I do politics. Husband to @jehabig & Dad to Nico. Fmr CM @CoryBooker & @GavinNewsom. @ShannonSharpe once called me a heavy hitter. He/him.

Oakland, CA
Joined September 2008
Addisu Demissie retweeted
The enthusiasm is palpable 😂
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
Taniel@TanielOct 21
Cook Political Report just released 3 polls: —Iowa: GOV: Sand up 53/43 SEN: Turek up 46-44, with Libertarian at 8 —Ohio GOV: Acton up 48/43 SEN: Brown up 49/43, with two others at 7 —Texas GOV: Abbott up 48/46 SEN: Talarico up 49/44, with Libertarian at 4
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
i just want to say that @JesseFFerguson is really fucking good at this and everyone should listen to him
New: The consensus among Democrats' strategic brain trust is the issues of affordability and corruption should be tied together. That's good news for the party's progressive wing on economics — because it fits with the rhetoric and policy ideas they've long preferred.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
There is also a 100% chance we will see more of this in 28, especially in the primaries, because anyone wanting to influence the primary knows between on here and most reporters, polling data is heroin. Wouldn’t be surprised to see foreign state actors get in this game.
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Oct 21
There’s a non-zero chance McMorrow’s campaign saw this fake poll and was a factor in her decision to drop out.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
We had fun this am taping a new @HacksOnTap pod chock full of election talk. @davidaxelrod @jheil and I joined our guest the great @ASDem to gnaw over MI, OH, ME, MS, KS, IA races+ more! Plus, we’re adding extra episodes this week and next, on Fridays! Check it all out
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
🚨🚨🚨 Per @PunchbowlNews, CLF and MAGA groups are officially ABANDONING #FL25 and #NC11 Republicans have now triaged TEN DISTRICTS over the last week ⤵️
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
it feels like every single playoff game the valkyries get to the 4th quarter and then just put the other team in a triangle choke and squeeze the life out of them
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
my "I don't protect pedophiles" shirt has people asking questions already answered by my shirt
Patrick Svitek
@PatrickSvitekOct 14
#IASEN: Ashley Hinson goes direct-to-camera for response ad on Epstein files "This week, I had to explain to my boys, 'No, mom does not protect pedophiles'"
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
I really love when you can tell a campaign (and a candidate) is having fun. GIVE EM HELL SCOTT!
She done lost her damn mind.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
So much cope in the responses. Even if you hate the media & don't believe the polls, it's inarguable the GOP is spending the vast majority of its 2 most precious resources (time & money) in the final weeks of the campaign defending deep red areas: $8M in NE, $5M in SC, $5M in KS, $17M in Iowa, $127M in TX, $144M in OH. Trump isn't traveling to OH, AK, TX and NE because of bullshit polls or media bias. He's is trying to activate MAGA voters to stave off a blue wave. Maybe he'll be successful. But the WH and the GOP are very concerned about a worst-case scenario - and they have every right to be. xitter.cf/TomBevanRCP/status/210…
22 days from the election and this morning's headlines could hardly be worse for GOP: - WSJ: Senate Leadership Fund dumping $8 million into Nebraska to defend Ricketts. - Gallup: Dems lead on party image and issues - FT poll: Trump's Latino vote starts to unravel.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
It feels worth asking whether Georgia is “still” Georgia politically. A decade ago, it voted 7 points to the right of the nation. In 2024, just 0.7. Wave cycles can accelerate realignment. Virginia has voted blue in every federal statewide race since 2006.
I don’t know about shocked but agree with the spirit of this take. Georgia is still Georgia people! 5+ would be insanely impressive.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
A nightmare unfolding in Erie, PA. While we wait for more details today, one thing is certain — it does not need to be this way.
ERIE, Pa. (AP) — Pennsylvania governor says 9 people are dead after a shooting in Erie.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
I think it’s pretty undeniable that 2018 is a safe benchmark/expectation for Dem performance broadly — the big question that will determine whether it’s a true bloodbath is whether this year is inversely correlated to 2010 … *If* Rs are depressed and really stay home (as Ds did that year)… get ready to be introduced to a bunch of new members of congress absolutely nobody is tracking right now.
In the current national environment, assuming that's D+8.5 nationally, Democrats would have a 46% chance of taking the Senate if results are as correlated with presidential results as they were in 2020-24. They'd have a 56% chance if they were as correlated as 2018.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
Abdul El-Sayed: It is insane how much it costs to fill up a gas tank. The war in Iran is the one thing that is causing this. My opponent has called it a "win-win-win". I don't feel like i'm winning, or like our country is winning. How long is this going to last?
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
BREAKING: Senate Majority PAC is launching a $3.4M ad campaign EXPOSING Ashley Hinson for her corrupt dealings with her husband. Since arriving in D.C., she’s seen her net worth grow by up to $8 million.
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
Replying to @ASDem
Rick Jackson is the one from GA who said he wants us all to be able to go to the "gas store" safely and that his plumber drives a Mercedes on live TV tonight
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
SUSAN COLLINS: I was successful in getting road salt removed from the Canada tariff list TROY JACKSON: What about everything else? We can't eat road salt
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
Adam Carlson
@admcrlsnOct 6
Republican groups are pulling out of North Carolina (Trump +3) & Georgia (Trump +2) and investing in Kansas (Trump +16). Trump is campaigning in South Carolina. If there’s a polling miss that underestimates Republicans, it means Republican internal polls were way off too.
The point of my ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ all day isn't to be nihilistic. My view is this: You have the polls. Then you have a bunch of reasons the polls might be too bullish on Ds, then a bunch of reasons why they might be too bearish on Ds. 1/
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
They also put a tracker on us 👀
The money probably tells us more than the polls rn about what people are thinking and Cindy-Hyde Smith (and Roger Marshall and Tom Cotton) spending *their own hard dollars* on negative in September/October is a TELL
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Addisu Demissie retweeted
No one is campaigning like @RobSandIA. Such an incredibly refreshing approach and an antidote to the toxicity dominating politics today
Classic @RobSandIA campaign anecdote here. Rob befriended the GOP tracker from a previous campaign and then invited him to attend a town hall meeting.
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