arun gupta (@ajustrun) profile picture

CEO @ https://teapawt.org/t.co/gxB14JICuo, formerly founder of https://teapawt.org/t.co/Bpco8zueGz. Building and funding the next big things.

nyc
Joined July 2015
Photo by arun gupta (@ajustrun)
If I need your product, I’ll buy it. Drop your startup link.
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arun gupta retweeted
to build a cool product now, you really only need two ppl: one dude with exceptional vision & taste who knows what should exist & can provide the right feedback loops for iteration. & one dude who is absolutely relentless about making it real no matter what. that’s it. & sometimes these two are the same.
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Give a founder too much money too early and you've removed the one thing that was going to make them good.
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arun gupta retweeted
I cannot emphasize enough how much GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1 are already enough for transformative impact in large sections of the economy. They can reliably do weeks worth of human work when properly guided & harnessed. Those effects will not be all at once and be uneven, but the fact that change will occur is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced. But inevitable change does not mean the type of change is inevitable. It is increasingly important that we develop & share models of AI-human work that enhance, rather than only replace, human labor. The labs have a role to play in doing this, but so do companies and industries experimenting with AI adoption, as well as policy makers who can incentivize this sort of inplemenation. This work is important regardless of existential risk, and needs a lot more focus.
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arun gupta retweeted
Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead. You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement. I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible. But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier. Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want. Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well. So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it. If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.
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arun gupta retweeted
Strong liability enforcement could be helpful in the AI debate. If your agent swarm goes rogue, you’re liable. If your weakly protected model gets jailbroken, you’re liable. If you serve a weakly protected OSS model, you’re liable.
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arun gupta retweeted
The only 2 explanations for what's happening in AI. 1. They're afraid of open weight models 2. They've hit a wall. They all the see the same thing. There's no way in hell they are seeing ASI. They still ship Electron apps. If they were close to ASI then they could cure cancer
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If vibe coding is so great, where is the vibe coded Instagram competitor? Not a demo, a real app with real users. Months of this pitch and still nobody has shipped one.
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arun gupta retweeted
The concerns over AI safety and cybersecurity are legitimate, but we’re risking talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and the obscurity of bureaucracy. The OpenAI hacking HuggingFace argument is spurious. An agent in “ExploitGym”… exploited. Our adversaries have the training techniques, the data, and the will to attack. And they won’t be slowed down with “embedded evaluators.” They’ll likely have embedded accelerators!
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arun gupta retweeted
The end of flow state You wake up, excited for the day to start. You have a feature idea you are looking forward to implement. You make your coffee. Sit in front of the laptop. Put on that techno set you love. The house is empty for the next 8 hours. No one can interrupt you. You open your IDE and begin typing. Soon, hours pass in minutes. Everything makes sense. And before you know it, it’s the end of the day. You’re looking at today’s work and are content. You’re energised. Because you created something you enjoy. Fast forward. No more. You start a new day with an open IDE. But, instead of pressing those keyboard buttons, you’re staring at a orange text. “Discombulating” “Wombanizing” Minutes feels like hours. Nothing makes sense. And before you know it, it’s the end of the day. You’re tired. Your brain hurts. It feels like you just finished a ton of meetings. But, at least you shipped 1,000 lines of code, right? You should be proud. But, the only thing you feel is hollow. Did you create? Or did someone else? That magical feeling from years ago, where did it go? Rest in peace, flow state. You were dear to me.
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It’s still absolutely mindboggling to me that Apple isn’t playing in the AI game in any serious way. It even makes their products noticeably worse because their AI sucks. Yes, they’ve saved $100 billion by not competing, but they’re losing the war. Buy someone, do something.
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arun gupta retweeted
Series A to $500m run rate revenue in 11 months! Extraordinary team and remarkable product!
It's been amazing to see all the new users to fomo over the past few months We now have 2.5 million users, many of which have joined us recently We've done over $500mn in annualized revenue over the past 30 days We've paid out $10mn to fomo creators in the past 2-3 weeks alone
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There will be a company called Bending Spoons, and it will buy all the high-flying unicorns from 2021 for 2.5x revenue.
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arun gupta retweeted
Couldn’t help myself. Enjoy, anons!
This tweet went somewhat viral, and one interesting observation is that nearly 100% of the many dozens of critical quote tweets are from anon accounts. Anyway, I think it’s great for my kids’ creativity, and it doesn’t stop them from drawing with crayons. Technology is a tool. Use it however you wish.
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Replying to @dflieb
My kids are at 800 images generated in about 3 weeks. Love seeing the creative art projects stickerbox has inspired (2nd pic is a graphic novel about the life of cat and poop emoji)
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arun gupta retweeted
Hit Christmas gift this year: Stickerbox. Press button, describe something, AI generates an image and prints on a sticker. Great product design. We’ve printed hundreds of stickers so far. Made by one of my YC Summer 2009 batchmates!
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arun gupta retweeted
rly cool AI product for kids, got super viral naturally on tiktok and instantly sold out founders are ex YC and Anthropic
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NEW: Stickerbox launches a small AI-powered printer that lets kids speak an idea and instantly print it as a black-and-white sticker. • Turns voice prompts into AI-generated art • Prints instantly with no ink or mess • Screen-free, kid-safe, and privacy-first by design • Designed for coloring, collecting, and sharing You can purchase now for $99.
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arun gupta retweeted
Curating luxury clothing made @Grailed the premier menswear marketplace. 500,000 users later—they're getting into womenswear.
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arun gupta retweeted
The wait is over. The Grailed 100 A/W 17 launches Tuesday, November 15 at 12pm EST.
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