Free minds and free markets, liberty and responsibility. Fiscally conservative, socially liberal. I am VP @reasonfdn. Pardon any nerd rage you may encounter.

Siesta Key, FL
Joined July 2010
There is not a single solution to every problem. There is a discovery process, and you don’t discover it in Congress.
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Adrian Moore retweeted
"If submitting a housing permit application on the same day, the average aspiring homeowner who wants to build in Miami, San Francisco or Boston — the cities with the longest permitting times — will still be stuck in paperwork when the average aspiring homeowner in Indianapolis, El Paso, Colorado Springs, Phoenix or Fort Worth is moving into a completed home." @PostOpinions washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
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Math is hard for the LAUSD. "Enrollment declined from 440,365 to 369,830 students, a decrease of about 16%. Over the same period, the total of 'full-time-equivalent' jobs increased from 60,344 to 64,148, or about 6.3%" latimes.com/california/story…
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Come with Reason’s @BessByers to commit the heinous crime of…paddleboarding without a permit?!
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Libertarians don't believe every transaction is voluntary. They believe consent distinguishes voluntary transactions from coercion. Your landlord didn't create your need for shelter, and refusing to provide you with his property for free isn't coercion. You need food to survive, too. Does that make farmers your oppressors? Your argument isn't against exploitation. It's against the inconvenience of other people having rights.
Libertarians believe every transaction is voluntary, including paying a landlord half your income because the alternative is sleeping in your fucking car.
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Across the rich world, nearly a quarter of all development aid now goes to climate projects. The core problem is opportunity cost. Every dollar subsidizing solar panels or carbon accounting is a dollar not spent on schools, maternal health or clean water. financialpost.com/opinion/op…
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"One might think that advances in technology over the past quarter-century would make permitting faster, but cities have gotten much slower on average. "Between 2000 and 2023, multifamily permitting went from 0.6 to 1.5 years. Single-family went from 1.6 to 4.9 months." @PostOpinions washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
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Striking detail in the big NYT piece on Taiwanese families adjusting to working at the huge new TSMC chip plant in Arizona: their surprise at the lack of rigor in US schools.
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Adrian Moore retweeted
Amendment 3: The War on Starter Homes Nobody Saw Coming I’ve spent a lot of time studying Florida’s housing market, and I see a perfect storm forming. An aging population. A coming wave of older homes entering the market. Builders offering incentives existing homeowners can’t match. Rising insurance and ownership costs. And first-time buyers increasingly priced out. Now add Amendment 3. It could push home prices higher as tax savings get capitalized into property values, without adding a single home to the market. But here’s the unintended consequence nobody is talking about. Florida says it wants more starter homes. Amendment 3 could give local governments a financial incentive to approve fewer of them. The $250,000 non-school homestead exemption will be indexed to inflation, eventually exceeding $300,000. That means many starter homes could generate little or no municipal property tax revenue while still requiring police, fire, roads, and other services. We’re asking communities to build more affordable housing while potentially making those homes less financially attractive to approve. Making homes cheaper to own doesn’t necessarily make them cheaper to buy. And making starter homes a fiscal liability won’t help us build more of them. Read the full thread. This is about much more than property taxes.
1/14 🧵 Let me lay out my Perfect Storm scenario for Florida housing and local governments as I see it. An aging population. Older homes flooding the market. New construction incentives. Higher interest rates. Rising municipal costs. Amendment 3. Individually, each creates pressure. Together, they could create a vicious cycle that feeds on itself. Here’s how. 👇
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Policymakers nationwide are confronting the unfortunate—and predictable—economic consequences of prohibiting restaurants from paying servers a lower base wage supplemented by tips. buff.ly/oK6cOft
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Protectionists like @oren_cass have been arguing as of late that the Feb 2026 SCOTUS ruling striking down tariffs had little effect, since Trump statute-shopped to reimpose them after the decision. Not accurate. Trump was only able to partially reconstitute the IEEPA rates.
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And yet you refuse to remove cameras when cities cancel their contracts so you can continue surveiling communities against their express wishes. If you learned anything, it certainly isn't what you ought to have learned. You and @flocksafety are malignant to the core.
I've learned a lot in nine years of building @Flock_Safety. Some of it from our customers, and some of it from the communities they serve. Today we’re announcing the changes that came from listening. A new standard for privacy, security, and accountability in public safety technology. We're also asking state legislators to go further. Mandate real auditing on every law enforcement data system. Raise the penalties for misuse. And if your state wants help building it, we'll do it for free. flocksafety.com/blog/flock-g…
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We've all heard versions of Alexander Hamilton's "infant industry" argument for tariffs in recent months, put forth by @michaelbd and others as if it trumps conventional economic arguments against protectionism. There's a problem though: with tariffs, the infants never grow up.
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2. A second step would be to let this new utility charge aviation users for its services and retain the revenue, incentivizing it to issue bonds to finance new technology and consolidate aging air traffic facilities. 3/4
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3. Canada reformed its air traffic control system along these lines about 30 years ago. The resulting nonprofit, Nav Canada, is widely respected, innovative and efficient. 4/4
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Evil Andrew Heaton has a modest proposal for his partisan peers.
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Customs and Border Protection seized a psychiatric nurse practitioner's phone filled with confidential patient information. One agent reportedly said "Your lawyer cannot do anything. We are the authorities at the border." buff.ly/PJGBN4a
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Very interesting way to look at the assumptions that underly AI x-risk concerns. Not surprisingly, on most of these, I'm closer to the right hand column.
Imperfect but interesting Claude-generated table for thinking through the assumptions that make AI doom worries more or less plausible:
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The State shall have no other gods before it.
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Fixed it for you, Oren.
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Alpha School is following the Gartman Hype Cycle. Expectations peaked early 2026. Today, there is increasing skepticism. The important question is not where they are today but where they will be in a few years when they reach the Plateau of Productivity. I've been critical of @Alphaschool in the past for making bold claims but not offering transparency or allowing third-party evaluation. That opens them up to the criticism they're receiving now, like in today's NYT (some of which was unfair). I also think it's unclear how much internal motivation a student needs to succeed there. That said, I greatly applaud them and @jliemandt for experimenting with a radically new model. The current K-12 instructional model doesn't work very well and may be even worse in the future preparing kids for a world with AI. While the promise of ed tech has been a huge disappointment for 20+ years, that doesn't mean it always will be. AI probably isn't good enough to overcome the challenge of engagement with even the median student today. That very well might change in a few years. If so, we need education entrepreneurs building the products, tools, and school models to translate that technology into better student outcomes. Alpha is an important org in that effort. It's important we don't judge that effort prematurely, but they also need to be careful of the claims they make, particularly as they inch into public education.
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