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Veteran/ Poet / Not a scientist

Hell
Joined January 2024
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🌡️ As world leaders gather at #COP31, new data show October 2026 was the warmest October on record! 📊 Global temps averaged 1.75°C above pre-industrial levels - the 3rd consecutive month above 1.5°C. 🛰️ #CopernicusEU data help track global warming. 🔗 link.europa.eu/Tm8YHp
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It's about to get snowy! ❄️ A strong Pacific jet will launch a storm train into motion across the West from mid-to-late November — a taste of an El Niño-fueled winter pattern that will chip away at the drought. Also some elevation-driven snow in the Northeast and Appalachians.
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One of the strongest storms in the Northeast Pacific in about 3-5 years is likely to generate a very significant WNW wave swell with significant wave heights of 35-45 feet, with maximum individual wave heights maxing out at 70-90 feet this weekend. This, combined with simi high tides, will lead to coastal flooding and beach erosion. MLLW Times are in PST High Tides At Trinidad Harbor: Friday, November 13: 6.42ft at 12:52 pm Saturday, November 14: 6.04ft at 1:33 pm Sunday, November 15: 5.61ft at 2:23 pm ------------------------------------------------ High Tides At Monterey Bay Harbor: Friday, November 13: 5.21ft at 11:34 am Saturday, November 14: 4.90ft at 12:18 pm Sunday, November 15: 4.54ft at 1:12 pm Keep in mind these are the tidal predictions, as sea levels are now running up to 15-24 inches above normal tide levels.
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BREAKING: CIA Director John Ratcliffe and Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton briefed the Gang of Eight on highly classified plans on Iran today. The Gang of Eight is briefed only in extraordinary circumstances, with the last such briefing on February 24, four days before the war began. "The briefing was primarily about Iran," Jeffries says.
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“The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of.” — Edward Bernays
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Damn, the deck is packed.
USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) Nimitz-class aircraft carrier westbound in the Singapore Strait - November 8, 2026 SRC: X-@YeoEC1
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This is truly absurd. Water temperatures continue to warm in SoCal and are now more than 8-10C above average for early November. This is for sure the worst, most EXTREME marine heatwave in at least 75-100 years.
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Spectacular collapse of Col Supérieur des Pélerins (3278 m) sat. evening in the Aiguilles de Chamonix! 😲 Material fell on both sides (Blaitière Gl. to the E and Pélerins Gl. to the W) 📷 Fabien Gojon Last image shows the previous state with detachment area 📷 Symon Welfringer
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🚨未来15天。逐日推演。这是我的预测。请收藏。 特朗普刚刚失去了众议院和参议院的控制权。他自己的副总统直言:“我们之所以落败,是因为这场战争。” 内塔尼亚胡也失去了多数席位,他所在的阵营距离61席的多数门槛还差一些。 两位领导人,都因这场战争而失势。如今,​​他们已无所顾忌,再无什么可失去的了。 📅 未来48小时 → 美国中央司令部(CENTCOM)为期3天的打击计划已准备就绪。该地区目前部署有3艘航空母舰。 → 特朗普称:“我们已蓄势待发。”对于所谓“目前没有立即采取行动的计划”这种说法,我一个字都不信。 📅 第3-4天 → 第一波打击:针对导弹基地、无人机工厂、伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)指挥中心及能源设施。 → 伊朗展开反击,目标包括美军基地、沙特石油设施以及阿联酋的炼油厂。 → 油价一夜之间从102美元飙升至150美元。 📅 第5-7天 → “镐山”(Pickaxe Mountain)——纳坦兹(Natanz)附近的地下隧道设施。特朗普此前已明确点名该地点。 → 常规炸弹无法摧毁它,这正是为何现在人们开始公开讨论“核选项”的原因。 → 伊朗国家电视台已开始向9000万民众传授应对措施——“如果看到强烈的闪光,该怎么办”。 📅 第8-10天 → 伊朗目前仍持有440公斤丰度为60%的浓缩铀,足以制造10枚核弹。 → 伊朗议员已提议将浓缩铀丰度提升至90%。 → 霍尔木兹海峡彻底关闭,胡塞武装封锁红海。两大战略咽喉要道同时中断。 → 油价触及200美元。 📅 第11-13天 → 美国各地汽油价格突破8美元/加仑。航空公司削减航班,卡车运输陷入停滞。 → 日本、韩国和印度率先面临燃料短缺。 → 股市回调演变为全面崩盘。 📅 第14-15天 → 新一届国会试图削减战争经费(尽管他们要到1月份才正式掌权)。 → 内塔尼亚胡以“战时总理”的身份继续留任。没人会在战争进行到一半时更换领导人。 → 铀的最终去向只有两种可能:被销毁,或者被制成炸弹。没有第三种选择。 他们输掉了投票。现在,他们必须在1月份之前赢得这场战争。 这是我的判断。每一步行动背后,都有相应的计划、目标或引述作为支撑。 请收藏此文,11月20日再回来看看。 各方渠道都将本周形容为“谈判前的平静”。关注我,获取不带任何偏见与修饰的真相;并将此文转发给那些依然认为战争即将平息的人。
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DC retweeted
THIRD US AIRCRAFT CARRIER now HEADING TOWARD IRAN — USS Theodore Roosevelt spotted in SINGAPORE STRAIT 
DECK PACKED with DOZENS of FIGHTER JETS
