كان الاولى بكم - لو عندكم ذرة ذوق- ارسال وفد من مشايخ " المسلمين و المسيحيين من سكان البلاد الاصليين" لتقديم العزاء في الاردن و دون الاعلان الرسمي لانه بلا طعم و لا لون و لا رائحة . أنتم مثل البغي (العاهرة) ، تستشرفون في كل مناسبة، وتتشدقون بالأخلاق والقيم، بينما سجلكم التاريخي حافل بالجرائم التي طالت المسيحيين والمسلمين على حد سواء , سواء في القدم او في الحاضر ، جرائمكم فاقت بشاعتها كل تصور. كيف يُطلب منا يا روعي أن نصدق خطابكم و تعازيكم، وأنتم تتبنون سرديات التفوق العرقي، وتتعاملون مع بقية البشر بمنطق الاستعلاء والتمييز؟ وكيف يمكن تجاهل ما يُثار من انتقادات بشأن ترسيخ هذه الأفكار في بعض المناهج والممارسات التعليمية؟ الا ترى انه محرم بدينكم مساس الغوييم و اي انية و طعام مسه غوييم , اليست هذه فوقية واضحة وضوح الشمس تضع دماء هؤلاء الغوييم بمنظورك الديني على انها رخيصة و بلا ثمن؟ بل إن التوراة نفسها تتضمن روايات توثق عليكم حروب وعمليات قتل وتدمير في مدن مثل عاي وعجلون و سعير و مدين وغيرها من المواقع، وتصف ممارسات عسكرية قاسية طالت الرجال والنساء والأطفال و الحيوانات بدءا بقتل الاطفال و بقر بطون النساء و استخراج اجنتهم و قتل الرجال بقرون الثيران . من الصعب تجاهل هذه النصوص عند مناقشة العلاقة بين الرواية الدينية والتاريخ و ممارسات الحاضر ، ولا سيما في ظل ما يشهده العالم اليوم من دمار وقتل في غزة. فالتاريخ، كما الحاضر، لا ينبغي أن يكون انتقائيًا، ولا يجوز أن تتحول النصوص الدينية إلى ذريعة لتبرير العنف أو منح أي جماعة حصانة أخلاقية من جهة و ادعاء النبل بوجه اخر . الشمس لا يمكنك تغطيتها بغربال سيد روعي . بل اليوم نتفاجئ كالبغي تستشرف بتقديم العزاء للاردن و شعبها كأن امر المسيحيين في الاردن يعنيكم ؟ توقفو عن التعدي على مقدسات المسيحيين في القدس اولا و نكون لكم من الشاكرين . سؤال اخر , روعي بحكم عملك في الاذاعة الرسمية الاسرائيلية : الا تتضمن مناهجكم و النصوص الدينية روايات وعبارات جدلية تتعلق بالمسيح وأمه مريم ، و تصفهم باقبح الصفات . وهذه مسائل يا سيد روعي تستوجب النقاش الدقيق والتمييز بين النصوص وتفسيراتها ومواقف أتباع الديانات المختلفة، بعيدًا عن التعميم أو التحريض على أتباع دين بأكمله. فكفى ازدواجية في المعايير، وكفى استعلاءً عرقيًا وتبريرًا للجرائم . لا تمنحكم الهوية الدينية أو القومية حقًا فوق حقوق الآخرين، و لا تجعل من دمائكم اغلى من دماء بقية الاعراق ولا تجعل من جرائم الحاضر أمرًا يمكن التهرب من مسؤوليته بالاختباء وراء روايات الماضي . ابحثوا عن نهج آخر؛ نهجٍ يقوم على المساواة والعدالة واحترام كرامة الإنسان، بدلًا من الاستمرار في ادعاء الاخلاق و حسن الجوار . لقد سئم العالم منكم سيد روعي , مع التأكيد اني لا اعني كل اليهود في العالم بتعليقي هذا , بل الصهيونية التي تدير بلادكم و تعبث بمصيركم و تتاجر بدمائكم و دماء سكان المنطقة و اصحابها الاصليين . عزاء دولتكم المارقة غير مقبول و بغير مكانه و لغته التي يجب ان يقدم بها ,

🌐🚨❄️ #Headsup February 2027: Another Potential Major Polar Sudden Stratospheric Warming SSW event is possible for February-2027? ⛔️Firstly, this is an interim probabilistic forecast for February. Could February 2027 feature a significant disruption of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex, with potential downstream consequences for Northern Hemisphere circulation? My latest analysis using the @PyReWeather 4-map interface identifies a potentially noteworthy configuration across the stratosphere and troposphere for February. The assessment is based on a 20-member February structural analog composite, including February 1958, February 1983, and 18 additional analogs, with anomalies calculated relative to the 1991–2020 February climatology. Here is what the four diagnostic maps reveal. 🌡️ 1. The 10hPa atmospheric temperature: pronounced Arctic stratospheric warming anomalies The temperature composite displays substantial positive anomalies over the central Arctic , with the strongest warming signal extending toward the North American Arctic. This asymmetric warming pattern is consistent with a potentially disturbed polar vortex and raises the possibility of vortex displacement or deformation. 🌀 2. 10 hPa winds: a pronounced, asymmetric circulation anomaly The updated 10 hPa wind-vector anomaly map adds an important diagnostic dimension. It shows a strong, spatially asymmetric ring of wind-anomaly magnitudes around the Arctic vortex, with marked variations in the circulation pattern with partial wind reversal (east-west flow) over the Eurasian sector. Combined with the pronounced temperature anomalies, this strengthens the case for monitoring a potential disruption of the polar vortex associated with a SSW possible event that may materialize during February weeks. 🌪️ 3. 300 hPa winds: pronounced upper-level circulation variability. The 300 hPa wind-anomaly magnitude and vector field reveal substantial meridional variability and several distinct sectors of enhanced wind anomalies around the Northern Hemisphere. This pattern suggests a potentially amplified upper-tropospheric circulation, with possible implications for jet-stream positioning, trough development, and the distribution of storm tracks. The anomaly magnitudes, however, should not be interpreted as actual wind speeds or as proof of a particular blocking regime. 