Semiconductors @OpenAI // Per Aspera // Abundance Builder // Acceleration Seeker

San Francisco
Joined July 2013
This part of X, the part about manufacturing, robotics, rockets, acceleration, and optimism, is the best part of X.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
👋 We heard your feedback on FDE ! We’re partnering with the OpenAI Forum on a series of livestreams, and this first one covers the basics. Join @colintjarvis , the Head of FDE, as he leads a panel of OpenAI FDEs on how we close the deployment gap. forum.openai.com/public/even…
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Daniel Stone retweeted
We’re releasing a broad range of new mathematical results produced by an internal frontier model. We’ve been consulting with the independent Advisory Group on Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence at the Institute for Advanced Study, and we have drawn on their advice and public recommendations to inform how we release these results. github.com/openai/math
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Daniel Stone retweeted
We crossed a threshold where GPUs are more efficient thinkers than the human brain on a per watt basis. This is yet another big AGI milestone that we just zoomed past, without noticing it particularly. The next one will be more overall combined machine vs human intelligence.
This number is way off. You’re comparing one human brain to an entire data center capable of training new models. The actual answer is: IQ points per watt: Humans: 5 AI: 7 - 40 (!!) By my rough calculations the current AI is already served more efficiently than humans for equivalently intelligent work performed! A single gpu can produce outputs and parse inputs way faster than a human and can do many of such requests in parallel. A larger model generally mostly means you need more gpus to serve it, but that often also increases how many requests you can serve in parallel, so I’m reporting on the share of the serving system, and also normalizing for speed. Really a better way to measure and report it is joules per equally good completed task, as your formulation suggests we can likely add more watts to get more iq, which isn’t correct. I did some back of the napkin calculations based on the latest serving hardware and the most powerful open source models. But even given pretty generous assumptions it turns outout computers come ahead. For example the request is allocated approximately 60 W while running, but finishes a task in about one-seventh of the human time.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
Yes. My p(abundance) is very very high.
The p(doom) discussion gets all the headlines, but the p(abundance) scenery is far more like and deserves much more engagement.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
We solved Navier-Stokes! Many of my colleagues left their fields because they believed that working on AI would be the fastest way to solve their fields' grand challenges. It's surreal to see the first of those challenges fall and to watch a future we believed in become real.
We’re sharing a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem, one of the deepest problems at the frontier of mathematics. The proof was produced by a group of agents, using an OpenAI next-generation model significantly more capable than GPT-6 Astra. The problem concerns whether the description of smooth three-dimensional fluid motion modeled by the Navier-Stokes equations can break down. It has remained unresolved for roughly 90 years.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
GPT-6 Astra, trained on ~100K+ NVIDIA Grace Blackwell NVLink72. From ChatGPT to o1 to Astra in 4 years. AGI has arrived. Congratulations @OpenAI team. 400K GPUs coming online next.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
GPT-6 Astra is here. We hope it will begin to enable a new generation of entrepreneurship, scientific discovery, and building. We believe it is the best model in the world for computer use, professional work, science, coding, cybersecurity, and more. It took us some extra time to ensure that we could meet the safety and alignment standards required for this capability level, but we think you’ll find it worth the wait. It scores 98% on FrontierMath Tier 4, 99.9% on ARC-AGI 3, and 100% on ExploitBench.
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really fast
we made a chip and it is fast
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reply to my friend luis' post with your ideas!
Hi! I’m an FDE at OpenAI, and we’re thinking about publishing some of our work and learnings in a series of technical blog posts. What would you like us to write about?
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Daniel Stone retweeted
That and the anti-nuclear activists. Same story all over again. Good hearts but don’t realize 1st and 2nd order effects.
Remember when the idiots of SF blocked Google from building free WiFi across the city because WiFi causes cancer? The anti data center morons have the same genius vibes.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
ChatGPT pays for itself
Used ChatGPT finance just now and asked it to find phantom subscriptions. It unearthed $550 a year of random things I didn’t realize I was paying for and thought I canceled. Thanks @OpenAI and whoever is on the Finance product.
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Daniel Stone retweeted
i would rather be an optimist and work hard than a pessimist posting about why things won't work. it's much more difficult and the most likely path is failure, but society fails if people don't try. no amount of "it will never work" essays will drive society forward.
Dang it’s crazy that all of this literally did happen
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Daniel Stone retweeted
come for the best model, stay because we don’t treat you with contempt
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Net net in the short and mid term AI is more likely to create jobs than destroy them. There are so many hard problems we have yet to solve and co-working on them with AI will create a lot of new demand for workers.
so far at least, i'm pretty sure AI has been net job-creating. this was not what i expected--although i was much less pessimistic than others, i thought by this level of capability we'd have seen some impact. it is possible this direction keeps going!
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Daniel Stone retweeted
makes us happy to see people love 5.6 sol so much!
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Daniel Stone retweeted
GPT-5.6 Sol, along with Terra and Luna, will launch publicly this Thursday. We’re expanding preview access globally now.
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We will see this at 90%+, barring catastrophic policy choices.
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I have very little doubt that humans will find ways to use technology to avert any actual population crisis
I’m so excited to share this update on @Conception – We’ve generated the first early human eggs derived from stem cells. This is a big deal -- the potential to redefine fertility is real.
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I want one
Your favorite Codex shortcuts are getting an upgrade. July 15th.
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