Dedicate to the transparency & development of the #SouthChinaSea, providing data & analysis, helping all parties mitigate competition and promote cooperation.
Joined March 2019
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"In 2025, the activities of strategic platforms such as carrier strike groups, amphibious ready groups, and bombers showed limited growth, while the frequency of declaratory operations like Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs) declined. "
scspi.org/en/yjbg/incomplete…
Two CMV-22B "Osprey" #Roosevelt carrier-based delivery aircraft are currently transferring from Okinawa to the Philippines, Nov.1.
The ship-borne helicopters of the Theodore #Roosevelt CSG were active in the Bashi Channel on Oct 31, which suggests that the #Roosevelt CSG might have entered the South China Sea and is heading toward the #MiddleEast.
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
Jay Tarriela is lying again.
All other ADMM-Plus member states received their invitations in late September or early October. However, the participation of the Chinese delegation was obstructed by Philippine Secretary of National Defense (SND) Gilberto Teodoro, who acted out of personal self-interest and disregarded the ADMM-Plus principle of openness and inclusivity.
Only after other ASEAN countries expressed strong opposition to such acts that the Philippines Department of National Defense (DND) reluctantly sent an invitation letter to China on October 22. It was signed by a its Undersecretary of National Defense, who was unwilling to even put a date on the letter. On October 23, Teodoro said in a press conference that China had been sent notice only the previous day.
It left China fewer than five working days for preparation. China was also required to complete its registration within just two days. Under such circumstances, it was virtually impossible to complete the necessary preparation.
While Teodoro took a position contrary to the "ASEAN Way," China, by contrast, has never singled out the Philippines in its multilateral defense cooperation with ASEAN. In fact, despite the extremely tight deadline, China still managed to send a delegation to the meeting.
Tarriela, if you don't know what actually happened, go ask Teodoro, the DND, or the other participating countries. Stop spreading lies, distorting facts, and turning right into wrong when you don't even have a clear understanding of the situation. Don't deliberately stir up controversy and sow discord based on misinformation.
The ship-borne helicopters of the Theodore #Roosevelt CSG were active in the Bashi Channel on Oct 31, which suggests that the #Roosevelt CSG might have entered the South China Sea and is heading toward the #MiddleEast.
On October 30, CCG conducted law-enforcement patrols in the territorial sea of #ScarboroughShoal and its surrounding areas to counter PCG' approaching and incursion.
Since October, PCG vessels have been operating intensively around the Scarborough Shoal while its aircafts repeatedly intruding into the Shoal's airspace.
On October 30, naval and air units of the PLA Southern Theater Command (STC) conducted readiness patrols in the territorial sea and airspace of #ScarboroughShoal and its surrounding areas.
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
China’s first ship-borne stealth reconnaissance and attack drone "GJ-21" recently made its first successful take-off and landing on 076 amphibious assault ship, the "Sichuan" (Hull 51).
This is another significant breakthrough in the development of China's amphibious assault ship, indicating that the Chinese Navy now has the capability to operate fixed-wing stealth drones from large maritime combat platforms.
Launched on December 27, 2024, the Sichuan (Hull 51) is the first vessel of Type 076 amphibious assault ships designed and developed independently by China. It incorporates the automatic carrier landing guidance system, new integrated power system, and electromagnetic catapult-assisted takeoff and arrested landing technology, and is capable of carrying fixed-wing unmanned aircraft, helicopters, and amphibious equipment, etc.
Since its first sea trial in November 2025, the Sichuan warship has been steadily conducting various maritime tests as planned, successfully completing the debugging of various equipment and overall operational stability tests.
#GJ21 #StealthDrone #UCAV
#Sichuan #Type076 #LHA
#AmphibiousAssaultShip #DroneCarrier
#CatapultLaunchSystem #EMALS
#PLA #Navy
#ChinaMilitary #ChinaMilBugle
How will the future trajectory of maritime channels in the Middle East affect the global security landscape?youtu.be/mFYqAAT4tns?si=Ehn0…
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
In today's strategic and technological environment, maritime blockade is an extremely difficult operation. In the Hormuz crisis, neither the United States nor Iran has completely blockaded the strait.
BREAKING: Despite the U.S. naval blockade, Iran has imported at least $2 billion in missile and drone hardware through a shadow network of more than 5,000 Ministry of Defense agencies.
per a Reuters investigation.
Then the details sharpen it: one agency alone, MOD 346428, brought in $2.3 billion between January 2025 and June 2026 — rocket fuel ingredients, explosives, aircraft engine parts, and 435 Iveco trucks that can serve as mobile missile launchers. Shipments kept moving by land, sea, and air during the war itself. And in 97% of the reviewed transactions, no currency crossed a border at all.
So on paper, there's a blockade. In practice, the missile supply never stopped.
When you have a guilty conscience, everything feels like a threat.
The #PLA is sending groups of vessels, including the #Liaoning carrier strike group, to exercise east of the #1stIslandChain. We’re staying vigilant about their activities. The simultaneous threat to #Taiwan, #Japan & the #Philippines is obvious.
The wording has improved. JSDF can keep tracking and stay alert, but something like "interception" would be highly unprofessional.
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
BBNJ Agreement Enters into Force: Who Will Protect the High Seas—and Who Will Shape the Future of Ocean Governance?@Yanyan2026Y @XuXudake
youtu.be/E7mWJWes-NI?si=7Ssz… via @YouTube
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
After his first visit to China, Australian geopolitical analyst Barry Healy says the gap between what he saw firsthand and how China is portrayed back home is striking. Australia's economy relies heavily on trade with China. So why, he asks, is China framed as a threat to those very trade routes? "Logic has very little to do with it." Tune in to hear his take on China-Australia relations. #ChinaAustralia
USS Makin island, with its ARG member USS John P. Murtha and USS Anchorage just arrived Yokosuka Japan, Oct. 26.
BBNJ Agreement Enters into Force: Who Will Protect the High Seas—and Who Will Shape the Future of Ocean Governance?@Yanyan2026Y @XuXudake
youtu.be/E7mWJWes-NI?si=7Ssz… via @YouTube
If the Philippines implements the partial provisions of the Act that violate UNCLOS, it would have negative impacts on the passage of all other countries’ ships and aircraft
youtu.be/KaXDk6owKzM?si=q9_g… via @YouTube
Based on the flight path of carrier-borne MH-60S #AE2778 and the tracks of USS Theodore Roosevelt and HMCS Regina, the Theodore Roosevelt CSG is operating in the Philippine Sea to participate in exercise Keen Sword 27.
SCS Probing Initiative retweeted
On October 21, with approval from the Chinese side, the Philippines delivered living necessities to its ship illegally “grounded” at China’s Ren’ai Jiao. The China Coast Guard (CCG) inquired and verified the Philippine vessel conducting the delivery, and monitored the whole process.
The CCG will continue to conduct law-enforcement and rights-protection operations in China’s Nansha Qundao and its adjacent waters, including Ren’ai Jiao, in accordance with the law.
#SouthChinaSea #NanshaQundao
#RenaiJiao #SecondThomasShoal
#HuangyanDao #MeijiJiao
#Philippines #RightsViolation
#ChinaCoastGuard #CCG
#BRPSierraMadre #IllegalGrounding
#PhilippineCoastGuard
#NanshaIslands
#Chinamilitary #ChinaMilBugle
This flight path is completely in line with international law and international customary practices. On what legal basis is the Japanese side justification for its interception？