🌐 4. The 500 hPa geopotential heights: an amplified planetary-wave pattern The 500 hPa composite displays a pronounced wave pattern, with positive geopotential-height anomalies over parts of the Arctic sector and substantial negative anomalies across other high-latitude regions. This configuration raises the possibility of high-latitude blocking and amplified troughing. Greenland blocking and ridging near the Urals are circulation features worth monitoring as the forecast window approaches, although their persistence and exact positions require further verification. 🌍 POTENTIAL DOWNSTREAM IMPLICATIONS FOR FEBRUARY 2027 If this stratospheric signal develops and couples with the tropospheric circulation, several regions deserve attention: 🌧️ North Atlantic and western Europe: potentially enhanced storm-track variability and episodes of unsettled weather. ❄️ Mediterranean and the Levant: opportunities for trough penetration, colder-air intrusions, and precipitation episodes, depending on the eventual synoptic configuration. 🌨️ North America: possible changes in the placement of troughs and ridges, including across parts of the S. United States and the North Pacific sector. 🧭 Northern Hemisphere circulation indices: A negative NAO, Negative PNA, and negative EAWR and SCAND phases are potential configurations that may materialized to gather or independently across weeks of February. 📌 MY CURRENT ASSESSMENT The 20-member February analog composite presents a potentially interesting SSW-related signal, supported by three notable features: • Pronounced positive 10 hPa temperature anomalies over the Arctic. • Strong, asymmetric 10 hPa wind-vector anomalies indicating a potentially disturbed stratospheric circulation. • An amplified 500 hPa geopotential-height pattern accompanied by substantial 300 hPa wind anomalies. Together, these features justify an early monitoring alert for a possible February 2027 stratospheric warming event. The next critical step is to examine the daily evolution of the 10 hPa zonal-mean zonal wind at 60°N, alongside polar-cap temperature and geopotential-height anomalies, to determine whether the vortex merely weakens or undergoes a genuine major SSW And identify which weeks of February the major events may materialize. Bottom line: February 2027 is worth watching for a possible major stratospheric warming. This is a probabilistic, analog-based forecast signal—not a declaration that an SSW, wind reversal, or specific regional weather outcome is certain. Long-range analogs help identify plausible atmospheric regimes. The coming weeks and months of dynamical ensemble forecasts will be essential for determining whether this signal strengthens, weakens, or fails to materialize. Statistical Model By Mr. M @Statisticizer. #SSW #PolarVortex #StratosphericWarming #SeasonalForecast #WeatherAnalogues #PyReWeather #February2027

🌍🌀 Another successfully anticipated, unusual Polar Vortex Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event for November! This event is unusual and relatively rare, and its potential occurrence has been on my forecast radar since June 2026—four months in advance. My approach integrates climatic teleconnection indices, the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), and, most importantly, space-weather indices, examined under a Granger-causality framework with permissive model-misspecification assumptions. I hope this achievement will not be mistaken for bragging. Since the late-November 2025 SSW, I have anticipated five such events successfully in a row. At this point, the real reward is not the adrenaline of another successful forecast; it is the opportunity to demonstrate what long-range statistical forecasting may be able to achieve. 🎯 The real message for scientists, climatologists, and weather enthusiasts is this: The popular claim that weather cannot be predicted beyond five days is an oversimplification. Although conventional deterministic weather forecasts face rapidly increasing uncertainty with lead time, this does not mean that all aspects of the atmosphere become unpredictable beyond that horizon. The climate system has memory. Its atmosphere, oceans, stratosphere, solar-related variability, and other interacting components can preserve signals that help identify recurring patterns and probabilistic tendencies months ahead. ENSO binary paradigm and super-elnino is a total oversimplification, the universe of atmospheric phenomena has black, white and degrees of white and grey in between, neglecting the grey is what makes those deterministic models fail with fanned out margin of error across time. The key is understanding which signals matter, how they interact, and under what conditions previously observed physical patterns may recur or reoccur. Long-range forecasting is not about claiming certainty. It is about extracting predictive information from the climate system that conventional approaches may overlook. 🌀 The challenge is not simply to predict tomorrow’s weather, but to recognize tomorrow’s atmospheric possibilities months before they emerge. #ClimateScience #WeatherForecasting #SSW #PolarVortex #StratosphericWarming #Teleconnections #SpaceWeather #LongRangeForecasting #StatisticalForecasting @judah47 @severeweatherEU @Recretos