Francis Li (@fgnli) profile picture

There's no BAU pathway on a dead planet

New York, NY
Joined January 2017
Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)Photo by Francis Li (@fgnli)
Update to the netzerosteel.org project - we've added country factsheets for the these nations at netzerosteel.org/publication… @IDDRI_English @mehansbrough @riamatic @sstiebert @fgnli #COP26 All published results are for our medium demand scenario - low & high avail on request.
🧵To all and sundry, I'm very happy to announce the technical and policy results for netzerosteel.org are live! Starting with a global DB of steel facilities by @GlobalEnergyMon (🙏), we have produced nine separate net-zero scenarios for all steel producing regions 1/n
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But seriously, this is the transformative demand pull needed to reset “best available technology” in the 2020s for steel & cement, such that all new production is clean in the 2030s. H/t @KWitecka cc @rebeccawdell @JaneAFlegal @TomasWyns @KhandekarGauri @valenvogl @dr_olsson 👏👏
Govts of UK, India, Germany & Canada, under new Industrial Deep Decarbonization Initiative, announce a pledge that sends a clear message to heavy industry – “If you make low-carbon steel and concrete, we’ll buy it”. tinyurl.com/6wdttekc
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Some of the best and most long term transformative news out of #COP26 @dan_rosenbloom
Decarbonizing heavy industry is essential to secure a climate-safe future for humanity. At #COP26 a group of countries announced their intention to help create a transparent global market for low-carbon industrial materials, starting w/ steel & cement. unido.org/news/worlds-larges…
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Seriously, I’m proud of this “Net-zero steel is possible,but it means that by the end of this decade all new & retrofit facilities globally must be clean” As they say, “That’s it, that’s the tweet”. netzerosteel.org/
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Replying to @bataille_chris @IEA
This is still my favourite visual
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🧵To all and sundry, I'm very happy to announce the technical and policy results for netzerosteel.org are live! Starting with a global DB of steel facilities by @GlobalEnergyMon (🙏), we have produced nine separate net-zero scenarios for all steel producing regions 1/n
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#Hydropower is expected to play a major role in achieving #Ecuador's #NDC, however key uncertainties threaten its potential. In their new paper, Pablo Carvajal and Francis Li @fgnli explore Ecuador #power scenarios to 2050 bit.ly/2ElpN0z @UCL_Energy
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There are at least two ways to escape from model-land - do you know what they are? economics-ejournal.org/econo… @CATS_LSE @RebuildMacro @CRUISSE_RCUK @david_tuckett @angusarmstrong8
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We can be open to exposing the limits/weaknesses of our models, in order to preserve the credibility of science in decision-making. Overselling how informative today’s models are increases the risk that tomorrow’s (better) models are ignored. #science2inform #climatescienceday – at Washington, DC
So, the point (of the paper) is that we need frameworks of inference, science and decision support based on those imperfect models, not a castle in the air of perfect-model statistics that are correct only in model-land and misleading in the real world :)
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If you like energy demand modelling (and who doesn't?) then this is a good, comprehensive read with many sound suggestions for future modelling endeavours
The latest paper from the @DrRobertGross and the @UKERCHQ team looks at looks at how the energy models used to inform UK government policy represent demand-side energy policies. ukerc.ac.uk/publications/mod…
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New paper by @fgnli, @st_pye, @bataille_chris assesses the utility of big data in energy modeling. I look forward to reading it.
New Paper: Prospects for energy economy modelling with big data: Hype, eliminating blind spots, or revolutionising the state of the art? authors.elsevier.com/a/1YY0x…
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Energy modellers; so what do we do with energy data abundance instead of scarcity? Co-authored w/ @fgnli @st_pye & A.O’Sullivan “Prospects for energy economy modelling with big data: Hype, eliminating blind spots, or revolutionising the state of the art?“ authors.elsevier.com/c/1YY0x…
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Replying to @fgnli
New review paper on #OpenSource #Energy #Models: "The result shows that available open source tools such as Switch, TEMOA, OSeMOSYS, and pyPSA are mature enough based on a function comparison with commercial or proprietary tools for serious use." sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
Cool. Now do coastal erosion, lost sea ice, retreating glaciers, bleached coral reefs, desertification, and acidified oceans. Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Greening Earth, Study Finds go.nasa.gov/2Nc2A7p – at Grapevine, TX
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We're hiring: Research Fellow in Energy Transitions to join our energy systems team ow.ly/XAmx30lP416
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100% this. As an STS analyst, we need to be much more symmetrical in our use of “sociotechnical imaginary” — why is a world w solar geo one, and a world with radical emissions cut not? (& “assessing” things which don’t get exist also contributes to their naturalization).
Replying to @Eaterofsun
The supposedly "reliable" route is possible only if things happen that have no obvious prospect of happening, which have not happened when people have tried to make them happen, and which political analysis overhwelmingly suggests won't happen.
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Francis Li retweeted
A lot of people will never accept climate science, because they don't accept ANY science. They don't perceive of the world as a collection of physical processes & objects to be understood & manipulated. It's pre-enlightenment epistemology of only faith & reaction.
I wonder how many more natural disasters of biblical proportions until we stop electing climate deniers
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The Climate Change Act will soon be 10 years old. Join @UKERCHQ @UCL_ISR and @UCL_Energy at a special event to mark the occasion with two great speakers: @bryworthington (@EnvDefenseFund) and Matthew Bell (formerly @theCCCuk) eventbrite.co.uk/e/10-years-…