Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.

Joined January 2026
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7 days away from Election Day 2026. What do the markets say? Check out @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica at 9pm ET. DIRECTV, Pluto TV, fuboTV, Samsung TV Plus, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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Is Someone Using Prediction Markets to Sway the Midterms? Stu Investigates xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1yKAPwjaO…
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Yes, a bet and a trade often look similar. But how they work is fundamentally different. A sportsbook sets the odds and takes the other side of your bet. Prediction markets are markets, where buyers and sellers compete to discover and produce efficient prices and enable important public benefits. What the market is about can change, but the structure doesn't. My op-ed on prediction markets and regulation:
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Stu: Looking at prediction markets “makes your information diet better … It is cutting through media nonsense, partisan nonsense. All of these things that have been the enemy of the information diet of the average citizen.” Watch @StuDoesAmerica ’s clip here. It’s really good
WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica defends prediction markets and explains why they can provide valuable insight into political outcomes.
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Watch @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica at 9pm ET. DIRECTV, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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Republicans Found One Last Reason for Hope. Do the Markets Buy It? xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1nKOLQlZm…
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The Senate Fantasy League is still open! Make your picks for the 2026 Senate races and compete for a $2,500 first-place prize. It's completely free to enter, and you have until November 2nd to submit your picks. SenateFantasy.com
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Troy Jackson has a 61% chance to beat Susan Collins in the Maine Senate race, according to Kalshi traders. But how does the volume split on Troy Jackson differ by state? • All Americans: 61% • Mainers: 36% • Non-Mainers: 61%
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A new edition of Stu’s Picks is live! Check out @StuDoesAmerica latest prediction market picks and where he sees value ahead of the midterm elections. Link: predictable.substack.com/p/s…
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TUNE IN: @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica airs at 9pm ET on The First TV. DIRECTV, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app and TheFirstTV.com/watch
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The Debates Got Heated. Then the Markets Made Some Strange Moves xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1XxygwdEP…
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It’s hard to believe you can beat someone with similar beliefs in an election when these are your underlying metrics.
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Three new polls in the TX Gov race in the last 24 hours have Abbott +4, +5 and +5, and he’s dropped by 10 points on Kalshi to 64%.
TEXAS STATEWIDE ELECTION ODDS: Senate: 🟦 James Talarico: 68% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 32% Governor: 🟥 Greg Abbott: 64% 🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 36%
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.@PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica airs tonight at 9pm ET on The First. Watch on DIRECTV channel 347, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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Could a Polling Error Save Republicans? Stu Ran the Numbers xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBrkB…
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9pm ET: @StuDoesAmerica hosts @PredictableShow on The First TV. Watch for free on Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, The First TV app and TheFirstTV.com/watch... or check it out on DIRECTV channel 347 and fuboTV.
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Texas Is the GOP’s Biggest Warning Sign and the Markets Show Why xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1RJjpbwzk…
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So it turns out Wedgewood polls is just a bogus polling firm.
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Tonight at 9pm ET: It's @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica. Watch on DIRECTV, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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