Can Dems Really FLIP These Five Trump-Won States? Stu Checks the History xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1DxLdZBbk…

The U.S. military estimates the Iran war cost at least $47.1 billion through Oct. 16, according to figures U.S. Central Command provided to lawmakers. About $29 billion is for replacing munitions, while the estimate also includes equipment replacement and other military costs. It does not include damage to U.S. bases in the Middle East, so the full bill could be higher.

Now the question is whether traders treat it as noise or the start of something bigger.

If Burry is right about Anthropic, the AI trade has a lot further to fall. The market usually figures that out before the headlines do.

Watch the full episode here! youtube.com/watch?v=z3G8TEdF…

Is Vivek Ramaswamy's controversial attack ad backfiring in Ohio?

The Tampa Bay Rays beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 in 12 innings in Game 4, scoring twice in the bottom of the 12th to avoid elimination. Milwaukee still leads the World Series 3-1 and is one win from its first championship. Polymarket put the Brewers at about 91% to win the series, with roughly $47.8 million in total volume.

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Now the only question is whether Warsh talks December up or down at the presser.

President Trump and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin announced a proposal to revise a 2024 rule requiring oil and gas companies to monitor and reduce methane emissions. The changes would loosen some requirements, but this is a proposal, not a finalized repeal; the EPA says it will take public comment before finalizing the rule. The EPA estimates the proposal would save consumers and businesses $45 billion and lead to 210 million additional barrels of oil, but those are agency projections, not guaranteed savings for shoppers. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, and environmental groups warn that weaker rules could allow more pollution.

Six billion dollars for one building. Somebody at JPMorgan is very sure the office is not dead.

Somewhere there is a market on whether this thing gets named after a cartoon dog. Pluto's little cousin just got 4.3 billion miles of attention.

Full episode: youtube.com/watch?v=z3G8TEdF…

Sen. Lindsey Graham faces renewed scrutiny over allegations about his personal life. @StuDoesAmerica shares his thoughts on the situation and the questions surrounding the allegations.

Nothing says a race is tight like recruiting a second Dan Sullivan to confuse Alaska voters. Ranked choice is about to make this one very weir

Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are locked in a high-stakes Texas Senate race, and President Trump traveled to the state to rally support for Paxton. Talarico is making a bid to become the first Democrat in more than 30 years to win a statewide Texas election, while Elon Musk has funneled at least $158 million toward efforts to defeat him. Polymarket currently gives Talarico a 68% chance of winning, compared with 33% for Paxton, on about $7 million in volume.