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There’s a line about a third of the way up the Washington Monument. The stone changes color there. For more than twenty years, that was where the sky started. 🧵
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🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸BREAKING: Initial reports of x2 explosions heard in Bandar-e-Mahshahr, southern Iran. On the map it’s classified as a potential US attack, although we have no confirmation as of now.
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La zone à +6° d'anomalie de température d'eau de mer face aux côtes #Perú #Ecuador jusqu'aux #Galapagos et au-delà est juste énorme #ElNiño
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Iran Update, November 7, 2026: The United States conducted limited strikes targeting Iranian air defense capabilities on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on November 6 amid reports that US officials are considering broader strikes on Iran and continued Iranian attacks on commercial shipping. US President Donald Trump stated on November 6 that US forces conducted “minor” strikes and destroyed a “little” Iranian anti-aircraft system. (1/2)
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TWZ: USS Theodore Roosevelt Arrives In Singapore; Last Stop Before Third Carrier Strike Group Reaches The Middle East USS Theodore Roosevelt moored at Changi Naval Base in Singapore just before midnight on Thursday (Eastern Time), her final stop before continuing on to the Middle East. The Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group (CSG) will join the George H.W. Bush and George Washington CSGs, which are both now prepared, locked, and loaded should the commander in chief follow through on threats to renew military action against Iran after Tuesday’s midterm elections. Roosevelt and three escorting warships will transit the Strait of Malacca next before heading west toward the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility, a journey that will likely take one to two weeks. Read my latest report here: twz.com/sea/uss-theodore-roo…
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SUPER EL NIÑO 🔥: ECMWF PAINTS A REMARKABLE WINTER CONTRAST! The latest ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal outlook (November 1 initialization) shows an extraordinary temperature anomaly pattern for December 2026–February 2027. Look at the contrast: 🌎 Equatorial Pacific: Exceptionally strong positive temperature anomalies, consistent with a powerful El Niño signal. 🇺🇸 United States: A striking pocket of below-normal temperatures stretches across a large part of the central and southern Lower 48, despite the warmer global background. Meanwhile, much of Canada, the Arctic and other parts of the Northern Hemisphere remain significantly warmer than normal. The bigger concern is the potential atmospheric response. A powerful El Niño can reshape the Pacific jet stream, influencing storm tracks, moisture transport and winter precipitation patterns. The combination of a warmer background atmosphere and powerful Pacific moisture surges could create significant weather volatility, including heavy precipitation, flooding and potentially major winter storms. One critical distinction: this is a 51-member seasonal ensemble mean, not a deterministic forecast of individual blizzards or ice storms. But the temperature pattern is certainly striking. A warmer planet does not mean everywhere experiences a warmer winter. This is the kind of atmospheric configuration that deserves close monitoring. #SuperElNino #ECMWF #Weather #Climate #AgWx
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Yes, there is a chance for a low pressure system to bring mixed precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by next weekend. But, there remains a lot of uncertainty. Keep apprised of the latest information at weather.gov
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🚨BREAKING: US Forces have just launched a land blockade of Iran. CENTCOM is now attempting to control Iran’s vast border entrances and exits 😬
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BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has launched anti-ship ballistic missiles at U.S. Navy vessels in the Arabian Sea
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