could achieve. $NBIS
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🚨 $NBIS adds three new compute clusters "TF" presuambly stands for Token Factory, with one cluster tagged CA1, likely California. We know $NBIS doesn't have a facility in California. So high probability these are asset-light deployments that are now online for managed inference. In particular, could be for $PLTR enterprise customers.
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The disconnect between the stock price and the fundamentals couldn’t be more apparent… Nebius is the most asymmetric play in the market right now. $NBIS
$NBIS Now $12.19 in the EU for spot... 28% higher with the capped pricing removed...
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BREAKING: Revolut moved ~2,000 engineers onto self-hosted GLM for coding and pushed Claude Code and Codex to the exception list. Per David Abitbol, who leads AI ops there: 56 Nvidia B200s, a blended 30 cents per million tokens, roughly a tenth of what they paid Anthropic and OpenAI. Engineering lead time improved 70%. Here's the part that matters: the gains showed up when tokens stopped being rationed. Engineers quit saving AI for the hard tickets and pointed it at everything. Frontier models become the exception, open weights become the default. That's a pricing problem for every lab heading to IPO. h/t @OliverMolander Would you move your team off frontier APIs if the bill dropped 90%?
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Do you guys wanna hear a Nebius joke? Nebius is so cheap… Oh Marc, how cheap is Nebius? So cheap that even Berkshire might be buying. And I may or may not be joking. 😉 $NBIS
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Friendly reminder that just two months ago, $PLTR named $NBIS its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner. A couple of comments from today's earnings call: "I'm invigorated unlike ever before by the ambition I'm hearing from our customers and their demand for Sovereign AI, a revolution we should remember is barely one quarter old." — Ryan Taylor, CRO, Palantir "We believe Sovereign AI is the latest and largest tech revolution of our generation. We signed multiple eight-figure deals in the quarter that were shorter in duration than usual as customers rapidly adopted initial Sovereign AI capabilities in their enterprise. As we continue to deliver value with Sovereign AI, over time, we expect both the duration and size of these contracts to increase." — Dave Glazer, CFO, Palantir Hard to imagine a better distribution channel for $NBIS.
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I’m still on vacation, fly back tomorrow. Check in on X and see like 100 imposters everywhere. Remember no blue check mark it’s a fake account. Very simple. As far as the market and $NBIS, yeah total puke fest price action. I don’t have a crystal ball, I dont control macro, I don’t control price. $NBIS reports next week. Elections are over tomorrow. If you can’t sleep at night on a position you need to adjust that for yourself. As far as the business, Nebius is firing on all cylinders. The market can act irrational. Very irrational. Let’s see what happens on earnings. Trolls like to come out at these times. I suggest blocking them. When my bio stocks had drawdowns I’d block 100s of trolls a day. It’s a liberating experience.
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$NVDA Is flat year over year while growing 100% sinds the Q2 earnings in 2025….
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Nebius is not a Neocloud. Nebius is a Neoscaler $NBIS
Replying to @jonobelotti_IO
Neocloud trap. What is that?:))
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@wienglischmann turn that into a T-Shirt 😉
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We are a Neo-scaler according to some experts
Having used fifty or more neoclouds, Nebius has by far the strongest software stack. them and maybe a couple others escape the neocloud trap.
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$NBIS We are now approaching $11 GPU-hour for spot... There is a disconnect between revenue and stock price... All high beta stocks getting dragged.
$NBIS - users are paying for interruptible spot B300s at $9.49 GPU-Hour in the last 15 minutes. The price cap gets removed today - this is going higher. If this is spot, how much do you think on-demand is going for....
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It's always great to hear such feedback from some of the best engineering teams at the market
Having used fifty or more neoclouds, Nebius has by far the strongest software stack. them and maybe a couple others escape the neocloud trap.
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We are approaching the old ATH. At this point, I would expect strong resistance. $NBIS
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At this point, I’d like to buy all of @nebiusai and take it private. $NBIS (If anyone would like to fund this acquisition, please send me a DM!)
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