@ben_bot_baldwin | @nflfastR | @Open_Source_FB Danny's economist friend | bbaldwin206 at gmail dotcom

Joined February 2015
Oh hey that's me! Here's my writeup of how I did this: opensourcefootball.com/posts…
.@NextGenStats: New advanced metrics you NEED to know for the 2022 NFL season nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-…
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NFC Week 7 Playoff Leverage -- Packers @ Lions is the NFC Game of the Week (TM) -- Huge opportunities this week for the Cowboys/Panthers
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7
281
93,365
AFC Week 7 Playoff Leverage -- Bengals @ Ravens is the AFC Game of the Week (TM). Massive, massive game -- Pats/Bears and Chiefs/Seahawks fun inter-conference matchups
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15
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140
30,080
NFC West division %: 49ers: SF/SEA win 85%, SF win SEA loss 91%, SF loss SEA win 69%, SF loss SEA loss 79% Seahawks: SF/SEA win 11%, SF win SEA loss 4%, SF loss SEA win 22%, SF loss SEA loss 9%
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When it's at all close, we know that Shanahan "leans on his 20+ years of play-calling and coaching experience" to choose the most conservative option almost every single time. Hard to think there's a lot of good process that goes into that
This is why people dislike the “analytics community” because they refuse to accept / discuss the other side All Shanahan’s saying is that if the odds are that close, he leans on his 20+ years of play-calling and coaching experience to help aid his decision. What’s wrong with that?
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I have hacked into the 49ers' computer systems and discovered their contextual 4th down decision making process. This elaborate process takes into account factors that are not including in simple 4th down models
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6,427
This isn't just about the model. In situations where the model has no recommendation at all, he kicks almost every time. He just has an extremely strong default towards conservatism, like most NFL coaches xitter.cf/dunksonyou/status/2112…
Replying to @benbbaldwin
“Shanny disagrees with the model a lot, obviously he doesn’t have a rigorous decision making process.” So much hubris.
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5,012
WEEK 6 OBJECTIVE NFL POWER RANKINGS -- The Rams fell!! But narrowly on top. Sorry,,, -- Ok yes the Chargers are bad -- Goodbye Eagles -- Here come the Texans!
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934
332,909
Even this which is largely based on play-level results so far has the Rams at No. 3! They might still be pretty good! xitter.cf/SamHoppen/status/21126…
Week 7 NFL Composite Power Ratings! Sources: @ESPN (FPI) @greerreNFL (nfelo) @inpredict (Inpredictable) @KevinCole___ (Unexpected Points) @FTNFantasy/@ASchatzNFL (DVOA) @PFF (PFF)
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Remaining strength of schedule. Life is no good for the West divisions, who have to play each other Are you accepting transfer applications @ AFC South
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88,740
WEEK 6 NFL NUMBERS THREAD Bills & Lions games are the most fun games
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36,978
Weekly Kenneth Walker plot
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4,765
Pass protection grade and sack rate
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4,508